Is the GOP Moving to the Center? Or Just Getting Sane?

Capitulation on debt ceiling and immigration suggests the GOP is eyeing the vacuum created by Obama's move leftward.

Updated: January 27, 2013 | 7:05 p.m.
January 24, 2013 | 9:53 a.m.

Crystal ball: Ryan, Jindal, and Rubio. (AP photos) ()

It is no secret that President Obama plans to move the country to the left, demanding "collective action" in his Inaugural Address to curb global warming, buttress the middle class, regulate guns and ammunition, defend Medicare and Social Security, and extend gay rights.

The question is whether, behind the scenes, Republican leaders have recognized an opportunity to counter Obama’s liberalism with ever-so-slight jogs toward the center – if not ideologically, at least pragmatically, to a position the GOP all but abandoned in recent months: political sanity.

I ask because of three important developments:

  • The GOP-controlled House passed a bill Wednesday that effectively extends the debt ceiling limit until May 19. It was a major capitulation to Obama, who publicly declared he would not negotiate with the nation’s credit held hostage. Rep. Paul Ryan, the party’s vice presidential nominee in 2012, cited the “realities of divided government” when he urged his rank and file to effectively eat crow.
  • Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, another likely 2016 GOP presidential candidate, is quietly and (so far) effectively lobbying conservative lawmakers and commentators to consider immigration reforms. In the not-to-distant past, Rubio’s proposals would have been fatally labeled as stalking horses for amnesty. 
  • Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal is expected to tell the Republican National Committee tonight that it's time for the GOP to focus less on political battles in Washington. "A debate about which party can better manage the federal government is a very small and shortsighted debate," he is expected to say, according to the The Washington Post. "If our vision is not bigger than that, we do not deserve to win."

If these developments don’t represent a tentative step to the center, they are at least deep bows to reality. Polls showed that the public was braced to blame Republicans for any economic fallout over a debt-ceiling fight. Election results from November underscored the GOP’s existential image problem in the fast-growing Hispanic community.

There could be something else going on here: If Obama overestimates the amount of political capital he collected upon reelection (a common mistake for second-term presidents), he might go to far with his liberal agenda, alienate moderate and independent voters, and leave a vacuum for Republicans in the middle.

Yes, Republicans in the middle. It could happen.

In making the rounds on Capitol Hill, I’ve been struck by the recognition among GOP lawmakers that their party must adapt or perish. Some paint a broader picture, pointing out that both political parties need to be better attuned to the public will.

“The American people are not fearful of solutions to the big problems facing our country,” said Rep. Charlie Dent, R-Pa. “They are fearful that American leaders don’t have the capacity to act.”

Failure to respond to issues such as the national debt, Dent said, could force voters to seek alternatives, even an independent presidential bid. Citing the organic creation of the tea-party revolt, Dent ominously added, “The next movement to come along might not align itself with one of the two existing parties.”

Get the latest news and analysis delivered to your inbox. Sign up for National Journal's morning alert, Wake-Up Call, and afternoon newsletter, The Edge. Subscribe here.


Leave A Comment
The National Journal Group has the right (but not the obligation) to monitor the comments and to remove any materials it deems inappropriate.
Comments powered by Disqus
Follow National Journal
Expert Opinions
Transportation Experts

Do We Suddenly Hate Driving?

10:43 p.m.

Latest Response by Gabriel Roth: But do we not drive to save time?

Energy Experts

What's at Stake with Natural-Gas Exports?

4:49 p.m.

Latest Response by Dave McCurdy: Natural Gas Market Will Find Balance

Transportation Experts

Do We Suddenly Hate Driving?

4:24 p.m.

Latest Response by Keith Laughlin: We Need a New Policy for a New Day

More Expert Opinions »
Columns
Major Garrett: All Powers

Obama Pushes to Accommodate, Not Protect, Freedom of the Press

May 21, 2013
The Justice Department’s secret subpoena of AP phone logs begs questions about Obama’s attitude toward the First Amendment and government scrutiny.
Charlie Cook: Off to the Races

Republicans’ Hatred of Obama Blinds Them to Public Disinterest in Scandals

May 20, 2013
Republicans are so focused on their bitter battles against Obama, they can’t see how little impact the “scandals” have had on public opinion.
Charlie Cook: The Cook Report

Republicans Should Go Easy on Obama, At Least in Public

May 16, 2013
As a tactical matter, a subterranean campaign will score more direct hits on the president.
More Columns »