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Poll: Who Are the Top 5 Contenders for the 2016 GOP Nomination? Poll: Who Are the Top 5 Contenders for the 2016 GOP Nomination?

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Magazine / Political Insiders Poll

Poll: Who Are the Top 5 Contenders for the 2016 GOP Nomination?

November 7, 2013

Who are the top five contenders for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016?

DEMOCRATS (85 VOTES)

Rank, Candidate, Index Score*
1. Chris Christie, 75
2. Rand Paul, 45
3. Ted Cruz, 38
4. Marco Rubio, 38
5. Paul Ryan, 33
6. Scott Walker, 23
7. John Kasich, 19
8. Rick Santorum, 9
9. Bobby Jindal, 8
10. Mike Pence, 3

*Methodology: In tallying the rankings, a first-place vote was worth 5 points, a second-place vote was worth 4 points, and so on. The Insiders index reflects the percentage of points that each contender received out of the maximum possible. For example, Republican participants gave Gov. Chris Christie an index rating of 82, meaning he received 82 percent of the possible 445 points, the number he would have if all 89 Republican participants in the poll this week had ranked him first. Insiders were asked to rank the 10 candidates listed.

 

Chris Christie

"Chris Christie is going to be the flavor of the month/year after his big reelection victory and will be tough to dismantle for a while."

"With his big win this week, Christie showed the Republicans how they can win. Whether they will learn from this is another question."

"Will the desire to win trump the desire to punch America in the face? Only the GOP primary voters know."

"The media loves Chris Christie, which is a good predictor that GOP primary voters will hate him."

Rand Paul

"The GOP simply can't resist its right wing."

Paul Ryan

"Surprise pick of Paul Ryan because it really helps to have national-campaign vetting and experience."

Other

"Jeb Bush will see 2016 as the open race he needs to make a run."

 

Who are the top five contenders for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016?

REPUBLICANS (89 VOTES)

Rank, Candidate, Index Score*
1. Chris Christie, 82
2. Marco Rubio, 44
3. Rand Paul, 40
4. Scott Walker, 35
5. Paul Ryan, 32
6. Ted Cruz, 18
7. John Kasich, 13
8. Bobby Jindal, 9
9. Mike Pence, 8
10. Rick Santorum, 4

*Methodology: In tallying the rankings, a first-place vote was worth 5 points, a second-place vote was worth 4 points, and so on. The Insiders index reflects the percentage of points that each contender received out of the maximum possible. For example, Republican participants gave Gov. Chris Christie an index rating of 82, meaning he received 82 percent of the possible 445 points, the number he would have if all 89 Republican participants in the poll this week had ranked him first. Insiders were asked to rank the 10 candidates listed.

Chris Christie

"Christie has purity-wing detractors but enough crossover appeal to start in leading position."

"Christie showed that Republicans can win over Democrats, minorities, and women. Now he should take on Obamacare to help cement his Republican credentials."

"Nobody from D.C. need apply! Christie starts as a heavy favorite (no pun intended), but that is a dangerous spot for the long run."

"If Cruz gets traction on right, moderates may have to coalesce quickly behind somebody, probably Christie."

Scott Walker

"The tortoise will win this prize."

Ted Cruz

"Washington may hate Cruz, but that will make much of the party love him all the more."

Other

"Jeb is the front-runner if he gets in. Conservative governing record, able to attract new faces to a party that's way too white, and the best fundraising network in the party."

. . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.

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