Poll: Which GOP Governor Is Most Likely to Lose His Seat This Year?

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Pennsylvania Governor Tom Corbett speaks during the commemoration of the 150th anniversary of US President Abraham Lincolns historic Gettysburg Address on November 19, 2013 at Gettysburg National Military Park in Gettysburg, Pennsylvania.
National Journal
Michael Catalini Peter Bell Sarah Mimms
June 5, 2014, 5 p.m.

Which vul­ner­able in­cum­bent Re­pub­lic­an gov­ernor is most likely to lose his seat this year?

DEMO­CRATS (92 VOTES)

Flor­ida’s Rick Scott: 21%
Maine’s Paul LePage: 21%
Michigan’s Rick Snyder: 9%
Pennsylvania’s Tom Corbett: 47%
Wis­con­sin’s Scott Walk­er: 2%

Rick Scott

“He has nev­er led Charlie Crist in any poll.”

“The ‘prob­lem’ with Scott at the top of this list is that he has the re­sources to buy his reelec­tion.”

Paul LePage

“If LePage were not in a three-way race, he’d def­in­itely lose to [Mi­chael] Michaud. And he’s still likely to lose. Count on more mis­steps and self-in­flic­ted wounds.”

“So hard to choose just one! The ‘R’ losers this year should be able to field a golf four­some, if not a full soft­ball team.”

“LePage is a bad fit for Maine. He goes.”

“This seems like a lay­up.”

Tom Corbett

“Corbett is toast — burnt toast.”

“Corbett = dead-man frack­ing.”

“Corbett is gen­er­ally per­ceived as the kind of gov­ernor who can’t even find a Latino!”

Which vul­ner­able in­cum­bent Re­pub­lic­an gov­ernor is most likely to lose his seat this year?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (92 VOTES)

Flor­ida’s Rick Scott: 19%
Maine’s Paul LePage: 14%
Michigan’s Rick Snyder: 2%
Pennsylvania’s Tom Corbett: 65%
Wis­con­sin’s Scott Walk­er: 0%

Rick Scott

“Flor­ida polit­ics has more plot twists than a Game of Thrones epis­ode. Scott is one who doesn’t make it to the next show.”

“Scott has nev­er quite found his groove in Flor­ida polit­ics.”

Paul LePage

“LePage is prob­ably the most vul­ner­able, but Corbett is giv­ing him a run for his money.”

“Fluke that he won, and flukes don’t get reelec­ted.”

Tom Corbett

“Why is he run­ning? This will be an em­bar­rass­ment.”

“By or­der of mag­nitude, he is the most vul­ner­able Re­pub­lic­an gov­ernor. Un­less something changes — a dra­mat­ic change — he is toast.”

“Corbett has done many good things, but he simply doesn’t look like he en­joys the job.”

“How much money will we waste to lose in Pennsylvania AGAIN?”

“Penn State fans think he ‘killed’ Joe Pa­ter­no, and his op­pon­ent, [Tom] Wolf, is as smooth and blank as a cue ball.”

“Most vul­ner­able of vul­ner­able.”

“Corbett is a poster child for an out-of-touch GOP that re­fuses to em­brace demo­graph­ic policy shifts such as mar­riage equal­ity.”

… … … … … . .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

Which vulnerable incumbent Republican governor is most likely to lose his seat this year?

DEMO­CRATS (92 VOTES)

Flor­ida’s Rick Scott: 21%
Maine’s Paul LePage: 21%
Michigan’s Rick Snyder: 9%
Pennsylvania’s Tom Corbett: 47%
Wis­con­sin’s Scott Walk­er: 2%

Rick Scott

“He has nev­er led Charlie Crist in any poll.”

“The ‘prob­lem’ with Scott at the top of this list is that he has the re­sources to buy his reelec­tion.”

Paul LePage

“If LePage were not in a three-way race, he’d def­in­itely lose to [Mi­chael] Michaud. And he’s still likely to lose. Count on more mis­steps and self-in­flic­ted wounds.”

“So hard to choose just one! The ‘R’ losers this year should be able to field a golf four­some, if not a full soft­ball team.”

“LePage is a bad fit for Maine. He goes.”

“This seems like a lay­up.”

Tom Corbett

“Corbett is toast — burnt toast.”

“Corbett = dead-man frack­ing.”

“Corbett is gen­er­ally per­ceived as the kind of gov­ernor who can’t even find a Latino!”

Which vulnerable incumbent Republican governor is most likely to lose his seat this year?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (92 VOTES)

Flor­ida’s Rick Scott: 19%
Maine’s Paul LePage: 14%
Michigan’s Rick Snyder: 2%
Pennsylvania’s Tom Corbett: 65%
Wis­con­sin’s Scott Walk­er: 0%

Rick Scott

“Flor­ida polit­ics has more plot twists than a Game of Thrones epis­ode. Scott is one who doesn’t make it to the next show.”

“Scott has nev­er quite found his groove in Flor­ida polit­ics.”

Paul LePage

“LePage is prob­ably the most vul­ner­able, but Corbett is giv­ing him a run for his money.”

“Fluke that he won, and flukes don’t get reelec­ted.”

Tom Corbett

“Why is he run­ning? This will be an em­bar­rass­ment.”

“By or­der of mag­nitude, he is the most vul­ner­able Re­pub­lic­an gov­ernor. Un­less something changes — a dra­mat­ic change — he is toast.”

“Corbett has done many good things, but he simply doesn’t look like he en­joys the job.”

“How much money will we waste to lose in Pennsylvania AGAIN?”

“Penn State fans think he ‘killed’ Joe Pa­ter­no, and his op­pon­ent, [Tom] Wolf, is as smooth and blank as a cue ball.”

“Most vul­ner­able of vul­ner­able.”

“Corbett is a poster child for an out-of-touch GOP that re­fuses to em­brace demo­graph­ic policy shifts such as mar­riage equal­ity.”

… … … … … . .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

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