President Obama leads Mitt Romney 52 percent to 44 percent among likely voters in Romney's birth state of Michigan, according to a CNN/ORC poll released on Wednesday.
Obama commands majorities of men and women, union and non-union households, and households with incomes both above and below $50,000 (though Obama’s leads among men, non-union households, and high-income households were within or at the outer edge of the margin of error).
Eighty-six percent of respondents indicated that they were set in their choice, while 13 percent indicated that they might change their mind between now and Election Day.
Though Michigan is the only state in which Romney has more field offices than Obama, pro-Romney political action committees pulled advertising in the state almost two weeks ago, tacitly conceding its 16 electoral votes to Obama, at least for now.
Since the Democratic National Convention, Obama has picked up steam in many national and swing-state polls. And the foreign-policy crisis last week in Libya and the Middle East seems to have set Romney further back, with Americans giving Obama higher marks than Romney when it comes to responding to the crisis.
The CNN/ORC poll, conducted Sept. 14-18, reflects voter reaction to the Middle East crisis. But much of the polling was conducted before the Sept. 17 leaking of a video of Romney speaking at a private fundraiser, and so does not reflect that controversy’s full impact.
The poll surveyed 1,023 adults, including 910 registered voters and 754 likely voters. The margin of error for likely voters was plus or minus 3.5 percentage points and somewhat higher for questions asked of demographic subgroups.