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Election 2010: The Results Are In Election 2010: The Results Are In

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Political Insiders Poll

Election 2010: The Results Are In

Here’s how our Democratic and Republican Political Insiders fared in their Election Day predictions.

Here’s how our Democratic and Republican Political Insiders fared in their Election Day predictions. The top Republican Insider was consultant Chris LaCivita. The top Democrats were lobbyist Tom O’Donnell and pollster Mark Mellman.

 

 

1) Which party will win the House?

Outcome   Republican   Democratic   Chris          Tom            Mark
Insiders Insiders LaCivita(R) O'Donnell(D) Mellman(D)

e>
Rep.      Rep.         Rep.         Rep.           Rep.           Rep.

 
e>

 

2) How many House seats will Republicans gain?

Outcome   Republican   Democratic   Chris          Tom            Mark
Insiders Insiders LaCivita(R) O'Donnell(D) Mellman(D)

e>
60*       53           47           51             57             46

 
e>

 

3) Which party will win the Senate?

Outcome   Republican   Democratic   Chris          Tom            Mark
Insiders Insiders LaCivita(R) O'Donnell(D) Mellman(D)

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e>
Dem.      Dem.         Dem.         Dem.           Dem.           Dem.

e>

 

4) How many Senate seats will Republicans gain?

Outcome   Republican   Democratic   Chris          Tom            Mark
Insiders Insiders LaCivita(R) O'Donnell(D) Mellman(D)

e>
6*        8            7            7              7              6

e>

 

5) Who will win these Senate races?

ILLINOIS

Outcome   Republican   Democratic   Chris          Tom            Mark
Insiders Insiders LaCivita(R) O'Donnell(D) Mellman(D)

e>
Kirk      Kirk         Giannoulias  Kirk           Kirk           Kirk

e>

KENTUCKY

Outcome   Republican   Democratic   Chris          Tom            Mark
Insiders Insiders LaCivita(R) O'Donnell(D) Mellman(D)

e>
Paul      Paul         Paul         Paul           Paul           Paul

e>

NEVADA

Outcome   Republican   Democratic   Chris          Tom            Mark
Insiders Insiders LaCivita(R) O'Donnell(D) Mellman(D)

e>
Reid      Angle        Reid         Reid           Reid           Reid

e>

PENNSYLVANIA

Outcome   Republican   Democratic   Chris          Tom            Mark
Insiders Insiders LaCivita(R) O'Donnell(D) Mellman(D)

e>
Toomey    Toomey       Sestak       Toomey         Toomey         Toomey

e>

 

6) Who will win these House races?

IA-03

Outcome   Republican   Democratic   Chris          Tom            Mark
Insiders Insiders LaCivita(R) O'Donnell(D) Mellman(D)

e>
Boswell   Zaun         Boswell      Boswell        Boswell        Boswell

e>

NH-02

Outcome   Republican   Democratic   Chris          Tom            Mark
Insiders Insiders LaCivita(R) O'Donnell(D) Mellman(D)

e>
Bass      Bass         Bass         Bass           Bass           Kuster

e>

SC-05

Outcome   Republican   Democratic   Chris          Tom            Mark
Insiders Insiders LaCivita(R) O'Donnell(D) Mellman(D)

e>
Mulvaney  Mulvaney     Mulvaney     Mulvaney       Mulvaney       Mulvaney

e>

SD-AL

Outcome   Republican   Democratic   Chris          Tom            Mark
Insiders Insiders LaCivita(R) O'Donnell(D) Mellman(D)

e>
Noem      Noem         Noem         Noem           Noem           Noem

e>

 

7) Who will win these gubernatorial races?

CALIFORNIA

Outcome   Republican   Democratic   Chris          Tom            Mark
Insiders Insiders LaCivita(R) O'Donnell(D) Mellman(D)

e>

This article appears in the November 6, 2010 edition of National Journal Magazine.

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