Texas
Presidential Politics And Election Returns
Last Updated July 15, 2003
In 2000 Texas was the counterweight to New York in presidential politics. Neither was seriously contested: it was always clear that Texas would cast 32 electoral votes for George W. Bush and New York 33 votes for Al Gore. In 2004 it will be different: Texas will cast 34, New York 31, and in early 2003 some Republican strategists were wondering whether the Bush campaign might be able credibly to try to make a serious contest of New York. No Democratic strategist imagined that their nominee would have any chance in Texas. In 2000, 73% of Texas whites, 42% of Texas Hispanics and 5% Texas blacks voted for Bush; in early 2003 it looked like all of those percentages would be higher in 2004. The best the Democratic ticket has done here in recent years was 43% in 1988, when Lloyd Bentsen was on the ticket, and 44% in 1996, as Ross Perot split the opposition to Bill Clinton and Bob Dole carried the state anyway with 49%.
Texas's presidential primary, originally in May, was moved to March for Super Tuesday in 1988. The Republican primary electorate is heavily conservative; the Democratic primary electorate is increasingly liberal. In 1988, Michael Dukakis won the Democratic primary here with 33% and Jesse Jackson got 25%, ahead of Al Gore, running as a southern moderate, with 20%. And that was with a turnout of 1.7 million. Turnout in 2000 was 787,000, with many fewer rural conservatives.
| 2000 Presidential Vote |
| Bush (R) |
3,799,639 |
(59%) |
| Gore (D) |
2,433,746 |
(38%) |
| Nader (Green) |
137,994 |
(2%) |
| Other |
36,258 |
(1%) |
| 2000 Republican Primary |
| Bush (R) |
986,416 |
(88%) |
| McCain (R) |
80,082 |
(7%) |
| Keyes (R) |
43,518 |
(4%) |
| Other |
16,741 |
(2%) |
| 2000 Democratic Primary |
| Gore (D) |
631,428 |
(80%) |
| Bradley (D) |
128,564 |
(16%) |
| LaRouche (D) |
26,898 |
(3%) |
| 1996 Presidential Vote |
| Dole (R) |
2,730,085 |
(49%) |
| Clinton (D) |
2,455,853 |
(44%) |
| Perot (I) |
378,117 |
(7%) |
For 1992 and 1996 presidential results in Texas, please see the Almanac 2000 online.
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