 | |
| |
ON YOUR PDA
Hotline Mobile
PLAY OF THE DAY
(9 a.m.)
WAKE-UP CALL!
(9 a.m.)
THE HOTLINE
(11:40 a.m.)
BLOGOMETER
(12 p.m.)
HOUSE RACE HOTLINE
(2 p.m.)
LAST CALL!
(4 p.m.)
HOTLINE TV
(4 p.m.)
SUNDAY SNAPSHOT **NEW **
(9 a.m. Mon.)
ON CALL
(24/7)
THE HOTLINE
ON C-SPAN
(7-9 a.m.
Tues, Wed, Fri).
COLUMNS
On The Trail
Politiscope
E-MAIL ALERT
ABOUT HOTLINE
PRIVACY POLICY
REPRINTS
SAVE YOUR PASSWORD
Candidate Schedules | Debate Schedule | State Polls | Convention Delegates
State Visit Tallies | Primary & Caucus Calendar | Past Primary Results
White House 2000 State Polls
The following are the most recent state polls for 2000 presidential primaries or caucuses and/or general election matchups, as run in
The Hotline (updated 7/26).
Georgia Hawaii · Indiana Idaho · Illinois Iowa · Kentucky ·
Louisiana · Maine · Maryland · Massachusetts · Michigan · Minnesota · Mississippi ·
Missouri · Montana · Nebraska · Nevada · New Hampshire · New Jersey · New Mexico ·
New York · North Carolina · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island ·
Tennessee · Texas · Vermont · Virginia · Washington · West Virginia Wisconsin
A Mobile Register/University of South Alabama poll; conducted 5/29-6/1/00 by USA Polling Group; surveyed 809 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 3.5% (Danborn, Mobile Register, 6/5).
General Election Matchup Bush 52% Gore 28Click Alabama for the archive of Alabama WH 2000 polls.
ARKANSAS
A Mason-Dixon, conducted 7/13-15 for the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, surveyed 622 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/18).
General Electon Matchup
All Men Wom Blk Wht Fav/Unfav
Bush 46% 52% 40% 9% 54% 44%/22
Gore 40 38 42 77 34 39 /38
Nader 2 n/a
Buchanan 1 n/a
Undec. 11 n/a
Click Arkansas for the archive of Arkansas WH 2000 polls. ARIZONA:
A KAET-TV poll, conducted 5/18-21 by AZ State Univ., surveyed 402 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 4.8% (Bush release, 5/25).
General Election Matchup Bush 45% Gore 31Click Arizona for the archive of Arizona WH 2000 polls.
CALIFORNIA:
A San Francisco Examiner/KTVU poll, conducted 7/17-19 by Research 2000 of Rockville, MD, surveyed 827 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.5% (7/23).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Gore 44% 41% 47%
Bush 37 41 33
Nader 8 7 9
Buchanan 2 4 -
Undec. 9 7 11
GOP Poll Has 20% Undecided; What, No Push For Leaners?
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll, conducted 7/18-20, surveyed 600 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4% (Bush release, 7/21).
General Election Matchup Gore 38% Bush 36 Nader 5 Buchanan 1 DK/Other 20Click California for the archive of California WH 2000 polls.
COLORADO:
A Rocky Mountain News/News4 poll, conducted 6/6-13 by Talmey-Drake, surveyed 517 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 4% (6/23).
General Election Matchup Bush 47% Gore 33Click Colorado for the archive of Colorado WH 2000 polls.
CONNECTICUT:
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll, conducted 7/12-17, surveyed 1,006 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 7/19).
General Election Matchups
4-Way All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Fav/Unfav
Gore 38% 6% 78% 35% 34% 42% 31%/38%
Bush 37 78 6 33 41 33 29 /34
Nader 11 3 8 15 12 10 23 /29
Buchanan 3 3 2 3 3 2 6 /60
DK/Other 12 9 7 14 10 14
2-Way All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Gore 44% 8% 85% 42% 40% 47%
Bush 41 83 7 38 46 37
DK/Other 14 9 8 20 14 15
Is Your Mind Made Up
Gore Bush Nader
All Voters Voters Voters
Made Up 57% 58% 64% 39%
Might Change 43 42 36 61
Would you describe your support for 'Candidate' as...
