The 65 Republican House freshmen who captured Democratic-held seats in the 2010 midterm elections have compiled National Journal vote ratings well to the right of their predecessors’—on average, by 30 points. In most cases, a conservative Republican replaced a centrist Democrat. But a handful of districts did an about-face, trading a liberal Democrat for a conservative Republican.
(Key: Democratic Predecessors, Composite Conservative Score In 2010, Republican Freshmen, Composite Conservative Score In 2011, Change, 2010 to 2011)
Carol Shea-Porter, D-N.H.: 26.2, Frank Guinta, R-N.H.: 86.8, 60.6
Dan Maffei, D-N.Y.: 34.5, Ann Marie Buerkle, R-N.Y.: 91.2, 56.7
Steve Kagen, D-Wis.: 23.5, Reid Ribble, R-Wis.: 79.8, 56.3
Bart Gordon, D-Tenn.: 38.0, Diane Black, R-Tenn.: 94.0, 56.0
Alan Grayson, D-Fla.: 28.5, Daniel Webster, R-Fla.: 81.8, 53.3
James Oberstar, D-Minn.: 11.5, Chip Cravaack, R-Minn.: 64.2, 52.7
Bob Etheridge, D-N.C.: 38.7, Renee Ellmers, R-N.C.: 91.2, 52.5
David Obey, D-Wis.: 12.0, Sean Duffy, R-Wis.: 64.2, 52.2
Bart Stupak, D-Mich.: 27.0, Dan Benishek, R-Mich.: 76.5, 49.5
Ciro Rodriguez, D-Texas: 36.0, Francisco (Quico) Canseco, R-Texas: 82.7, 46.7
Dennis Moore, D-Kan.: 38.3, Kevin Yoder, R-Kan.: 84.3, 46.0
Steve Driehaus, D-Ohio: 44.7, Steve Chabot, R-Ohio: 89.7, 45.0
Mark Schauer, D-Mich.: 40.8, Tim Walberg, R-Mich.: 85.0, 44.2
Suzanne Kosmas, D-Fla.: 42.7, Sandy Adams, R-Fla.: 86.8, 44.1
Charlie Wilson, D-Ohio: 41.2, Bill Johnson, R-Ohio: 84.5, 43.3
Betsy Markey, D-Colo.: 45.0, Cory Gardner, R-Colo.: 85.0, 40.0
Harry Teague, D-N.M.: 46.2, Steve Pearce, R-N.M.: 85.8, 39.6
Tom Perriello, D-Va.: 46.7, Robert Hurt, R-Va.: 86.0, 39.3
John Tanner, D-Tenn.: 54.8, Stephen Fincher, R-Tenn.: 94.0, 39.2
Vic Snyder, D-Ark.: 38.5, Tim Griffin, R-Ark.: 77.7, 39.2
Mary Jo Kilroy, D-Ohio: 26.5, Steve Stivers, R-Ohio: 64.7, 38.2
Chet Edwards, D-Texas: 51.0, Bill Flores, R-Texas: 89.2, 38.2
Allen Boyd, D-Fla.: 47.0, Steve Southerland, R-Fla.: 85.0, 38.0
Charlie Melancon, D-La.: 49.0, Jeffrey Landry, R-La.: 85.8, 36.8
John Salazar, D-Colo.: 47.3, Scott Tipton, R-Colo.: 83.8, 36.5
Zack Space, D-Ohio: 54.7, Bob Gibbs, R-Ohio: 88.7, 34.0
Phil Hare, D-Ill.: 28.3, Bobby Schilling, R-Ill.: 61.2, 32.9
John Boccieri, D-Ohio: 46.3, Jim Renacci, R-Ohio: 78.8, 32.5
Baron Hill, D-Ind.: 47.7, Todd Young, R-Ind.: 79.8, 32.1
