Q: How satisfied are you with the way John McCain has waged his presidential campaign since wrapping up the nomination?
Republicans (85 votes)
Very satisfied 33 percent Somewhat satisfied 40 percent Somewhat dissatisfied 20 percent Very dissatisfied 7 percent
Very satisfied
"He appears to have solidified his party base, shored up his cash, staked out detailed positions on a range of issues. Importantly, he has begun to draw differences with the administration in key areas. This is vital if we are to have a chance in November."
"He's doing most things right: reaching out to ex-adversaries, going into nontraditional areas, keeping the heat on Barack, remaining active, and appearing fit. [There has been an] occasional pandering misstep, e.g., gas-tax holiday, but overall a sound performance."
"If John McCain wins the presidency, I think we may say he won it between March and June. We've nominated the only Republican who could win this year, and the Democrats will nominate the only candidate who could lose."
"The Democrats have done a good job of uniting our base. And McCain has basically let them do it. Republicans are actually beginning to think we can win, which was not the case six months ago."
Somewhat satisfied
"He's doing OK, but not great. Reintroducing himself is good, but the campaign seems like they are running primary fights and not a broad-gauged, bold, campaign for change in America. Bush is, after all, at 28 percent [job approval]."
"He hasn't made any big mistakes, and he's pulled even in the polls, so it's hard to complain. But he's still losing too many conservatives, and [his campaign's] tours seem more like vanity projects than gaining much political benefit."
"He's doing a lot of things right. But his most important goal is protecting his independent, 'different-kind-of-a-Republican' brand. And the gas-tax holiday idea looks a lot more like a typical politician than a straight-talking truth-teller."
"The two areas he needs to shore up fast are his campaign finances and his ability to talk comfortably and soundly on the economy."
"He has managed to lay out some clear positions and not get in the way of the Democratic candidates killing each other. But the campaign still feels disorganized, like it's running at 50 percent, and it is still failing to inspire the base much."
"The policy team is not yet tightly wrapped. We are seeing some seemingly random policy priorities rolled out in odd geographic locations."
"Not really motivating me to put up the campaign signs up yet."
"They've done a good job of unifying the party. The question remains whether they take it to the next step and articulate a message that will play in a year when voters are demanding change."
"No mistakes, but not very relevant either."
Somewhat dissatisfied
"They've blown six weeks, stumbling around. Finance operation is disorganized. Still no general election message."
"Not sure if McCain has taken advantage of the Democratic disarray. He is talking too much about himself and not enough about the voters."
"Conservatives seemed to hop right into bed with him without much fuss--not enough conservative concessions or rightward improvements. That allowed him to revert to vintage McCain."
"Haven't a clue what he would do as president. He needs a new and bold agenda. This is Bob Dole '96 all over again."
Very dissatisfied
"Nationally, they are not raising money, they are not gaining momentum, they are not well prepared. If you could see what I see in a key battleground state, you'd see little organization with no one at the helm, and no genuine effort to involve the teams of their primary opponents: a recipe for losing a winnable state in November."
"The money's not coming together. The message isn't very clear. The policy they've rolled out is boring. The money's not coming together. There's no move toward building any sort of online counterforce to the Democrats. Oh, and the money's not coming together."
GOP Political Insiders
Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Wayne Berman, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Danny Carroll, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Rick Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Steve Duprey, Debi Durham, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Sam Geduldig, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bruce Keough, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris Lacivita, Jim Lake, Chuck Larson, Steve Lombardo, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Bill McInturff, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Ed Rogers, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Don Sipple, Robin Smith, Javier Soto, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Eric Tanenblatt, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Tom Wilson, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, and Fred Wszolek.
Q: Which would hurt your party more, failing to nominate Hillary Rodham Clinton or failing to nominate Barack Obama?
Democrats (86 votes)
Failing to nominate Clinton 23 percent Failing to nominate Obama 72 percent Depends; no difference (volunteered) 5 percent
Failing to nominate Clinton
"If my memory serves me correctly, the idea is to win in November. And Hillary has the best opportunity to actually make that happen."
