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CONGRESSIONAL INSIDERS POLL

Congressional Insiders Poll

Q: How confident are you in the Obama administration's conduct of the war in Afghanistan?

Democrats (39 votes)

Very confident         13 percent
Somewhat confident     51 percent
Not very confident     18 percent
Not confident at all   18 percent

 
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Somewhat confident

"It needs time. It took Lincoln a few years to get his arms around the war and his generals."

"The Obama team's capabilities aren't in question. The Taliban's operational capacity and the capabilities of our Afghan and Pakistani partners are."

 

"Conduct will be measured by how fast the Afghans take charge of their own government. The United States has about a year of patience left."

"The real question is, 'How confident can anyone be in the Afghan government?' President Obama is listening to his generals and doing what he can."

"Team strategy is helpful. And we would be worse off if we hadn't re-energized the relationships with our allies."

"What's the plan, Sam?"

 

Not very confident

"He never should have made it 'his war' as Candidate Obama."

"The loss of life and funds is terrible -- and cannot succeed in an outcome any different than that achieved by the U.S.S.R. or the British Empire. Time to stop."

"I don't think this is going well at all. In view of the new issue of how the top brass feels about the administration, I think we are at a crisis point."

Not confident at all

"We need to rethink this entire policy."

"We are asking troops to fix problems that the military is not capable of solving alone. We need to bring our soldiers home."

"It seems that George Bush is still in the White House; nothing has changed."

Q: How confident are you in the Obama administration's conduct of the war in Afghanistan?

Republicans (35 votes)

Very confident          3 percent
Somewhat confident     26 percent
Not very confident     54 percent
Not confident at all   17 percent

e>

Very confident

"Gen. Petraeus will prevail over politics."

Somewhat confident

"Gen. McChrystal's strategy is sound; question is whether the administration will give it a real chance to succeed."

"I have full confidence that Gen. Petraeus will pick up where Gen. McChrystal left off."

"[Defense Secretary Robert] Gates and his commanders are doing their best. Surge hasn't been fully engaged yet, but our troops are in an incredibly rough slog."

"Gen. Petraeus has proven an exceptionally competent leader. The challenge now is for the administration to refocus on winning this war."

Not very confident

"Like the oil spill response, not much confidence that the White House knows what it's doing."

"We cannot occupy and hold Afghanistan if we can't get support from the Afghan population. But our timeline for withdrawal discourages Afghan support while simultaneously emboldening our enemies who want nothing more than a U.S. failure."

"Like President Bush, Obama has the best military and finest officers in the world at his command. However, he lacks Bush's will to win. And he is likely to choose domestic political expediency over success in Afghanistan as the 2012 election draws near. Artificial timelines don't inspire confidence in anyone, except the enemy."

"Loss of McChrystal and its impact will have to be evaluated."

"Although some good decisions have been made, I'm concerned the president will ultimately defer to the Far Left when he needs to."

"Divisions, conflict -- and that's just within the Obama 'national security team.' "

"It's unclear what the objective is, although the selection of Gen. Petraeus may bring clarity to the situation."

Q: What is the most likely final outcome of energy legislation this year?

Democrats (39 votes)

Nothing enacted             23 percent
Modest bill enacted         56 percent
Significant bill enacted, 
   without carbon limits    15 percent
Significant bill enacted, 
   with carbon limits        5 percent

e>

Nothing enacted

"It's sad that the oil spill hasn't galvanized more support, but the legislative timeline before the midterms is too tight. Without serious Republican negotiators, even a limited bill doesn't stand a chance."

"Republicans in the Senate have decided to freeze all legislative action. Who cares if the country suffers?"

"Jon Stewart recently demonstrated -- brilliantly and frighteningly -- how little will the American people have always had to actually tackle this issue they talk about daily."

Modest bill enacted

"Shockingly, the worst oil spill in America's history -- every four days in the Gulf leak is an Exxon Valdez equivalent -- has failed to undermine the equally oily dealings of the oil, gas, and coal lobbies in Congress."

"Democrats cannot do nothing post-BP spill."

"Congress feels compelled to do something on the heels of the crisis in the Gulf. But in this tough election year, it isn't likely that members will be willing to take a tough vote on legislation that would enact real change."

"A bill will pass, but it is not clear that moderates have the stomach to place a price on carbon, which we must do if we're serious about creating green-energy jobs."

"There is no path to 60 for a significant bill."