Gore Bush Nader
Voters Voters Voters
Strongly Favor 34% 38% 42%
Like W/Reservations 41 38 30
Dislike Others 23 22 27
Would You Say Gore/Bush... Gore Bush
Cares About Needs/Problems Of
People Like You 61% 47%
Has Likable Personality 57 63
Has Strong Leadership Qualities 49 59
Understands Complex Issues 66 50
Is Honest/Trustworthy 53 55
Is Bush/Gore...
Bush Gore
Too Liberal 7% 34%
Too Conservative 38 10
About Right 45 46
Who Would Do A Better Job On...
Gore Bush
Gun Control 49% 32%
Abortion 47 25
Education 50 34
Health Care 52 31
Social Security 46 36
Taxes 35 46
Economy 44 39
Crime 30 50
Foreign Affairs 49 37
Poverty 58 25
Environment 65 22
Race Relations 54 24
Campaign Finance Reform 29 38
Gas Prices 33 33
Appointing SCOTUS Justices 41 39
If Bush Picks A Pro-Choice Running Mate Would You Be
All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
More Likely To Support GOP Ticket 15% 20% 11% 16% 15% 15%
Less Likely 15 8 21 15 13 17
Wouldn't Make A Difference 66 67 65 66 70 63
Click Connecticut for the archive of Connecticut WH 2000 polls. DELAWARE:
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 7/10-12 for WBOC-TV of Salisbury, MD, surveyed 621 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4% (7/18).
General Election Matchup
Now 9/99
Bush 43% 39%
Gore 38 32
Nader 3 n/a
Buchanan 2 7
Undec. 14 22
Click Delaware for the archive of Delaware WH 2000 polls. FLORIDA:
An American Research Group poll, conducted 7/7-12, surveyed 600 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/13).
General Election Matchup Bush 45% Gore 43 Nader 2 Undec. 10Click Florida for the archive of Florida WH 2000 polls.
GEORGIA:
Conducted 5/1-9/00 by American Research Group; surveyed 600 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 5/11).
General Election Matchup
Vote Fav/Unfav
Bush 46% 44%/ 32%
Gore 40 41 / 47
Undec. 14
Click Georgia for the archive of Georgia WH 2000 polls. HAWAII:
Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 5/5-9; surveyed 426 likely general election voters; margin of error +/- 5% (release, 5/19).
General Election Matchup Gore 45% Bush 37 Buchanan 5 Undec. 13Click Hawaii for the archive of Hawaii WH 2000 polls.
INDIANA:
A John McLaughlin and Assoc. (R) poll, conducted 5/4-8 for the RGA, surveyed 800 likely voters; margin of error +/- 3.4%(release, 5/19).
General Election Matchup
Now 11/99
Bush 53% 50%
Gore 32 28
Buchanan 6 4
Undec. 10 17
Click Indiana for the archive of Indiana WH 2000 polls. IDAHO:
A Research 2000 poll, conducted 7/5-8, surveyed 601 regular voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/21).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Bush 57% 61% 53%
Gore 21 17 25
Buchanan 4 6 2
Nader 2 2 2
Undec. 16 14 18
Click Idaho for the archive of Idaho WH 2000 polls. An American Research Group poll, conducted 7/7-12, surveyed 600 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/13).
General Election Matchup Bush 46% Gore 39 Nader 6 Undec. 9Click Illinois for the archive of Illinois WH 2000 polls.
IOWA:
The Mason-Dixon Iowa poll; conducted 1/17-18/00 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 629 likely general election voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 1/26).
General Election Matchup
Now 9/99
Bush 43% 41%
Gore 34 35
Buchanan 6 10
Undec. 17 14
Click Iowa for the archive of Iowa WH 2000 polls. KENTUCKY:
A Preston-Osborne poll (they are a marketing and research firm in Lexington), conducted 6/5-16, surveyed 743 likely voters; margin of error +/- 3.6% (Cross, Louisville Courier-Journal, 6/29).
