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Magazine / Political Insiders Poll

Political Insiders Poll

November 10, 2011

Will Herman Cain still be officially in the race for the GOP presidential nomination by the time of the Iowa caucuses on Jan. 3?

Democrats (106 Votes)

Yes: 73%
No: 27%

Yes

 

“Guys like that without day jobs can stay around longer than they should.”

“Sexual-harassment allegations will keep his name in the headlines, and America will not believe them.”

“GOP voters don’t care about the harassment charges. Republicans blame the media more than Cain for the scandal.”

“The lack of acceptable conservative Republican alternatives is a stronger force to keep him in the race.”

“Without money and organization, he won’t win, but he’ll continue to suck oxygen out of the GOP process and be a factor in the outcome.”

“He seems not to care much about conventional campaign tactics. And they don’t seem to impact him. So he’ll be around. He’s too clueless to know he’s not a real candidate.”

“He has no choice but to take this to the end. To quit is to admit that it’s all true.”

“He’ll remain a candidate in name only, because he’s in fantasy land; but he will not be a factor in the Iowa outcome. He’ll be the latest in a long line of office seekers who wished they had faced up to their own skeletons before the world had a chance to view them.”

“The scandal won’t kill him—his rank unpreparedness to be president will. And that takes longer.”

“This hurts Romney, as he needs to narrow the field.”

“Technically, yes. Realistically, no.”

“Cain’s hubris is our reality. He stubbornly sticks it out through Iowa.”

“Don’t ever think presidential candidates live in our reality.”

No

“Time for the Herminator to wrap up the book tour and shut down the complaint eruptions and all those annoying questions from the press.”

“He’ll play the ‘victim’ card and drop out to preserve future book sales and speaking fees.”

“Hell, no. He is destined to self-destruct.”

“He wasn’t a serious contender for the nomination before his scandals, and he still isn’t. But [the] sympathy factor keeps this a jump ball for weeks. Crazy!”

 

Will Herman Cain still be officially in the race for the GOP presidential nomination by the time of the Iowa caucuses on Jan. 3?

Republicans (99 Votes)

Yes: 66%
No: 34%

Yes

“He doesn’t have anything else to do.”

“His ego and inflated sense of self will keep him in the race.”

“Quitting requires dignity, self-control, and consideration for others.”

“For Cain Inc.’s postelection goals in TV and radio, there’s no such thing as bad publicity, just free publicity.”

“He’ll be in the race until all his books are sold!”

“He wasn’t going to be nominated before this, and he won’t be nominated afterward, but he’ll be limping along into the caucuses.”

“He won’t get out unless his wife forces him to, to save an embarrassment.”

“Cain has survived the allegations thus far, and not a single credible person has come forward with evidence. People know a witch hunt when they see one.”

“So far he has managed to dodge the bullets. Of course, if more and more damaging allegations come out, the story could end up differently. But Bill Clinton survived as bad or worse.”

“GOP distrust of the media is artificially keeping Cain afloat.”

“Only because of the overwhelming and persistent thirst for alternatives to Romney.”

“His poll and fundraising numbers keep rising. No matter what he does, he is having a tough time sabotaging his own campaign.”

“He may still be in first place.”

No

“Two more weeks of Jay Leno jokes, and he’s done.”

“He will be history before the end of November.”

“Cannot figure out how he has lasted this long. If Iowans DON’T summarily reject the guy, it will likely be the last election [that] candidates give any attention to Iowa at all.”

“With his demise, it will be the end of the needed discussion of phasing out the income tax and replacing it with a consumption tax. That is the most important tragedy of this whole episode.”

“Not necessarily because of the recent allegations, but because we still have to elevate and then discard Newt before nominating Romney.”

 

Which Republican candidate has the most credibility on foreign-policy and national-security issues?

Democrats (104 votes)

Jon Huntsman: 72%
Newt Gingrich: 16%
Mitt Romney: 7%
Rick Santorum: 2%
Other: 3%

Huntsman

“Huntsman … and you can see how far that is getting him.”

“Tough to out-do a former ambassador to China. Not like it was ambassador to the Bahamas.”

“He’s probably one of the few that has had his passport stamped in the last year.”

“No contest here. But Huntsman, with his broad international experience, is much too logical.”

“Got to be Huntsman, but that and a quarter won’t get you a coffee at Starbucks.”

“Is this a trick question? Huntsman is the only qualified one on the list.”

Gingrich

“Gingrich = Credibility. No one else comes close to him.”

“On trade and international business, Huntsman has a strong résumé, but when it comes to national security, Newt seems to be the only one who actually had a seat at the table, among this crowd.”

“Newt is the only one who both has a deep understanding of the substance and handles these issues with confidence.”

Romney

“Romney has had ample time as a candidate to have established a foreign-policy advisory staff, and he’s smart enough to absorb and assimilate information. Still, he won’t be a match for an incumbent president whose strong suit is international affairs.”

Santorum

“He knows China has nukes, he’s voted on Defense and State department budgets, but he’s irrelevant.”

 

Which Republican candidate has the most credibility on foreign-policy and national-security issues?

Republicans (98 votes)

Mitt Romney: 33%
Jon Huntsman: 30%
Newt Gingrich: 28%
Rick Santorum: 5%
Rick Perry: 2%
Other: 2%

Romney

“One is tempted to say Huntsman on strength of his stint in Beijing. But Romney has shown an impressive grasp of the key issues, including the importance of both diplomacy and military strength. Plus, frankly, the key foreign-policy issues of the next four years could very likely be economic.”

“In the absence of true experience, it comes down to gravitas.”

Huntsman

“In the land of the blind, one eye is king.”

“Unfortunately, the candidate with the most credibility has no chance of getting the nomination. Sigh.”

Gingrich

“Not a lot is new. A history professor with an understanding of the real world has credibility.”

“Even he will tell you he’s the smartest guy in the room.”

Santorum

“None of them are where McCain was last cycle, but Santorum is the only candidate with a track record of speaking out against the ongoing threat of Islamic fundamentalism.”

Perry

“The most Reagan-like candidate. Now the most conservative serious candidate left. Has to deal with a foreign country every day.”

_____________

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Mindy Fletcher, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O’Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud. 

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