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Poll: Will Congress Pass an Immigration Reform Bill? Poll: Will Congress Pass an Immigration Reform Bill?

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Poll: Will Congress Pass an Immigration Reform Bill?

What is the likelihood that Congress will pass a comprehensive immigration-reform bill this year?


Very likely: 2%
Somewhat likely: 25%
Somewhat unlikely: 44%
Very unlikely: 29%


Somewhat likely

"Pressure will be on the House to not completely destroy the Republican Party."

"At some point, the GOP will come to its senses. They'll do it under the guise of a conference bill, so they can claim it was the Dems. And cement their minority-party status for another decade."


Somewhat unlikely

"Too easy to block, though some Republicans think it will help them in elections."

"Living up to its brand as the Party of No, the House GOP is stuck in an era that is passing it by."

"House Republicans are the 'Know Nothings' of our day."


"The House Republicans are committed to their own demise, and their leadership can't stop them."

"Never would have thought I would feel sorry for Boehner, but given who he has to work with, I do."

"Nothing will happen unless the Chamber [of Commerce] stops funding the congressional GOP who are being destructive on issues that impact our economy."

"Legislation, yes; comprehensive, not likely. But maybe enough to move forward."

Very unlikely

"Killing reform may be the last big act of the tea party, but they will go out with a bang."

"The controlling faction of the House GOP just can't help themselves—they are anti-Latino. Good news: Latinos know it!"

"There is no way the House GOP is going to pass this. They cannot bear the idea of an Obama victory."


What is the likelihood that Congress will pass a comprehensive immigration-reform bill this year?


Very likely: 2%
Somewhat likely: 29%
Somewhat unlikely: 35%
Very unlikely: 34%

Somewhat likely

"The ball is in Speaker Boehner's court, and some of us believe that he wants to do this."

"As a Republican, hope springs eternal that my party will contribute to advancing legislation that makes clear we want the American dream shared with those who flock to our nation."

"We can't go through another presidential [election] having opposed it. That will be a walk for the Democratic nominee."

Somewhat unlikely

"Something will pass, but it won't look like the Senate bill."

"Amnesty for those illegally in the country is a nonstarter for House Republicans. Speaker Boehner would become the former speaker if he tried to move an amnesty bill."

"House GOP has its head in the sand. More worried about 2014 primary than future of the party."

"Unless enforcement-first happens, this is a no-go, and everyone gets to make it a big issue in 2014."

Very unlikely

"The GOP base is not interested in creating more Democratic voters."

"House Republicans have clearly decided that doing nothing is politically smarter than doing something bold. Questionable judgment."

"2013 and immigration will be inscribed on the GOP's tombstone after 2016."

"Republicans suffer no consequences by NOT granting citizenship to 10 million new Democratic voters."

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.

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