General Election Matchup
All W/Lnrs
Bush 48% 51%
Gore 34 36
Refused 6
Undec. 7
Click Kentucky for the archive of Kentucky WH 2000 polls. LOUISIANA:
A Southern Media and Opinion Research poll; conducted 4/6-15/00; surveyed 700 regis. voters; marign of error +/- 3.8% (Wardlaw, New Orleans Times-Picayune, 5/6).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom Wht Blk
Bush 45% 51% 41% 61% 9%
Gore 34 33 35 21 65
Buchanan 4
Undec. 17
Click Louisiana for the archive of Louisiana WH 2000 polls. MAINE:
The Research 2000 Maine Poll; conducted 2/27-29/00 for Bangor Daily News; surveyed 602 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 3/3).
General Election Matchups
All Men Wom
Gore 48% 46% 50%
Bush 36 40 32
Undec. 16 14 18
Click Iowa for the archive of Maine WH 2000 polls. MARYLAND:
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 7/19-21, surveyed 627 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/25).
General Election Matchup
Now 2/00
Gore 43% 46%
Bush 40 38
Nader 5 n/a
Buchanan 2 2
Undec. 10 14
Click Maryland for the archive of Maryland WH 2000 polls. MASSACHUSETTS:
A UMass tracking poll, conducted 3/2-5/00, surveyed 400 likely GOP primary voters and 400 likely Dem primary voters; margins of error for both +/- 5% (release, 3/7).
GOP Primary
3/2-5
McCain 60%
Bush 29
Keyes 3
DK/Other 7
Dem Primary
3/2-5
Gore 57%
Bradley 31
DK/Other 11
Click Massachusetts for the archive of Massachusetts WH 2000 polls. MICHIGAN:
An EPIC-MRA poll, conducted 6/28-7/5, surveyed 600 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/7).
General Election Matchups
3-Way 4-Way All Fav/Unfav
Bush 45% Bush 46% 59%/32%
Gore 40 Gore 34 48 /43
Buchanan 4 Nader 8 46 /27
Undec. 22 Buchanan 3 30 /48
Undec. 9
Click Michigan for the archive of Michigan WH 2000 polls. MINNESOTA:
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 7/6-8 for the St. Paul Pioneer Press and MN Public Radio, surveyed 620 regular voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/12).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Bush 43% 46% 40%
Gore 40 34 46
Nader 5 6 4
Buchanan 3 5 1
Undec. 9 9 9
Click Minnesota for the archive of Minnesota WH 2000 polls. MISSISSIPPI:
A Mason-Dixon poll; conducted 3/5-7/00; surveyed 404 likely Dem primary voters and 327 likely GOP primary voters; margin of error +/-5% on Dem sample and +/-6% on GOP sample (release, 3/9).
GOP Primary Dem Primary Bush 72% Gore 75% McCain 16 Bradley 13 Keyes 2 Undec. 12 Undec. 10Click Mississippi for the archive of Mississippi WH 2000 polls.
MISSOURI:
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 7/6-10 for the Kansas City Star, surveyed 624 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/12).
General Election Matchup
Now 2/00
Bush 48% 44%
Gore 37 42
Buchanan 2 3
Nader 2 n/a
Undec. 11 11
Click Missouri for the archive of Missouri WH 2000 polls. MONTANA:
A Lee Newspapers poll, conducted 5/22-24 by Mason-Dixon, surveyed 620 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4% (5/27).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom 12/99
Bush 51% 57% 45% 46%
Gore 34 30 38 30
Buchanan 3 4 2 8
Undec. 12 9 15 16
Click Montana for the archive of Montana WH 2000 polls. NEBRASKA:
An Omaha World-Herald poll; conducted 5/2-4/00 by RKM Research and Communications; surveyed 1,303 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 2.7% (Thompson, Omaha World-Herald, 5/12).
