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Political Insiders Poll

Political Insiders Poll

Which party stands to gain from a budget deal?

Which party stands to gain the most from a compromise on the continuing budget resolution?

Democrats (102 votes)

Democrats: 53%
Republicans:  40%
Also receiving votes: Both, 4%; neither, 2%; don’t know, 1%.

 

Democrats

“The loudest Republicans will be complaining that they lost, which is fine by us.”

“Republican-base ideology on budgets does not allow them to govern responsibly. Anything they do will be seen as a sellout.”

 

“Republicans face a lose-lose [game]: Compromise and lose their new base; don’t, and lose the independents who think shutdowns are over the top.”

“The Republicans will have attempted to force a huge change, and any compromise can be spun into a failure by Democrats.”

“Independents left [the Democrats] in 2010 because they felt they couldn’t govern and had no solution for the growing fiscal problems. Showing compromise on some spending cuts is a good thing.”

“We do, because ultimately things rise and fall with the president, and a compromise helps him.”

 

“We already look weak since we have no strategy, so forcing the Republicans to compromise will finally make us look better in comparison amongst our respective bases.”

“Shows we are willing to work across the aisle; it is not our way or the highway.”

Republicans

“They are conveying obstructionism more than conservatism. At some point the GOP needs to demonstrate their ability to govern.”

“If their plan passes, they get the credit.”

“The Republicans will benefit because they changed the dialogue on spending, but they’re rapidly throwing away their victory by bad-mouthing the accomplishment.”

“It would be helpful in the long run for [House Speaker John] Boehner if his tea party wing nuts realized the world will not end if they compromise.”

“They will look like they are actually making serious cuts and changing D.C. without looking like extremists.”

Both (volunteered)

“Perhaps [the two parties] will both regain some standing in the eye of the average Joe, while both parties’ ideological fringe rages about principle.”

 

Which party stands to gain the most from a compromise on the continuing budget resolution?

Republicans (104 votes)

Democrats: 43%
Republicans: 41%
Also receiving votes: Both, 9%; neither, 4%; depends, 2%; don’t know, 1%.

Democrats

“Anything south of $60 billion would be considered a Dem win.”

“GOP will be blamed for cuts in any compromise and faulted for insufficient efforts by tea party.”

“Republicans drew a line in the sand; if they blink and cross it, they lose.”

“All deals on all issues favor the incumbent president.”

“Gives them the appearance of fiscal soundness.”

“We still have to convince the public to fire the president. Compromise makes him seem acceptable.”

“They get credit for some cuts, and they energize their base even more against the GOP.”

“Republicans have to show they have principle; a compromise shows that the ‘Washington way’ of doing business prevails once again.”

Republicans

“[We] are winning on spending cuts, so a shutdown is a needless distraction.”

“Republicans brought the Democrats further along than they ever wanted to go.”

“Even a compromise is a concession that cuts are needed and that the deficit cannot be ignored. That’s a win for Repubs.”

“Progress is progress. The American people get that.”

“While we’re right on the issue, we’re also taking the largest political risk, so a compromise would be to our advantage.”

“Proves they can win change from a hostile president and manage their own majority.”

“A shutdown would be disastrous; a compromise makes the GOP look like grown-ups.”

“If the Dems can’t call us extreme, they’re out of adjectives.”

Both (volunteered)

“Both parties look incompetent to independents if Congress can’t pass a budget.”

 

Should regime change be the U.S. goal in Libya?

Democrats (102 votes)

Yes: 66%
No: 32%
Also receiving votes: “It should be the allies’ goal,” 1%; don’t know, 1%.

This article appears in the April 9, 2011 edition of National Journal Magazine.

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