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Poll: What Are the Chances Congress Will Pass a Major Tax-Reform Bill? Poll: What Are the Chances Congress Will Pass a Major Tax-Reform Bill?

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POLITICAL INSIDERS POLL

Poll: What Are the Chances Congress Will Pass a Major Tax-Reform Bill?

What are the prospects that this Congress will pass a major tax-reform bill?

DEMOCRATS (95 votes)

Excellent: 0%
Good: 5%
Fair: 39%
Poor: 56%

 

Good

“Personal legacy of the outgoing chair [Max Baucus] is a powerful aphrodisiac!”

“The president needs a big bill to deal with the economy. This is it.”

 

Fair

“Some reform as part of a budget deal is possible. Both sides have not done the groundwork for major reform, though.”

“Congress passing any major anything is tough.”

“The committee chairs want to do it for the Max Baucus/Dave Camp legacies. Unless it’s part of a deficit-reduction effort that raises revenue, it won’t happen.”

 

“This is one of the major wildcard issues. Lots of ideas, little consensus.”

“They only have the fortitude to nip around the edges—too many vested interests.”

“These guys can’t agree on anything.”

Poor

“Congress is so bound up, they can’t even pass gas, much less a major tax-reform bill.”

“This Congress can’t walk and chew gum at the same time.”

“Does the word ‘gridlock’ mean anything to you?”

“This Congress? Do its job?”

“This Congress can’t pass anything. Major tax reform is a pipe dream.”

“Obama is not making the case for it, and the GOP wants nothing to do with it. I would say that makes it ‘not good.’ ”

 

 

What are the prospects that this Congress will pass a major tax-reform bill?

REPUBLICANS (101 VOTES)

Excellent: 1%
Good: 8%
Fair: 33%
Poor: 58%

Good

“Current formulas need reworking—and a grand bargain is becoming more likely, not less, as Obama’s weakening sparks GOP interest.”

Fair

“The economy would take off like a rocket if we get this right; unfortunately, there are very few rocket scientists in Congress.”

“The GOP has been saying they would pass major tax reform for years.”

“Only if Obama moves significantly on entitlement reform, much more than he appears willing to do.”

“There is no driving force, so prospects are bleak.”

“ ‘Downtown’ is skeptical. White House is not on board. Only the two chairmen believe it can happen, and that means something.”

“I think there will be a lot of discussion and even some draft language, but nothing will get done.”

Poor

“Too many competing interests, too little time.”

“No consensus exists on any big issues.”

“This Congress?  Seriously? Best laugh I have had all day.”

“Lame-duck president, lame-duck Senate Finance chairman, just plain lame House.”

“Deep into the October playoffs, Congress has its top slugger at the plate, bases loaded ... and he squares to bunt.… That’s what this Congress does.”

. . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O’Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud. 

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