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Insiders: Fiscal Cliff Likely To Be Averted Insiders: Fiscal Cliff Likely To Be Averted

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CONGRESSIONAL INSIDERS POLL

Insiders: Fiscal Cliff Likely To Be Averted

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Speaker of the House John  Boehner, R-Oh., and House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Ca., on Thursday, Sept. 20, 2012.(AP Photo/Cliff Owen)

Do you expect a deal by year’s end to avoid the fiscal cliff?

DEMOCRATS (22 votes)

Yes: 73%
No: 27%

 

Yes

“At least I hope so. But Grover Norquist still calls the shots for a majority of Republicans.”

“But not a permanent deal, just something to kick it down the road a bit.”

 

“I expect a postponement on sequestration, but not a total solution. Not as sure on the tax expirations.”

“Although it might slip into January.”

“As we get closer to year’s end, we’re more likely to get a deal.”

“But only a partial deal that will hold us over until a full deal can be negotiated early next year.”

 

“I’m hopeful that both sides of the aisle can still work together to solve our country’s biggest problems.”

“Mostly.”

“[If] the president and the speaker want a deal badly enough, we’ll get one. I think they do.”

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“We haven’t reached a deal in the past because Republicans have been intransigent about putting revenues on the table. But now with defense cuts, Republicans finally have incentive to negotiate.”

“Yes. I think the president, both parties, their leadership, and especially the federal agencies realize the heavy price we will all pay if a deal is not reached. The stakes are too high to leave this undone.”

No

“Republicans won’t raise taxes. Democrats won’t let the president gut Social Security and Medicare.”

“No. These guys couldn’t fight their way out of a paper bag.”

“There’s no reason to cut a bad deal this month, and that’s all the Republicans will offer.”

 

Do you expect a deal by year’s end to avoid the fiscal cliff?

REPUBLICANS (22 votes)

Yes: 85%
No: 15%

Yes

“The president understands that another recession on his watch is bad for his legacy.”

“A framework will be in place and agreed to; the next Congress will be responsible for passing it.”

“I refuse to believe that voting to extend most tax cuts that are set to expire amounts to raising taxes. John Boehner will negotiate the best deal possible, and thanks to the lesson they learned last December, Eric Cantor, Kevin McCarthy, and the majority of the GOP Conference will support it.”

“I’m an optimist, and that is the reason I can serve in Congress and still sleep at night.”

“It will be very bipartisan and very bad. No significant spending cuts—and a marginal tax-rate increase. Result: Economy will drag into a recession.”

“The Dec. 31, 2012, deadline is fast approaching, and Congress must act to avert the fiscal cliff and prevent across-the-board cuts that will bring about certain economic unrest.”

“This is an invaluable opportunity for Congress and the president to get serious about overcoming partisan differences and enact policies that grow the economy and get the national debt under control. We stand ready to work with the president to find common ground on tax, spending, and entitlement reform to prevent the imminent fiscal cliff without damaging the economy.”

“We’ve heard a lot of talk about revenues, but we have not heard much about spending cuts.”

“The only thing worse than the fiscal cliff is kicking the can down the road again. If Obama comes up with reasonable spending cuts, a deal happens.”

“Yes, although it may be more of a blueprint for the ‘big deal’ next year.”

No

“The president is not yet serious. He thinks he has a mandate but doesn’t realize he needs to compromise if a deal is going to get done.”

 

Which party has more to lose if a deal isn’t struck to avoid the fiscal cliff?

DEMOCRATS (21 votes)

Republicans: 76%
Democrats: 0%
Both: 24%

Republicans

“Their intransigence against extending middle-class tax cuts and asking the rich to do their fair share is stunning.”

“Obama won reelection; the people have spoken about whom they trust most.”

“The Republicans’ ‘brand’ as the party of fiscal brinkmanship is well established, for good reason.”

“The American people know that the Republicans have been obstructionists, and they have more to lose.”

“Republicans are likely to be blamed if a deal isn’t struck, because they have been and will continue to be perceived as the obstacle to a deal by the public. Tea party Republicans in the House are still refusing to support a rise in rates for the wealthy. President Obama has expressed flexibility, as have most House and Senate Democrats. John Boehner is still insisting that he needs a majority of the majority for a deal, which leaves him at the mercy of the tea party.”

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