Brad Ellsworth, D-Ind.: 49.0, Larry Bucshon, R-Ind.: 80.7, 31.7
John Spratt, D-S.C.: 40.7, Mick Mulvaney, R-S.C.: 71.7, 31.0
John Hall, D-N.Y.: 22.8, Nan Hayworth, R-N.Y.: 52.7, 29.9
Ann Kirkpatrick, D-Ariz.: 50.8, Paul Gosar, R-Ariz.: 79.8, 29.0
Marion Berry, D-Ark.: 46.3, Rick Crawford, R-Ark.: 75.0, 28.7
Bill Foster, D-Ill.: 48.2, Randy Hultgren, R-Ill.: 75.2, 27.0
Ron Klein, D-Fla.: 36.7, Allen West, R-Fla.: 63.2, 26.5
Ike Skelton, D-Mo: 53.8, Vicky Hartzler, R-Mo.: 79.3, 25.5
Harry Mitchell, D-Ariz.: 55.7, David Schweikert, R-Ariz.: 81.0, 25.3
Lincoln Davis, D-Tenn.: 49.5, Scott DesJarlais, R-Tenn.: 72.8, 23.3
Travis Childers, D-Miss.: 59.2, Alan Nunnelee, R-Miss.: 82.5, 23.3
Christopher Carney, D-Pa.: 54.0, Tom Marino, R-Pa.: 76.7, 22.7
Gene Taylor, D-Miss.: 60.3, Steven Palazzo, R-Miss.: 82.7, 22.4
Kathy Dahlkemper, D-Pa.: 49.7, Mike Kelly, R-Pa.: 72.0, 22.3
Earl Pomeroy, D-N.D.: 46.0, Rick Berg, R-N.D.: 68.2, 22.2
Joe Sestak, D-Pa.: 28.2, Pat Meehan, R-Pa.: 50.0, 21.8
Bobby Bright, D-Ala.: 59.8, Martha Roby, R-Ala.: 80.7, 20.9
Paul Kanjorski, D-Pa.: 44.0, Lou Barletta, R-Pa.: 64.5, 20.5
Solomon Ortiz, D-Texas: 48.0, Blake Farenthold, R-Texas: 68.3, 20.3
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, D-S.D.: 53.0, Kristi Noem, R-S.D.: 73.0, 20.0
Jim Marshall, D-Ga.: 57.8, Austin Scott, R-Ga.: 77.2, 19.4
Melissa Bean, D-Ill.: 48.5, Joe Walsh, R-Ill.: 66.5, 18.0
Frank Kratovil, D-Md.: 49.8, Andy Harris, R-Md.: 67.0, 17.2
Alan Mollohan, D-W.Va.: 37.7, David McKinley, R-W.Va.: 52.7, 15.0
Brian Baird, D-Wash.: 40.7, Jaime Herrera Beutler, R-Wash.: 52.5, 11.8
Debbie Halvorson, D-Ill.: 48.2, Adam Kinzinger, R-Ill.: 58.2, 10.0
John Adler, D-N.J.: 52.5, Jon Runyan, R-N.J.: 61.7, 9.2
Dina Titus, D-Nev.: 44.7, Joe Heck, R-Nev.: 53.5, 8.8
Scott Murphy, D-N.Y.: 41.7, Chris Gibson, R-N.Y.: 48.8, 7.1
Walt Minnick, D-Idaho: 56.8, Raul Labrador, R-Idaho: 63.2, 6.4
Glenn Nye, D-Va.: 55.0, Scott Rigell, R-Va.: 61.3, 6.3
Paul Hodes, D-N.H.: 41.7, Charlie Bass, R-N.H.: 46.8, 5.1
Rick Boucher, D-Va.: 54.5, Morgan Griffith, R-Va.: 57.8, 3.3
Patrick Murphy, D-Pa.: 46.2, Mike Fitzpatrick, R-Pa.: 47.7, 1.5
Michael Arcuri, D-N.Y.: 48.2, Richard Hanna, R-N.Y.: 47.2, -1.0
Michael McMahon, D-N.Y.: 53.3, Michael Grimm, R-N.Y.: 50.2, -3.1
This article appears in the Feb. 25, 2012, edition of National Journal.
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