General Election Matchup
Now 3/00
Bush 50% 54%
Gore 33 27
Undec. 16 19
Click Nebraska for the archive of Nebraska WH 2000 polls. NEVADA:
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 6/12-15 for the Las Vegas Review-Journal, surveyed 637 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 4% (6/18).
General Election Matchup
Now 3/00
Bush 49% 46%
Gore 37 38
Buchanan 2 5
Nader 2 n/a
Undec. 10 11
Click Nevada for the archive of Nevada WH 2000 polls. NEW HAMPSHIRE:
An American Research Group poll, conducted 6/19-22, surveyed 540 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 4% (AP, 6/27).
General Election Matchup
Now 3/00
Bush 49% 33%
Gore 39 45
Click New Hampshire for the archive of New Hampshire WH 2000 polls. NEW JERSEY:
A Gannett New Jersey poll, conducted 6/22-25, surveyed 408 likely voters; margin of error +/- 5% (Asbury Park Press, 7/9).
General Election Matchup Bush 35% Gore 34 Other 4 Refused 5 Undec. 21Click New Jersey for the archive of New Jersey WH 2000 polls.
NEW MEXICO:
A Research and Polling Inc. poll conducted 3/14-16 surveyed 408 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 5% (Albuquerque Journal, 3/20). Tested: Al Gore and George W. Bush
General Election Matchups
All/GOP/Dem/His/White/Wom/Men
Bush 41% 80% 21% 26% 49% 35% 48%
Gore 41 6 62 55 34 44 38
Undecided 12 7 13 18 9 16 8
Click New Mexico for the archive of New Mexico WH 2000 polls. NEW YORK:
An American Research Group poll, conducted 7/7-12, surveyed 600 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/13).
General Election Matchup Gore 46% Bush 37 Nader 9 Undec. 8Click New York for the archive of New York WH 2000 polls.
NORTH CAROLINA
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 7/20-23 for The (NC) Insider, surveyed 625 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/25).
General Election Matchup
Now 4/00 2/00 Men Wom Wht Blk Fav/Unfav
Bush 46% 49% 47% 52% 40% 56% 8% 46%/25%
Gore 39 39 39 34 44 28 81 34 /35
Nader 4 n/a n/a 3 5 5 1
Buchanan 1 2 2 1 1 1 -
Undec. 10 10 12 10 10 10 10
Click North Carolina for the archive of North Carolina WH 2000 polls. OHIO:
A Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll, conducted 7/19-20, surveyed 501 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 7/24).
General Election Matchups
4-Way 2-Way Fav/Unfav
Bush 43% 47% 64%/26%
Gore 34 36 54 /36
Nader 6 45 /22
Buchanan 5 31 /41
DK/Other 12 17
Which of these words/phrases applies most to...
Bush Gore Neither Both
Likeable 42% 32% 7% 15%
Phony 28 36 16 11
Tough 52 21 11 7
Smart 30 30 7 28
Arrogant 38 29 15 9
Experienced 28 49 6 12
Courageous 35 23 20 9
Slick 35 33 14 9
If Bush names a pro-choice running mate, effect on your vote
More Likely To Support Bush 30%
Less Likely 33
No Difference 31
Your Abortion Stance
Pro-Choice 45%
Pro-Life 42
DK/Other 13
Click Ohio for the archive of Ohio WH 2000 polls. OKLAHOMA:
A Tulsa World poll, conducted 6/21-26 by Consumer Logic, surveyed 750 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 3.5% (7/12).
General Election Matchups
Bush 57% Bush 56%
Gore 27 Gore 28
Undec. 16 Buchanan 3
Undec. 13
Click Oklahoma for the archive of Oklahoma WH 2000 polls. OREGON:
A Portland Oregonian/KATU-TV poll, conducted 4/10-4/17/00 by Davis and Hibbitts Inc., surveyed 504 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/24).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Bush 40% 46% 35%
Gore 37 31 42
Nader 7 7 7
Buchanan 2 2 2
Harry Browne 2 3 1
Undec. 12 11 14
Click Oregon for the archive of Oregon WH 2000 polls. PENNSYLVANIA:
A FOX News/Opinion Dynamics poll, conducted 7/19-20, surveyed 507 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 7/24).
