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Poll: Will Events in Ukraine Affect This Year's Midterms? Poll: Will Events in Ukraine Affect This Year's Midterms?

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Magazine

Poll: Will Events in Ukraine Affect This Year's Midterms?

March 6, 2014

Will the events in Ukraine affect this year's midterm elections?

DEMOCRATS (87 VOTES)

Yes: 31%
No: 69%

Yes

 

"Democratic success in 2014 is a function of an increased job rating for President Obama. Americans unite behind the president in times of crisis. If POTUS can resolve the Crimean crisis successfully, his job rating will increase and help all Democratic candidates."

"Ukraine will test the leadership of the president and the Democrats versus the GOP's interest in restarting the Cold War."

"Depends—but Putin backs down, Obama's numbers go up, which helps across the board."

"I'd like to think it's a little early to tell on this, but the administration's continued weakness on major foreign policy issues creates a huge appearance of vulnerability. That just does not help any Democrat."

"If Obama looks strong, it helps with independents. If Obama looks weak, it will push toss-ups into the R column."

No

"Did Georgia impact 2008? Exactly."

"Voters don't care about foreign policy in midterm elections (if they care about foreign policy at all)."

"It will be LONG over and will have made almost no impact on voters."

"Not only do Americans have war fatigue, they have foreign policy fatigue."

"It doesn't change a thing."

"Too abstract to most people—unless of course, the U.S. takes some overt action that impacts the military. But even then, with the economy still struggling, economic issues will dominate."

"It's March. As our president wisely noted, the snow will melt at some point. And this will play out, probably to no one's—including and especially Vlad's—benefit."

"The election will turn on domestic issues—specifically which party can help the struggling middle class."

 

Will the events in Ukraine affect this year's midterm elections?

REPUBLICANS (93 VOTES)

Yes: 50%
No: 50%

Yes

"Obama's weakness in handling foreign affairs can't help Dems running in the fall."

"It's another straw on the camel's back, as Obama heads to Carter-like standing on foreign policy."

"Democrats have a perception of being weak on foreign policy. Ukraine will reinforce this perception."

"During this crisis, Obama, Biden, Kerry, and Hagel will be the face of the party; that's OK with us."

"Just one more reminder to voters that this administration and those who support it are unwilling to deal with reality as adults."

"When a president's foreign policy collapses and the world becomes far more dangerous, his whole party suffers."

"Even liberal commentators are beginning to talk about President Obama's empty threats."

"The midterm will be a referendum on POTUS and his leadership more than anything else. He seems to have let Putin totally play him here."

No

"It's unlikely, although the more the narrative continues that Romney was right and Obama was wrong on Russia, the worse it gets for the Democrats."

"No, but this will impact the presidential election. Obama's leadership (or lack thereof) will make Hillary more hawkish. Dems can't keep bringing a baguette to these diplomatic knife fights."

"Not unless it turns into a world war, which it won't."

"House and Senate races tend not to be impacted by foreign affairs."

"No American troops are in harm's way, and both U.S. political parties are on Kiev's side."

"While extremely important, it is not the economy."

. . . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.

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