July 4, 2009
National Journal MagazineNational Journal MagazineThe HotlineCongress Daily
Poll Track
Click here for a print friendly version

National
Journal Group

Learn more about our publications and sign up for a free trial.

E-Mail Alerts
Get notified the moment your favorite features are updated.

Need A Reprint?
Click here for details on reprints, permissions and back issues.

Advertise With Us
Details on advertising with National Journal Group -- both online and in print -- can be found in our online media kit.

Go Wireless
Get daily political updates on your handheld computer.

GovernmentExecutive.com - Covering The Business Of The Federal Government
Eyeing The Exits
Most Look To Measured Pullout Rather Than Immediate Withdrawal

Poll Track
In Today's Poll Track:
AP/Ipsos

Other Recent Polling

The Public Pulse: Opinions At A Glance

Polling Archives
Campaigns · Key Issues
People, Institutions & Events

E-Mail Alert
Search Poll Track

Glossary Of Terms
About Poll Track

By Jane Roh, NationalJournal.com
© National Journal Group Inc.
Friday, Dec. 8, 2006

Headlines are already abuzz with speculation on the 2008 presidential election. But elsewhere in the country, many Americans have their eye on another year: 2009.

That's according to polls that show Americans are beyond ready to wash their hands of President Bush and the engagement in Iraq.

A new Associated Press/Ipsos Public Affairs survey finds that disapproval of the president's policies on Iraq are at an all-time high of 71 percent. Bush apparently scores few points on non-Iraq policies as well; 64 percent disapprove of the job he is doing in general. That's a slightly worse appraisal than the one given in mid-November.

It seems unlikely that Bush or Congress will embrace all 79 tenets of the Iraq Study Group's long-anticipated report. But the two in particular the president has dismissed out of hand -- drawing down U.S. forces over the next 15 months and bringing Iran and Syria into the discussion -- are both policies Americans would like to see the administration pursue.

When asked about a timetable for withdrawing U.S. troops by mid-2007, a half-sample approved by 60 percent. But when presented with a timetable that calls for troops to leave within two years, 71 percent approved. The results suggest that Americans aren't exactly itching to quit Iraq simply because they feel things aren't going well there, as supporters of the war might put it. Rather, respondents seemed to think it's still possible to make progress on the ground, although not possible to achieve victory as defined by the administration.

Nearly two-thirds said a "stable, democratic government" in Iraq was probably out of reach. Thirty-five percent felt that a democratic foothold in the Middle East was still possible; half of Republicans queried said so, compared with 22 percent of Democrats, according to AP's analysis.

A poll [PDF] commissioned by WorldPublicOpinion.org and conducted by the Program on International Policy Attitudes and Knowledge Networks also shows that Americans' concern over Iraq has at least as much to do with the welfare of that country as U.S. interests. Fewer than two in 10 of those respondents wanted an immediate withdrawal within six months. A 40-percent plurality favored a one-year or two-year timeline, while 38 percent wanted a withdrawal only "as the security situation improves."

"The question of are we doing any good there rather than U.S. interests seems to be driving" responses on whether U.S. forces should stay, lead analyst Steven Kull said at a conference announcing the poll results in Washington on Thursday. (The survey was conducted online using a pre-screened panel; the Web site has more methodological details.)

An overwhelming 79 percent backed a major summit on Iraq that would include the United States, Iraqi leaders and Arab nations. When asked if the United States should try to work with neighboring countries "with whom we have other disputes" on the problem of Iraq, three-quarters said yes -- including 72 percent of Republicans. Those figures held when respondents were asked if such talks should be held with Syria.

The poll also shows that the Bush administration's handling of Iraq has broader implications for how secure Americans feel in general. "The Bush administration has pursued this experiment in trying to increase the utility and effectiveness of U.S. military power. The American public believes the experiment has failed," Kull said.

The Public Pulse -- Latest Opinions At A Glance
The table below offers the latest key national numbers. Click on the number in question for poll details. (Last updated April 2)
Congressional Job Approval
Bush Job Approval Rating
Economy Positive Rating State Of The Nation
20%
Job approval
rating.

28%
Job approval
rating.

19%
Give the economy a positive rating.
20%
Say country is going in right direction.

The above icons represent (left to right) Congress, President Bush, the economy and the direction of the country.

Search Poll Track
Search the archives of Poll Track using the form below. Note: Do not include connectors ("and," "or," etc.) in your query -- simply enter the keywords you would like to search.

Sign Up For Poll Track's E-Mail Alert
Poll Track's daily roundup of the latest national numbers is available as an HTML e-mail alert (
click here to see a sample). The alert is sent at noon each weekday and available to all NationalJournal.com subscribers. Click here to sign up.

Advertisement Advertisement


 NEW FEATURE

Search



[ E-mail NationalJournal.com ]
[ Site Index | Staff | Privacy Policy | E-Mail Alerts ]
[ Reprints And Back Issues | Content Licensing ]
[ Make NationalJournal.com Your Homepage ]
[ About National Journal Group Inc. ]
[ Employment Opportunities ]

Copyright 2009 by National Journal Group Inc.
The Watergate · 600 New Hampshire Ave., NW
Washington, DC 20037
202-739-8400 · fax 202-833-8069
NationalJournal.com is an Atlantic Media publication.