• National Journal.com
  • Sign In

  • My Account | Free Trial

    Submit site feedback

nationaljournal.com > National Journal Magazine > Political Pulse

    • Home
    • The Magazine
    • The Hotline
    • CongressDaily
  • Saturday, Nov. 7, 2009
  • About Us
  • News
  • Earlybird
  • Insider Interviews
  • Poll Track
  • Markup Reports
  • The Promise Audit
  • Blogs
  • Hotline On Call
  • Expert Blogs
  • Transition Blog
  • Lobbying Blog
  • Blogometer
  • Tech Daily Dose
  • Multimedia
  • Play of the Day
  • Sunday Snapshot
  • Hotline TV
  • National Journal On Air
  • Audio & Video
  • Columns
  • Mark Blumenthal
  • Ronald Brownstein
  • Eliza Newlin Carney
  • Charlie Cook (Tues.)
  • Charlie Cook (Fri.)
  • Clive Crook
  • John Mercurio
  • Jonathan Rauch
  • Bruce Stokes
  • William Schneider
  • Stuart Taylor
  • Amy Walter
  • Subscriber Resources
  • The Almanac
  • Capital Source
  • Daybook
  • Ad Spotlight
  • Affiliate Sites
  • The Atlantic
  • The Cook Political Report
  • Global Security Newswire
  • Government Executive
  • Washington Week
National Journal Magazine
Search

Advanced Search

Search Sponsor:
About National Journal Magazine
Subscriptions | Contact Us
  • Cover Story
  • Table of
    Contents
  • Contents By
    Topic
  • Columns
    • Brownstein
    • Cook
    • Crook
    • Rauch
    • Stokes
    • Schneider
    • Taylor Jr.
  • Regular
    Features
    • Hotline Extra
    • Inside Washington
    • Insiders Poll
    • K Street Corridor
    • People
    • The Week on the Hill
  • Print
    • Print
  • Email
  • Reprints
  • Tools Sponsor:
POLITICS

Taking The Long View On The Recovery

The president wants Americans to look at the big picture.

by William Schneider

Saturday, April 25, 2009


When President Obama delivered a major economic speech at Georgetown University last week, he called it "A New Foundation." He might have called it "Beyond Recovery." His message was that we've got to look at the nation's economy in the long term.

The president wants Americans to see his agenda as one huge package. He began by saying, "Many Americans are simply wondering how all of our different programs and policies fit together in a single, overarching strategy that will move this economy from recession to recovery and, ultimately, to prosperity."

Are they?

According to this month's CNN poll taken by Opinion Research, 58 percent of Americans think that the president has a clear plan for solving the country's economic problems. Forty-two percent don't.

What will save us from ruin, in Obama's view, is not spending cuts or tax hikes. It's growth.

The president must respond to the doubters, such as the tens of thousands of protesters who gathered at "tea parties" around the country on April 15 to protest government spending and bailouts -- and not just by Democrats. "Republicans blew it on spending, but now Democrats are on steroids with spending," said Rep. Zach Wamp, R-Tenn. In the view of Rep. Tom Price, R-Ga., "What the American people are saying is that they are tired of the same old thing in Washington, which is spending and borrowing, spending and borrowing."

Obama can hardly deny that his agenda includes a lot of spending and borrowing, but he wants Americans to see the bigger picture. He called for "a new foundation for growth and prosperity ... that will move us from an era of borrow and spend to one where we save and invest." What's the difference? Spending is short-term. Investment is long- term.

Obama's $787 billion economic stimulus package is aimed at short-term recovery. In a word, jobs. But the president is also asking for a lot of new spending that is aimed further out.

The president's proposed budget includes new spending on energy, education, health care, housing, the financial industry, and the auto industry. That's "investment," aimed at long-term prosperity. The president used a homespun analogy to illustrate the difference: "Just as a cash-strapped family may cut back on luxuries but will still insist on spending money to get their children through college, or will refuse to have their kids to drop out of college ... because they're thinking about the long term, so we as a country have to make current choices with an eye on the future."

Critics see a hidden agenda behind the president's big-spending plans: The bloated budget will ultimately force Congress to raise taxes. It's the mirror image of the not-so-hidden agenda behind President Reagan's tax cuts. The idea then was that if tax revenues declined sharply Congress would ultimately have to cut spending ("starve the beast"). Big spending cuts didn't happen then, and big tax hikes are no more likely to happen now.

What did happen as a result of tax cuts was that economic growth eventually brought the budget into balance for a few years. Obama is counting on the same outcome now. What will save us from ruin, in his view, is not spending cuts or tax hikes. It's growth, or "prosperity."

Republicans insist they have a better plan. Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., ranking member of the House Budget Committee, described the GOP budget as "lower on deficits, lower on spending, lower on taxes, and higher on jobs." But the House Republican Conference split over how much detail to include in the plan. The Democratic National Committee mocked the Republican document as "a glossy blue pamphlet ... light on specifics ... brought to you by the number zero." As in, zero details.

Do Americans think that congressional Republicans have a clear plan for solving the nation's economic problems? Nearly three-quarters of respondents in the CNN poll said no.

Obama is resisting pressure to toss spending on health care, education, and energy out of his budget to make it cheaper and easier to pass. Some of the pressure is coming from his own advisers. The president says that pressure is for "instant gratification," encouraged by shorter news cycles and shorter attention spans.

The president is defying that culture. He wants long-term thinking -- something radically different from the norm in American politics.

  •  
  •  

"Political Pulse" is Bill Schneider's take on politics and public opinion.


billschneider@turner.com

Previously in Political Pulse

  • Tough Luck For Big Business (04/18/2009)
  • GOP Enters Spring Training Looking For A Closer (04/11/2009)
  • Ramping Up (04/04/2009)
  • Bank Bailouts Are A Minefield For Obama (03/28/2009)
  • Taking A Bruising (03/21/2009)

Advertisement

Highlights

CongressDaily

  • Swing Senators Boxer On GOP Demands

National Journal Magazine

  • Congressional Insiders Poll

The Hotline

  • Lesson Learned?

NationalJournal.com

  • Shinseki's Goal: In Five Years, No Homeless Veterans
Staff Contact Employment Reprints & Back Issues Privacy Policy Advertising
Copyright 2009 by National Journal Group Inc. The Watergate 600 New Hampshire Ave., NW Washington, DC 20037
202-739-8400 · fax 202-833-8069 NationalJournal.com is an Atlantic Media publication.