CAMPAIGN 2012

Obama Ekes Out a Win in 2 Post-Debate Polls

But respondents still give Romney the edge on handling many issues.

Updated: October 17, 2012 | 7:06 a.m.
October 17, 2012 | 12:25 a.m.

President Barack Obama answers a question as Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney listens during the second presidential debate at Hofstra University, Tuesday, Oct. 16, 2012, in Hempstead, N.Y.  ((AP Photo/Pool-Rick Wilking))

President Obama won Tuesday night’s presidential debate by narrow margins in two surveys taken immediately after the 90-minute town-hall forum ended.

In a CBS News poll, 37 percent of 525 uncommitted voters who watched the debate declared Obama the winner, compared to 30 percent who said the same of Romney; 33 percent said it was a tie. A CNN ORC International poll of 457 registered voters gave the debate to the president by a 7 percentage point margin, 46 percent to 39 percent.

The CBS News poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points; the CNN poll's margin is 4.5 points.

Despite Obama’s slight edge overall, Romney was seen as better able to handle most issues.

The trend was most notable in the CNN poll: he had an 18-point edge among registered voters on the economy (58 percent to Obama's  40 percent ); a 3-point edge on health care (49 percent to 46 percent); a 7-point edge on taxes (51 percent to 44 percent); and, largest of all, a 23-point edge on the deficit (59 percent to 36 percent).

Obama’s only lead in the CNN poll was a slim one on foreign policy: 2 percent more of the registered voters who watched the debate said he would handle the issue better (49 percent to 47 percent for Romney).

In the CBS poll, 65 percent of respondents also said Romney would handle the economy better after the debate (though that decreased from 71 percent before the debate). Only 34 percent said Obama would handle the economy better, but that was a jump of 7 percentage points.

Personal metrics were split a bit more evenly. Forty-nine percent of those in the CNN poll said Romney was the stronger leader, compared to 46 percent for Obama. The president still had a lead on likeability by a margin of 47 percent to 41 percent. He was also perceived as caring more about the audience by a margin of 4 points, but also as spending more time on the attack by a 14-points one.

Among uncommitted voters surveyed in the CBS poll, 56 percent said the president would do a better job of helping the middle class, compared to only 43 percent who said the same of Romney.

Neither candidate won a majority when CNN asked if they offered a clear plan to solve the country’s problems, though Romney was closer: 49 percent said he did, and 50 percent said he did not. Thirty-eight percent of respondents said they thought Obama had a clear plan, but a full 61 percent said they did not.

The expectations game clearly favored Obama: 73 percent of the registered voters in the CNN poll said he did better than expected, 10 percent said he did worse, and 16 percent said he did the same as they expected. Thirty-seven people said Romney performed better, 28 percent said worse, and 33 percent said the same.

The final word from the CNN respondents? Twenty-five percent said the debate made them more likely to vote for Romney, and 25 percent said the same for Obama.

In the CBS survey, 56 percent of uncommitted voters were not affiliated with a political party; 21 percent identified as Republicans, and 23 percent as Democrats.

The CNN poll included 33 percent each of registered voters who identified as Democrats and Republicans. The network noted the sample was about 8 percentage points more Republican than the general public in an average of CNN polls from 2012.

Instant polls conducted by both outlets after the first debate on Oct. 3 declared Romney the winner, with voters in the CNN instant poll giving the former Massachusetts governor a 42-point margin.

The CBS News poll surveyed a nationwide random sample of 525 uncommitted voters who watched the debate. The poll,was conducted online using GfK’s web-enabled KnowledgePanel, a probability-based panel designed to be representative of the U.S. population. 

The CNN poll surveyed 457 registered voters nationwide by telephone after they had watched the debate.

 

 

Get the latest news and analysis delivered to your inbox. Sign up for National Journal's morning alert, Wake-Up Call, and afternoon newsletter, The Edge. Subscribe here.


More By This Writer
Rebecca Kaplan's Pic
Rebecca Kaplan | Staff Reporter
kaplanr@nationaljournal.com | Follow:  
Leave A Comment
The National Journal Group has the right (but not the obligation) to monitor the comments and to remove any materials it deems inappropriate.
Comments powered by Disqus
Follow National Journal
Related Content
Expert Opinions
Transportation Experts

Do We Suddenly Hate Driving?

5:16 p.m.

Latest Response by Phineas Baxandall: It's About Waste, Not Hate

Transportation Experts

Do We Suddenly Hate Driving?

3:19 p.m.

Latest Response by James Corless: Time to adapt to the new reality

Energy Experts

What's at Stake with Natural-Gas Exports?

11:51 a.m.

Latest Response by Bill Cooper: U.S. Should Quickly Approve Other Apps

More Expert Opinions »
Columns
Reid Wilson: On the Trail

Parties Push For House Retirements

6:00 a.m.
Campaign committees utilize scare tactics to pressure members to step aside.
Norm Ornstein: Washington Inside Out

GOP’s Switch on Financial Disclosure Wins Gold Medal in Hypocrisy Olympics

9:30 p.m.
The IRS scandal evolved from the broader reality that the GOP has changed its financing mantra from “disclosure” to “secrecy.”
Major Garrett: All Powers

Obama Pushes to Accommodate, Not Protect, Freedom of the Press

May 21, 2013
The Justice Department’s secret subpoena of AP phone logs begs questions about Obama’s attitude toward the First Amendment and government scrutiny.
More Columns »