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Poll: Will Obama’s Decision to Regulate Greenhouse Gasses Hurt Democrats in th... Poll: Will Obama’s Decision to Regulate Greenhouse Gasses Hurt ... Poll: Will Obama’s Decision to Regulate Greenhouse Gasses Hurt Democ... Poll: Will Obama’s Deci...

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Magazine / POLITICAL INSIDERS POLL

Poll: Will Obama’s Decision to Regulate Greenhouse Gasses Hurt Democrats in the Midterms?

June 27, 2013

On balance, will President Obama's decision to regulate greenhouse-gas emissions through EPA help, hurt, or have no effect on Democrats during the midterm election?

DEMOCRATS (90 VOTES)

Help: 33%
Hurt: 16%
No effect: 51%

Help

 

"Just as the phony debate over the science is over, the question of Americans' support for taking action on climate is over. The GOP is in the Stone Age on social issues, and they're in the Ice Age on climate."

"While divisive, this issue will strengthen the president's hand with his base and help him fight the growing sentiment that he lacks commitment and vision."

"The president's approach will be applauded by the coalition that won two national elections and will deliver for the Democrats in the midterms."

"Have you walked outside?"

Hurt

"The midterms are about the marginal swing seats, and without a coherent communications strategy, its just handing a mallet to the GOP."

"Remember 2010. Climate changed the House majority."

No effect

"Good initiative, but unlike Syria, China, economy, immigration, and other hot-button issues, not calculated to move many votes."

"All this does is check this box for the enviro base."

"Folks simply aren't paying attention."

"Not many undecideds on this issue, if any at all."

"Jumping from issue to issue makes this a splash no one will remember in November 2013, much less 2014."

"The election will focus on 'Obamacare.' "

"Only members of the Flat Earth Society don't think climate change is a problem, and they are already committed to the R's."

 

On balance, will President Obama's decision to regulate greenhouse-gas emissions through EPA help, hurt, or have no effect on Democrats during the midterm election?

REPUBLICANS (97 VOTES)

Help: 0%
Hurt: 74%
No effect: 26%

Hurt

"Apparently he doesn't view Mary Landrieu, Mark Pryor, Kay Hagan, and Mark Begich as renewable resources."

"Hard-core environmentalists are already with Obama. This move will largely hurt people who want jobs."

"It kills Democrats in coal states and promises higher electric rates in most states."

"Democrats across the Midwest running for election next year must be petrified that voters will lash out at them to protest Obama's climate-change agenda."

"Nick Rahall, whichever Dem runs for the West Virginia Senate seat, and some of the Pennsylvania Democrats are going to have a hard time defending this."

"This will cause them heartburn, if not cost them seats, in places like Montana and the fracking states. It's plain dumb, politically."

"It puts some Democrats in the position of choosing between their base and swing voters in certain places. That's never a good thing."

"If this is spun as anti-coal in red states, or even purple ones. There will be no way to color this as green."

"EVERYBODY pays utility rates. This is a potential political disaster."

"The president is engaging in a level of overreach that will leave his party's candidates overextended."

"For red-state Democrats this is bad news."

"Big money spigots opening on this issue."

No effect

"All it does is feed already existing perceptions."

"Some fads—Cabbage Patch kids, bell bottoms—should be allowed to die natural deaths. Dems should let this one fade away."

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.

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