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Candidate Schedules | Debate Schedule | State Polls | Convention Delegates
State Visit Tallies | Primary & Caucus Calendar | Past Primary Results
The chart below reflects the most recent reputable state polls conducted in 2000 received by The Hotline, updated as new polls arrive. The number of electoral votes is listed next to each state in parentheses. Please note: The overall numbers have changed since last week as all 1999 polls have been removed.
(++) indicates a lead outside the poll's margin of error; (+) means a lead within the margin (updated 7/26)
Bush vs. Gore
ELECTORAL COLLEGE TOTALS: (270 electoral votes needed to win)
LEADS OUTSIDE MoE POLLS SINCE 3/00
STATES EVs STATES EVs
Bush 19 179 Bush 30 342
Gore 4 44 Gore 6 120
ALL LEADS
STATES EVs
Bush 32 357
Gore 9 131
STATE BUSH GORE POLL DATE MoE
(+ indicates lead inside the MoE, ++ a lead outside)
AL (9) ++52 28 USA Polling Group 5/29-6/1 +/- 3.5
AR (6) +46 40 Mason-Dixon 7/13-15 +/- 4
AZ (8) ++45 31 AZ State Univ. 5/18-21 +/- 4.8
CA (54) 37 +44 Research 2000 7/17-19 +/- 3.5
CT (8) 41 +44 Quinnipiac Univ. 7/12-17 +/- 3.1
CO (8) ++47 33 Talmey-Drake 6/6-13 +/- 4
DE (3) +43 38 Mason-Dixon 7/10-12 +/- 4
FL (25) +45 43 ARG 7/7-12 +/- 4
GA (13) +46 40 ARG 5/1-9 +/- 4
HI (4) 37 +45 Mason-Dixon 5/5-9 +/- 5
IA (7) ++43 34 Mason-Dixon 1/17-18 +/- 4
ID (4) ++57 21 Research 2000 7/5-8 +/- 4
IL (22) +46 39 ARG 7/7-12 +/- 4
IN (12) ++53 32 McLaughlin (R) 5/4-8 +/- 3.4
KY (8) ++48 34 Preston-Osborne 6/5-16 +/- 3.6
LA (9) ++45 34 Southern Media 4/6-15 +/- 3.8
ME (4) 36 ++48 Research 2000 2/27-29 +/- 4
MD (10) 40 +43 Mason-Dixon 7/19-21 +/- 4
MI (18) +45 40 EPIC/MRA 6/28-7/5 +/- 4
MN (10) +43 40 Mason-Dixon 7/6-8 +/- 4
MO (11) ++48 37 Mason-Dixon 7/6-10 +/- 4
MT (3) ++51 34 Mason-Dixon 5/22-24 +/- 4
NE (5) ++50 33 RKM Research/Comm 5/2-4 +/- 2.7
NV (4) ++49 37 Mason-Dixon 6/12-15 +/- 4
NH (4) ++49 39 ARG 6/19-22 +/- 4
NJ (15) +35 34 Gannett 6/22-25 +/- 5
NM (5) 41 41 Research/Polling 3/14-16 +/- 5
NY (33) 37 ++46 ARG 7/7-12 +/- 4
NC (14) +46 39 Mason-Dixon 7/20-23 +/- 4
OH (21) ++47 36 FNC/Opin Dynamics 7/19-20 +/- 4.3
OK (8) ++57 27 Consumer Logic 6/21-26 +/- 3.5
OR (7) +40 37 Oregonian/KATU-TV 4/10-17 +/- 4.4
PA (23) +43 39 FNC/Opin Dynamics 7/19-20 +/- 4.3
RI (4) 25 ++39 Brown Univ. 2/19-21 +/- 6
SC (8) ++54 35 Mason-Dixon 1/18-19 +/- 4
TN (11) 41 +47 Mason-Dixon 3/16-18 +/- 4
TX (32) ++71 20 ARG 7/7-12 +/- 4
VA (13) ++49 38 Mason-Dixon 7/12-14 +/- 4
VT (3) 35 ++46 Mason-Dixon 2/25-27 +/- 4
WA (11) +43 39 Research 2000 7/7-10 +/- 4
WV (5) ++47 38 OSU Center 4/19-25 +/- 4
WI (11) +47 41 Harris Inter. 6/26-29 +/- 3.3
States Not Listed: AK (3); KS (6); MA (12);
MS (7); ND (3); SD (3); UT (5); WY (3); DC (3)
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