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Congressional Insiders Poll

December 2, 2010




How confident are you that Congress and the president will be able to enact a significant deficit-reduction package next year?

                                                                            (35 votes)

(31 votes)
Very confident 6% 10%
Somewhat confident 26% 52%
Not very confident
Not at all confident 20% 0%
Volunteered 3% 0%


Not very confident

“Real progress on a host of issues, including deficit reduction, is pretty much impossible because the Republican base now views any compromise with Obama as something just short of treason.”

“I expect partisanship to be at an all-time high, thus preventing any serious progress on any issue.”

“Too much is already set in concrete for both parties.”

“The numbers are important, very important. But values are critical, and there seems to be a huge ‘values gap’ between the parties.”

“The Republicans are focused on discretionary spending cuts, but even the most-austere budget cuts will not significantly impact the deficit or the debt—especially if Congress votes to add $4 trillion to the debt by making the Bush-era tax cuts permanent.”

“Republican crazies will shut down the government.”

Not at all confident

“Until both parties are willing to cut the fat from grossly inflated, unchecked, no-bid defense spending and to tie the hands of a defense industry that engages in egregious war-profiteering, we may never
see the pages of a deficit-reduction package.”

No other choice

“We have no choice but to make significant reductions; however, the problem will be getting both sides to give on things they have so far been unwilling to compromise on.”


Very confident

“They will fight about the details, but, because of the 2012 elections, it is in the interests of all concerned to make real progress in this area.”

“Obama is sure to draw a 2012 opponent who will use smaller government as a central campaign theme.”

Somewhat confident

“If the president wants to survive the election, he must. Republicans will be like bulldogs on this issue.”

“The president’s entire domestic agenda will be frozen unless he acts on meaningful deficit-reduction policies.”

“House Republicans are serious about deficit reduction. We will have to see if the Senate and the president are as well.”

“The debt commission will push it, the Republicans will push it, the people will push it, and Obama will see the light—also known as 2012.”

“Republicans will be steadfast for reductions.”

Not very confident

“Will President Obama work with congressional Republicans to significantly cut spending? Only he can answer that question right now.”

“Obama will demagogue and use class warfare through Election Day 2012, without serious interest in policy.”



When do you think that "don't ask, don't tell" will be repealed?

                                                                             (35 votes)

(31 votes)
In the lame duck 49% 26%
Before the 2012 election 31% 13%
After the 2012 election
Never 0% 29%
Volunteered 6% 0%


In the lame duck

“Hopefully, once and for all!”

“If not in the lame duck, then in the courts.”

“Possibly in the lame duck, but if not, then not until there is a Democratic House again.”

Before the 2012 election

“But, unfortunately, repeal may occur due to action by the courts rather than legislative action, as is appropriate and which has now been requested by military leadership.”

After the 2012 election

“Social conservatives are already making demands, and this issue
is just too toxic for Republicans to ignore them.”

“Some branches will adopt new policies, and they will be successful.”

“Sooner or later, the GOP has to deal with this issue.”


“Repeal won’t happen in a Republican House. When will the Court act finally?”

“Democrats don’t seem to have the votes for it now, and Republicans are taking control of the House in a month. It may require an executive order from the president.”


In the lame duck

“If the Democrats want a solution rather than an issue. If they are merely playing politics again, it will be after 2012.”

“Now that the survey results are in, it will be difficult to stop repeal.”

“It’s really now or not any time in the near future thereafter.”

After the 2012 election

“The focus of this next Congress needs to be on lowering our deficits and enacting policies to create an environment for economic growth in this country.”


“The message of this election was ‘focus on jobs.’ Repealing don’t ask, don’t tell is unlikely to happen any time soon.”

“It’s lame duck or never—my bet is the second.”

“Or at least not in the foreseeable future; could be years away.”

“Current law of privacy is working.”

Democratic Congressional Insiders  Sens. Sherrod Brown, Ben Cardin, Thomas Carper, Christopher Dodd, Frank Lautenberg, Barbara Mikulski, Mark Pryor, Jon Tester, Tom Udall, Mark Warner; Reps. Jason Altmire, Robert Andrews, Michael Arcuri, Tammy Baldwin, Melissa Bean, Xavier Becerra, Howard Berman, Marion Berry, Rick Boucher, Lois Capps, Michael Capuano, Dennis Cardoza, Chris Carney, James Clyburn, Gerry Connolly , Jim Cooper, Joseph Crowley, Elijah Cummings, Artur Davis, Diana DeGette, Rosa DeLauro, Eliot Engel, Anna Eshoo, Sam Farr, Chaka Fattah, Bob Filner, Phil Hare, Alcee Hastings, Rush Holt, Mike Honda, Steve Israel, Frank Kratovil, Jim Langevin, John Lewis, Zoe Lofgren, Nita Lowey, Carolyn Maloney, Ed Markey, Jim McDermott, Jim McGovern, Mike McMahon, Kendrick Meek, Jim Moran, Gary Peters, David Price, Silvestre Reyes, Linda Sanchez, Jan Schakowsky, Mark Schauer, Allyson Schwartz, Jose Serrano, Adam Smith, Pete Stark, Bart Stupak, John Tanner, Bennie Thompson, Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Henry Waxman, and Peter Welch.

GOP Congressional Insiders  Sens. Lamar Alexander, Jim Bunning, John Cornyn, Jim DeMint,  John Ensign, Lindsey Graham, Kay Bailey Hutchison, Johnny Isakson, George LeMieux, Richard Lugar, Jeff Sessions, Olympia Snowe, John Thune, David Vitter; Reps. Michele Bachmann, Brian Bilbray, Marsha Blackburn, Roy Blunt, John Boehner, Charles Boustany, Kevin Brady, John Campbell, Eric Cantor, John Carter, Michael Castle, Tom Cole, Mike Conaway, Charlie Dent, David Dreier, Jo Ann Emerson, Jeff Flake, Scott Garrett, Bob Goodlatte,Kay Granger, Doc Hastings, Pete Hoekstra, Darrell Issa, Peter King, Jack Kingston, Mark Kirk, John Kline, Christopher Lee, Dan Lungren, Kenny Marchant, Kevin McCarthy, Patrick McHenry, John Mica, Candice Miller, Sue Myrick, Devin Nunes, Mike Pence, Tom Price, Adam Putnam, Dave Reichert, Mike Rogers of Michigan, Phil Roe, Peter Roskam, Paul Ryan, Aaron Schock, Pete Sessions, John Shadegg, Adrian Smith, Pat Tiberi, Fred Upton, and Joe Wilson.

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