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Political Insiders Poll

Political Insiders Poll

What’s the best outcome of the midterm elections for President Obama?  

DEMOCRATS (109 votes)

 

Democrats keep the House and the Senate: 51%

 
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Democrats lose the House, but keep the Senate: 35%

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Democrats lose the House and the Senate: 14%

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Keep the House and the Senate

“Republican control of Congress will mean nothing will change in D.C., and Barack Obama needs to be the candidate of change to win in 2012.”

 

“Even if Democratic losses are high, maintaining control of both chambers would be seen as a victory for Obama. Operationally, we will have a stalemate in Congress no matter what outcome.”

“It’s the only way he can move anything on his agenda. Hoping for anything else is incredibly crass and shortsighted.”

“If the GOP takes the House, the president and staff will need a legal defense fund to handle frivolous fishing expeditions that will cripple the White House.”

“I know it’s a current Democratic fantasy to think of what a disaster John Boehner will be, but having power is always better than not having power.”

 

“[Obama] may be a lot of things, but ‘Great Triangulator’ ain’t one of them. Lose the Congress and he may drip, drip, drip right back to Chicago in two years.”

“If the GOP takes over the House, they will use it as a launching pad to aggressively try to discredit the president.”

Lose the House, keep the Senate

“Lose the House so all fingers don’t point in one direction, but keep the Senate to maintain some control over the agenda.”

“Someone to run against and fewer chairmen with subpoena power.”

“This gives him negotiating room and a foil to run against in ’12.”

“Conventional wisdom, gives him a foil; unconventional wisdom, he is no Truman or Clinton.”

“Best outcome for Obama—postpone the election!”

Lose the House and the Senate

“Full Republican control would create migraines for their nominee.”

“He will have no more power if the Dems have 51 rather than 49, but he sure as hell will get blamed for everything.”

 

REPUBLICANS (106 votes)

 

Democrats keep the House and the Senate: 28%

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Democrats lose the House, but keep the Senate: 35%

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Democrats lose the House and the Senate: 37%

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Keep the House and the Senate

“Obama is no Bill Clinton who figured out a way to work productively with Republicans. If Republicans take control of either chamber, Obama will be completely stymied.”

“Exceeds expectations, renews mandate while giving him room to tack to the middle for ’12. But it’s not gonna happen.”

“Obama would be able to claim victory and then use more narrow margins to embrace a more centrist agenda.”

“Anyone who thinks you win by losing is someone who is an expert at losing.”

Lose the House, keep the Senate

“That balance means he can’t do himself much more damage but still won’t get run over by Republicans holding both chambers.”

“Losing the House will give Obama something to run against. And [Speaker] Boehner will give him plenty of opportunities to do just that.”

“Provides him a foil to play against and a Democratic Senate will still confirm his appointments.”

“Forces GOP to have some responsibility for governing while giving Obama both a whipping boy and a firewall.”

Lose the House and the Senate

“There will not be any major POTUS initiatives passing Congress; might as well lose the Senate too and blame everything on GOP.”

“Republicans in control will force him to the middle and would most likely result in a second term for him.”

“The president’s popularity was built on reaching across party lines.”

“The president will follow Harry Truman and not Bill Clinton. Having the R’s control both Houses makes his strategy work better.”

“He needs targets to shoot at and the Republicans seem ready to stand up with a bull’s-eye on their chests.”

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