Left (24 votes)
Who will win the presidential election?
| John McCain | 0% |
| Barack Obama | 100% |
Who will win each of these states?
| Florida | Obama | 91% |
| McCain | 9% | |
| Indiana | Obama | 52% |
| McCain | 48% | |
| Montana | Obama | 30% |
| McCain | 70% | |
| Missouri | Obama | 65% |
| McCain | 35% | |
| Pennsylvania | Obama | 100% |
| McCain | 0% |
How many seats will Democrats pick up in the Senate?
Average: 9
Who will win these Senate races?
| Minnesota | Sen. Norm Coleman (R) | 8% |
| Al Franken (D) | 92% | |
| Dean Barkley (I) | 0% | |
| Mississippi | Sen. Roger Wicker (R) | 70% |
| Ronnie Musgrove (D) | 30% | |
| New Hampshire | Sen. John Sununu (R) | 4% |
| Jeanne Shaheen (D) | 96% | |
| North Carolina | Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) | 25% |
| Kay Hagan (D) | 75% |
How many seats will Democrats pick up in the House?
Average: 26
Who will win these House races?
| Connecticut 4 | Rep. Chris Shays (R) | 32% |
| Jim Himes (D) | 68% | |
| Pennsylvania 11 | Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D) | 68% |
| Lou Barletta (R) | 32% |
Who will win this governor's race?
| North Carolina | Lt. Gov. Beverly Perdue (D) | 81% |
| Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory (R) | 19% |
Will the California gay marriage ban initiative pass or fail?
| Pass | 12.5% |
| Fail | 87.5% |
When will the loser of the presidential election concede?
| Before midnight (EST) | 52% |
| After midnight (EST) | 48% |
Tie-breaker: What will be Electoral College vote tally?
| John McCain | Average: 180 |
| Barack Obama | Average: 358 |
What will be the biggest surprise on Election Night?
"Obama wins by a near landslide. It's over shortly after the polls close. No suspense, no long drawn-out results."
"Obama winning the rural vote in the batteground states."
"The defeat of two (!) anti-gay measures, in Florida and California."
"Obama wins North Carolina surprisingly easily -- by more than 5 points."
"McCain holds Arizona by just 2 points."
"Obama carries Arizona."
"Jim Martin wins in Georgia"
"FOX News will not lead the way; NBC will call it first."
"How voter-roll purges tilted the race."
"If any of the following happen: Chris Matthews not making a total ass of himself. Republicans not claiming Democrats stole the election. Illegal vote-suppression activities by Republicans resulting in arrests. No one from the DLC taking credit for any good news for Democrats."
The bloggers
Sean-Paul Kelley, The Agonist; Michael Shaw, BAGnewsNotes; Dean Barker, Blue Hampshire; David Kravitz, Blue Mass. Group; Brian Leubitz, Calitics; Liza Sabater, Culture Kitchen; Greg Dworkin, Daily Kos; Howie Klein, Down With Tyranny!; Cheryl Contee, Jack And Jill Politics; Robert Farley, Lawyers, Guns And Money; Barbara O'Brien, The Mahablog; Taylor Marsh, Chris Herrmann, News Hounds; Chris Bowers, Open Left; Mark Kleiman, The Reality-Based Community; Tracy Viselli, Reno And Its Discontents; Lee Papa, Rude Pundit; Matt L. Barron, Rural Votes/The Back Forty; Avedon Carol, The Sideshow; Susie Madrak, Suburban Guerilla; David NYC, Swing State Project; Jeralyn Merritt, TalkLeft; Matthew Yglesias, Think Progress; Maegan La Mala, Vivir Latino