General Election Matchups
4-Way 2-Way Fav/Unfav
Bush 42% 43% 61%/ 29%
Gore 35 39 51 / 39
Nader 6 45 / 21
Buchanan 5 30 / 43
DK/Other 12 18
Which of these words/phrases applies most to...
Bush Gore Neither Both
Likeable 39% 32% 8% 16%
Phony 27 37 13 13
Tough 52 17 14 9
Smart 31 29 7 26
Arrogant 39 30 16 9
Experienced 28 48 5 14
Courageous 34 23 22 10
Slick 30 35 12 10
If Bush names a pro-choice Your Abortion Stance
VP, effect on your vote Pro-Choice 45%
More Likely To Support Bush 30% Pro-Life 42
Less Likely 33 DK/Other 13
No Difference 31
Click Pennsylvania for the archive of Pennsylvania WH 2000 polls. RHODE ISLAND:
A Brown Univ. poll, conducted 2/19-21, surveyed 327 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 6%. Subsample: 222 Dems; +/- 7% (release, 2/23).
General Election Matchups Gore 39% Bush 25 Undec. 36Click Rhode Island for the archive of Rhode Island WH 2000 polls.
TENNESSEE:
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 3/16-18, surveyed 626 regular voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 3/27).
General Election Matchups
Now 10/99 Men Wom Fav/Unfav
Gore 47% 48% 42% 52% 53%/34%
Bush 41 41 50 32 46 /33
Buchanan 2 3 2 2 18 /46
Undec. 10 8 6 13
Gore 45%
Bush 40
Perot 6
Undec. 9
Click Tennessee for the archive of Tennessee WH 2000 polls. TEXAS:
An American Research Group poll, conducted 7/7-12, surveyed 600 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/13).
General Election Matchup Bush 71% Gore 20 Nader 3 Undec. 6Click Texas for the archive of Texas WH 2000 polls.
VERMONT:
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 2/25-27 for the Burlington Free Press and WPTZ-TV, surveyed 634 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4%. Subsamples: 356 likely GOP primary voters; +/- 6%; and 321 likely Dem primary voters; +/- 6% (release, 3/1).
General Election Matchup Gore 46% Bush 35 Buchanan 3 Undec. 16Click Vermont for the archive of Vermont WH 2000 polls.
VIRGINIA:
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 7/12-14 for various media in VA, surveyed 620 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/19).
General Election Matchup
Now Men Wom 9/99 Fav/Unfav
Bush 49% 54% 44% 51% 50%/28%
Gore 38 34 42 32 37 /44
Nader 2 2 2 n/a
Buchanan 1 1 1 8
Undec. 10 9 11 9
Click Virginia for the archive of Virginia WH 2000 polls. WASHINGTON:
A Research 2000 poll, conducted 7/7-10, surveyed 605 regular voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/21).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Bush 43% 47% 39%
Gore 39 35 42
Nader 7 8 6
Buchanan 2 3 1
Undec. 9 7 12
Click Washington for the archive of Washington WH 2000 polls.
WEST VIRGINIA:
The West Virginia Poll; conducted 4/19-25/00 by Ohio State U.'s Center for Survey Research for the Charleston Daily Mail, WSAZ NewsChannel 3 and AP; surveyed 599 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 4% (Fischer, Charleston Daily Mail, 5/1).
General Election Matchup Bush 47% Gore 38Click West Virginia for the archive of West Virginia WH 2000 polls.
WISCONSIN:
A WI Policy Research Inst. poll, conducted 6/26-29 by Harris Interactive, surveyed 863 adults; margin of error +/- 3.3% (Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, 7/16).
General Election Matchups 4-Way 2-Way Fav/Unfav Bush 43% Bush 47% Bush 51%/36% Gore 35 Gore 41 Gore 41 /43 Nader 9 Undec./Other 12 Nader 39 /25 Buchanan 3 Buchanan 20 /50 Undec./Other 10Click Wisconsin for the archive of Wisconsin WH 2000 polls.
NEW FEATURE
