The Hotline - Kissing Your Sister In The City Of Brotherly Love

Thursday, April 17, 2008

PENNSYLVANIA (4/22 PRIMARY)

Kissing Your Sister In The City Of Brotherly Love

A Newsmax/Zogby poll; conducted 4/15-16; surveyed 601 Dem LVs; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 4/17).

WH '08 Primary Election Matchup

-           Now                 4/10
-           All Men Wom 35-54   All Men Wom 35-54
H. Clinton  45% 35% 53% 41%     47% 40% 53% 45%
B. Obama    44  50  38  47      43  48  39  40
Other        3  na  na  na       2  na  na  na
Undec        9  na  na  na       8   9   7  na

Which Candidate Would You Rather Have A Beer With?

B. Obama        39%
H. Clinton      38
Undec           15

Which Candidate Understands PA Better?

H. Clinton      58%
B. Obama        27

Which Candidate Would Be Most Likely To Improve The U.S. Economy?

H. Clinton      47%
B. Obama        38

Which Candidate Will Do More To Help Your Personal Financial Situation?

-               Now 4/10
H. Clinton      41% 41%
B. Obama        35  36

It Is The Economy

A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll; conducted 4/10-14 by Interviewing Service of America, Inc.; surveyed 623; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 4/17).

Regardless Of Your WH '08 Choice, Which Candidate ___?

-                                       All       Men       Women
-                                       Cli Oba   Cli Oba   Cli Oba
Would best handle health care           52% 29%   49% 31%   53% 29%
Better understands trade issues         52  28    46  32    55  25
Better understands U.S. economic issues 49  34    42  42    53  29
Would make best mil. commander-in-chief 44  39    38  48    48  34
Would change the ways of Washington     33  49    23  61    39  41
Has better foreclosure crisis solutions 32  27    29  26    34  28
Has more honesty and integrity          26  47    20  57    29  41

Which Issue/Problem Is The Top Priority For WH Candidates To Address?

-                   All Men Wom
Economy             55% 55% 54%
Iraq                46  43  49
Health care         26  26  27
Education           10   7  11
Terrorism            7  12   4
Immigration          5   5   5
Social issues        3   5   2
Environment          3   2   4
Other/none           4   4   4

Is The U.S. Economy Doing Well/Badly?

-                   All Men Wom
Very well            2%  3% --
Fairly well          8   8   8%
Fairly badly        28  23  32
Very badly          58  58  58

Will The U.S. Economy Play An Important Role In Your WH '08 Choice?

-       All Men Wom Wht Non-Wht
Yes     86% 83% 88% 90% 73%
No      11  12  11   8  20

Is The U.S. In An Economic Recession?

-          All Men Wom Wht Non-Wht
Yes        80% 80% 80% 83% 71%
No         12  11  13  12  14

Has Free Int'l Trade Generally Helped/Hurt The U.S. Economy?

-          All Men Wom Wht Non-Wht
Helped     12% 15% 10% 12% 11%
Hurt       55  47  59  62  32
No diff.   12  16  10  10  20

All In All, Was The Situation In Iraq Worth Going To War Over?

-       All Men Wom Wht Non-Wht
Yes     10% 10% 11% 11%  7%
No      84  80  85  84  83