"And the exit polls are proof of this fact. A much larger percentage of voters in Indiana and North Carolina indicated they will not vote for Obama."
"Women falling in the senior and middle-age category were the downfall of John Kerry in some states four years ago. Since they have been overwhelmingly supporting Clinton, they will be a group that will be hard to get behind any other nominee."
"We don't want the Reagan Democrats to return to Reagan by voting for McCain."
"But the party leaders will opt for Obama, [because] a 'peace in our time' August convention is seen as more important than avoiding another McGovern-scale loss in November."
Failing to nominate Obama
"Our party will lose an entire generation of voters, if not two, if the nomination is stolen from Obama. And African-Americans may never come back. The party establishment totally underestimates the potential for black voters to take a permanent hike. They are already furious, as [Rep. James] Clyburn [D-S.C.] aptly stated."
"This doesn't have anything to do with race or gender. But if the superdelgates deny the pledged-delegate leader the prize in Denver, there will be the devil for Democrats to pay in November."
"Not only does Obama have the numbers and [has] proven himself to be a resilient campaigner, but how do you deny the nomination to the candidate promoting unity and hope versus the other candidate with a strategy of divide and conquer?"
"The reaction in the African-American community would shake this nation to its core. I fear even potential riots. We have to play this out, but the tension inside this race is terrifying at times."
"A close second is failing to nominate Clinton for VP."
"The impact of the potential disillusionment of the new voters Obama has brought into the process would have a significant downstream effect on marginal House and Senate [contests]."
"African-Americans will be a lot angrier than women."
"Both sides will feel aggrieved in the short run, but failure to nominate Obama would cause irreparable long-term harm to the party's base."
"How do you deny the nomination to the person who has won the largest number of states, the popular vote, and the most pledged delegates, and expect to maintain the support of the millions that voted for him, particularly the new and young voters? It would mean the Democratic Party would be the party of the wilderness for an entire generation to come."
"You heard the voters of North Carolina and even Indiana say loudly and clearly to Sen. Clinton: 'Game over.' She may not have heard that message, but the supers certainly heard it."
"The exit-poll numbers say that failing to nominate Clinton would be more harmful, but at an elite level, the opposite is true. And in the event [that Obama isn't nominated], those elite views would reshape mass opinion."
"Clinton's nomination would be an unmitigated disaster, given the tenor of her campaign the past six weeks. There remains an important role for her as a national leader, but not as the nominee."
"Today Obama shaved the fuzzy math off Clinton's peach. Sen. Obama won more states, more delegates, and the popular vote. Deny Obama, and many will feel the Democrats denied justice."
"If the superdelgates were to hand the nomination to Clinton at this point, there would be a civil war in the Democratic Party. And a generation of new activists, and especially young voters, would likely be lost for good. Fortunately, that's not going to happen."
Democratic Political Insiders
Karen Ackerman, Jill Alper, David Axelrod, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Deb Callahan, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Jim Craig, Jerry Crawford, Stephanie Cutter, Jeff Danielson, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Michael Donilon, Tom Donilon, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Eric Eve, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Gordon Fischer, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Don Fowler, Gina Glantz, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Michael Gronstal, Marcia Hale, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Mike Henry, Leo Hindery, Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Shar Knutson, Kam Kuwata, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Sylvia Larsen, Jeff Link, Bill Lynch, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Terry McAuliffe, Caroline McCarley, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Scott Parven, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, John Podesta, Tony Podesta, Bruce Reed, Mame Reiley, Steve Ricchetti, Susan Rice, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, John Ryan, Wendy Sherman, Terry Shumaker, Bob Slagle, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Darry Sragow, Karl Struble, Katrina Swett, Sarah Swisher, Eric Tabor, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Mike Veon, Rick Wiener, Bridgette Williams, and JoDee Winterhof, Jim Zogby.