"I don't see us taking up any bills that will create great divisions in the Democratic caucus. Nothing, at least before the elections. Energy will suffer the same fate as immigration reform."

"We need more, but 'modest' is the best I expect."

"And I am being optimistic."

"Outcomes, if any, are always modest."

Significant bill, without carbon limits

"The Senate will probably pass a much more modest bill than the one the House sent them last July. And a conference committee will fashion something more significant."

"Carbon limits may be too contentious this year. But if the worst environmental disaster in world history can't get the U.S. to adopt a plan to substantially increase new energy technology development, what will?"

Q: What is the most likely final outcome of energy legislation this year?

Republicans (35 votes)

Nothing enacted             71 percent
Modest bill enacted         23 percent 
Significant bill enacted, 
   without carbon limits     6 percent
Significant bill enacted, 
   with carbon limits        0 percent

e>

Nothing enacted

"Democrats are too divided on energy to enact any meaningful legislation this year."

"The Democrats spent their political capital almost as fast as they spent taxpayers' capital. They have the political version of a trillion-dollar deficit."

"After a failed $1 trillion stimulus and a health care bill that actually raises costs, no one has the stomach for a massive new energy tax."

"There is no time on the calendar. And no path to 60 in the Senate."

Modest bill enacted

"A bipartisan bill is possible, but the administration must take cap-and-trade off the table."

"It will be modest unless they decide to pass it during the lame-duck."

"Same old renewables pablum, preceded predictably by urgent calls for 'a green-energy future' to mollify environmental Left prior to November."

"Hopefully promoting an all-of-the-above policy, no taxes."

Significant bill, without carbon limits

"The Democrats feel they can use the oil spill to push this issue, but their coal-state guys will hold the line on carbon reduction."

National Journal Insiders

Democratic Congressional Insiders Sens. Sherrod Brown, Ben Cardin, Thomas Carper, Christopher Dodd, Frank Lautenberg, Barbara Mikulski, Mark Pryor, Jon Tester, Tom Udall, Mark Warner; Reps. Jason Altmire, Robert Andrews, Michael Arcuri, Tammy Baldwin, Melissa Bean, Xavier Becerra, Howard Berman, Marion Berry, Rick Boucher, Lois Capps, Michael Capuano, Dennis Cardoza, Chris Carney, James Clyburn, Gerry Connolly , Jim Cooper, Joseph Crowley, Elijah Cummings, Artur Davis, Diana DeGette, Rosa DeLauro, Eliot Engel, Anna Eshoo, Sam Farr, Chaka Fattah, Bob Filner, Phil Hare, Alcee Hastings, Rush Holt, Mike Honda, Steve Israel, Frank Kratovil, Jim Langevin, John Lewis, Zoe Lofgren, Nita Lowey, Carolyn Maloney, Ed Markey, Jim McDermott, Jim McGovern, Mike McMahon, Kendrick Meek, Jim Moran, David Price, Silvestre Reyes, Linda Sanchez, Jan Schakowsky, Mark Schauer, Jose Serrano, Adam Smith, John Spratt, Pete Stark, Bart Stupak, John Tanner, Ellen Tauscher, Bennie Thompson, Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Henry Waxman, and Peter Welch.

GOP Congressional Insiders Sens. Lamar Alexander, Jim Bunning, John Cornyn, Jim DeMint, John Ensign, Lindsey Graham, Kay Bailey Hutchison, Johnny Isakson, George LeMieux, Richard Lugar, Lisa Murkowski, Jeff Sessions, Olympia Snowe, John Thune, David Vitter; Reps. Michele Bachmann, Brian Bilbray, Marsha Blackburn, Roy Blunt, John Boehner, Charles Boustany, Kevin Brady, John Campbell, Eric Cantor, John Carter, Michael Castle, Tom Cole, Mike Conaway, David Dreier, Jeff Flake, Scott Garrett, Bob Goodlatte, Kay Granger, Doc Hastings, Pete Hoekstra, Darrell Issa, Peter King, Jack Kingston, Mark Kirk, John Kline, Christopher Lee, Dan Lungren, Kenny Marchant, Kevin McCarthy, Patrick McHenry, John Mica, Candice Miller, Sue Myrick, Devin Nunes, Mike Pence, Tom Price, Adam Putnam, Dave Reichert, Mike Rogers of Michigan, Peter Roskam, Paul Ryan, Pete Sessions, John Shadegg, Adrian Smith, Pat Tiberi, Fred Upton, and Joe Wilson.

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