Right (22 votes)
Who will win the presidential election?
| John McCain | 41% |
| Barack Obama | 59% |
Who will win each of these states?
| Florida | Obama | 33% |
| McCain | 67% | |
| Indiana | Obama | 43% |
| McCain | 57% | |
| Montana | Obama | 14% |
| McCain | 86% | |
| Missouri | Obama | 38% |
| McCain | 62% | |
| Pennsylvania | Obama | 62% |
| McCain | 38% |
How many seats will Democrats pick up in the Senate?
Average: 6
Who will win these Senate races?
| Minnesota | Sen. Norm Coleman (R) | 76% |
| Al Franken (D) | 24% | |
| Dean Barkley (I) | 0% | |
| Mississippi | Sen. Roger Wicker (R) | 70% |
| Ronnie Musgrove (D) | 30% | |
| New Hampshire | Sen. John Sununu (R) | 15% |
| Jeanne Shaheen (D) | 85% | |
| North Carolina | Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) | 25% |
| Kay Hagan (D) | 75% |
How many seats will Democrats pick up in the House?
Average: 19
Who will win these House races?
| Connecticut 4 | Rep. Chris Shays (R) | 53% |
| Jim Himes (D) | 47% | |
| Pennsylvania 11 | Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D) | 16% |
| Lou Barletta (R) | 84% |
Who will win this governor's race?
| North Carolina | Lt. Gov. Beverly Perdue (D) | 52% |
| Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory (R) | 48% |
Will the California gay marriage ban initiative pass or fail?
| Pass | 45% |
| Fail | 55% |
When will the loser of the presidential election concede?
| Before midnight (EST) | 36% |
| After midnight (EST) | 64% |
Tie-breaker: What will be Electoral College vote tally?
| John McCain | Average: 243 |
| Barack Obama | Average: 295 |
What will be the biggest surprise on Election Night?
"We won't find out who wins until late Nov. 5."
"Mark Warner not breaking 53 percent."
"America will elect Barack Obama, but the liberals will still think we're a racist country."
"It will be closer than the polls are now showing -- not a landslide. Nonsurprise: The exit polls will, for the third election in a row, be messed up. My guess is that the exit polls are not doing a good job gauging how the early voting has gone since the refusal rates are so high."
"The polls will be shown to be far off, all except the IPP."
"I believe we will be surprised at how effective and thorough the Democrats are at bringing new voters into the system and getting them to the polls in states with dense populations. The Obama campaign's GOTV efforts will be less effective in relatively rural states, but their organizing methods will pay significant dividends where voters are more densely packed in large communities."
"That a man as far left as Barack Obama, in spite of Jeremiah Wright and all the rest, could possibly be elected president. This should not be a surprise to those of us in Massachusetts, for whom this race has simply been a replay of the Deval Patrick race for governor."
"A win by McCain will be an upset to match Harry Truman's. Except that Tom Dewey's disappointed supporters did not riot."
"Keith Olbermann doesn't die from having his head explode on air."
"McCain will win, and it will be another 'Dewey Defeats Truman' moment.... Voters will look into the abyss that is Obama -- the empty personal history and the slowly emerging radical political ideology -- and they'll pull back from that void. Of course, that prediction is based upon actual people voting once. The alternative surprise is that, exceeding even elections in the former Soviet Union and current Cuba... the turnout will be closer to 90%, with some states reporting turnout exceeding 100%."
The bloggers
Pamela Geller, Atlas Shrugs; J.R. Hoeft, Bearing Drift; Betsy Newmark, Betsy's Page; Bob Parks, Black And Right; Bookworm, Bookworm Room; D.S. Hube, The Colossus Of Rhodey; Doug Lambert, Granite Grok; Robert Miller, JoshuaPundit; Soren Dayton, The Next Right; Jon Henke, The Next Right; James Joyner, Outside The Beltway; Walter Olson, Overlawyered; Steven Taylor, PoliBlog; Michael van der Galien, PoliGazette; Jeff Goldstein, Protein Wisdom; Debbie Hamilton, Right Truth; Rob Port, Say Anything; Debbie Schlussel; David Gerstman, Soccer Dad; Martin Solomon, Solomonia; David Kopel, The Volokh Conspiracy; Susan Duclos, Wake Up America