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Political Insiders Poll

Political Insiders Poll

Will Herman Cain still be officially in the race for the GOP presidential nomination by the time of the Iowa caucuses on Jan. 3?

Democrats (106 Votes)

Yes: 73%
No: 27%

 

Yes

“Guys like that without day jobs can stay around longer than they should.”

“Sexual-harassment allegations will keep his name in the headlines, and America will not believe them.”

 

“GOP voters don’t care about the harassment charges. Republicans blame the media more than Cain for the scandal.”

“The lack of acceptable conservative Republican alternatives is a stronger force to keep him in the race.”

“Without money and organization, he won’t win, but he’ll continue to suck oxygen out of the GOP process and be a factor in the outcome.”

“He seems not to care much about conventional campaign tactics. And they don’t seem to impact him. So he’ll be around. He’s too clueless to know he’s not a real candidate.”

 

“He has no choice but to take this to the end. To quit is to admit that it’s all true.”

“He’ll remain a candidate in name only, because he’s in fantasy land; but he will not be a factor in the Iowa outcome. He’ll be the latest in a long line of office seekers who wished they had faced up to their own skeletons before the world had a chance to view them.”

“The scandal won’t kill him—his rank unpreparedness to be president will. And that takes longer.”

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“This hurts Romney, as he needs to narrow the field.”

“Technically, yes. Realistically, no.”

“Cain’s hubris is our reality. He stubbornly sticks it out through Iowa.”

“Don’t ever think presidential candidates live in our reality.”

No

“Time for the Herminator to wrap up the book tour and shut down the complaint eruptions and all those annoying questions from the press.”

“He’ll play the ‘victim’ card and drop out to preserve future book sales and speaking fees.”

“Hell, no. He is destined to self-destruct.”

“He wasn’t a serious contender for the nomination before his scandals, and he still isn’t. But [the] sympathy factor keeps this a jump ball for weeks. Crazy!”

 

Will Herman Cain still be officially in the race for the GOP presidential nomination by the time of the Iowa caucuses on Jan. 3?

Republicans (99 Votes)

Yes: 66%
No: 34%

Yes

“He doesn’t have anything else to do.”

“His ego and inflated sense of self will keep him in the race.”

“Quitting requires dignity, self-control, and consideration for others.”

“For Cain Inc.’s postelection goals in TV and radio, there’s no such thing as bad publicity, just free publicity.”

“He’ll be in the race until all his books are sold!”

“He wasn’t going to be nominated before this, and he won’t be nominated afterward, but he’ll be limping along into the caucuses.”

“He won’t get out unless his wife forces him to, to save an embarrassment.”

“Cain has survived the allegations thus far, and not a single credible person has come forward with evidence. People know a witch hunt when they see one.”

“So far he has managed to dodge the bullets. Of course, if more and more damaging allegations come out, the story could end up differently. But Bill Clinton survived as bad or worse.”

“GOP distrust of the media is artificially keeping Cain afloat.”

“Only because of the overwhelming and persistent thirst for alternatives to Romney.”

“His poll and fundraising numbers keep rising. No matter what he does, he is having a tough time sabotaging his own campaign.”

“He may still be in first place.”

No

“Two more weeks of Jay Leno jokes, and he’s done.”

“He will be history before the end of November.”

“Cannot figure out how he has lasted this long. If Iowans DON’T summarily reject the guy, it will likely be the last election [that] candidates give any attention to Iowa at all.”

“With his demise, it will be the end of the needed discussion of phasing out the income tax and replacing it with a consumption tax. That is the most important tragedy of this whole episode.”

“Not necessarily because of the recent allegations, but because we still have to elevate and then discard Newt before nominating Romney.”

 

Which Republican candidate has the most credibility on foreign-policy and national-security issues?

Democrats (104 votes)

Jon Huntsman: 72%
Newt Gingrich: 16%
Mitt Romney: 7%
Rick Santorum: 2%
Other: 3%

This article appears in the November 12, 2011 edition of National Journal Magazine.

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