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Magazine / POLITICS

Battleground States: The Bush Factor

September 20, 2008

Attitudes toward President Bush are powerfully shaping the vote in these five battleground states. Although the job-approval ratings of Bush are low in all five states, the presidential nominee of his Republican Party, John McCain, remains competitive because in each state he is running better among voters who approve of Bush than Barack Obama is among the voters who disapprove of Bush.

Percentage who approve or disapprove of how Bush is handling his job as president

            Approve  Disapprove
Colorado      35%       61%
Florida       34%       64%
New Mexico    35%       61%
Ohio          35%       59%
Virginia      39%       56%

 
e>

Among those who approve of Bush who would vote for ...

           McCain  Obama
Colorado    87%      7%
Florida     84%     10%
New Mexico  87%      9%
Ohio        86%      6%
Virginia    81%     10%

e>

Among those who disapprove of Bush who would vote for ...

            McCain  Obama
Colorado     21%     69%
Florida      21%     63%
New Mexico   14%     73%
Ohio         15%     67%
Virginia     24%     64%

e>

SOURCE: Telephone survey of approximately 400 registered voters in each state was conducted by FD for Allstate/National Journal, September 11-15; margin of error: +/-4.9 percentage points

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