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PENNSYLVANIA POLL (21 EVS)

Nittany Spears

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/9-16; surveyed 1,511 LVs; margin of error +/- 3% (release, 6/18). "Cli" and "Oba" columns represent responses among Dem primary supporters of Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, respectively.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

 
-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Cli Oba 5/22 5/1
B. Obama   52% 16% 78% 50% 45% 57% 47% 95% 66% 93% 46%  47%
J. McCain  40  79  14  39  47  34  44   1  24   5  40   38
Other       2  --   2   2   2   1   2  --   4  --   2    2
Neither    --  --  --  --  --  --  --  --  --  --   5    4
Undec       7   5   6   8   6   8   7   4   7   1   8    9

e>

Is Your Mind Made Up, Or Do You Think You Might Change Your Mind Before The Election?

-               All ObamaVoters McCainVoters
Mind made up    75% 75%         74%
Might change    24  24          24

 
e>

Fav/Unfav

-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Obama    54%/25% 29%/47% 70%/12% 55%/23% 48%/32% 59%/20%
J. McCain   43 /33  70 /10  22 /53  46 /28  48 /30  38 /36

e>

Does The Fact That McCain Would Be The First Person To Become POTUS At Age 72 Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him?

-                   All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union      
More likely          2%  4% --   1%  2%  1%  2% --   1%
Less likely         24  10  34% 23  19  28  22  42  24
Doesn't make diff.  73  85  64  76  78  69  75  56  74

 
e>

Does The Fact That Obama Would Be The First African-American POTUS Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him?

-                   All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union      
More likely          5% --  11%  2%  5%  5%  3% 31%  4%
Less likely          5   6%  5   3   6   3   5   1   6
Doesn't make diff.  88  92  82  95  86  90  90  68  88

e>

How Important Is The VP Candidate To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                     All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
Very important        46% 42% 52% 41% 41% 51% 45% 57% 42%
Somewhat important    41  46  38  40  41  41  42  35  47
Not too important     10   9   8  14  13   7  10   3   8
Not important at all   3   3   2   5   5   1   3   4   3

e>

Would You Like Obama To Pick Clinton As His VP?

-       All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
Yes     41% 20% 60% 36% 35% 47% 40% 52% 44%
No      45  63  31  49  50  41  46  36  46

e>

If Obama Chooses Clinton As His VP, Would It Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him?

-                   All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
More likely         25%  9% 39% 21% 18% 31% 24% 30% 31%
Less likely         21  40   5  27  23  19  23   4  16
Doesn't make diff.  52  49  54  51  57  47  50  66  50

e>

If Obama Chooses Rendell As His VP, Would It Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him?

-                   All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
More likely         16% 12% 19% 16% 15% 16% 15% 18% 16%
Less likely         25  36  19  25  27  24  27  19  25
Doesn't make diff.  56  49  61  56  56  56  56  61  57

e>

If McCain Chooses Ridge As His VP, Would It Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him?

-                   All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
More likely         18% 37%  7% 15% 20% 16% 19%  2% 18%
Less likely         18   8  25  20  19  18  17  27  20
Doesn't make diff.  62  53  65  63  60  63  62  64  61

e>

If Clinton Becomes VP, Do You Think She Would Enthusiastically Promote Obama's Agenda At The Expense Of Her Own Ideas?

-       All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
Yes     47% 38% 58% 42% 42% 51% 46% 49% 54%
No      39  52  27  44  47  33  41  31  38

e>

If HRC Becomes VP, Do You Think Bill Clinton Would Be A Problem To The Obama Admin.?

-       All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
Yes     42% 62% 28% 42% 46% 38% 42% 42% 35%
No      53  33  68  53  50  56  53  58  62

e>

Bush As POTUS

-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
Approve     24% 52%  6% 19% 26% 21% 25%  3% 18%
Disapprove  72  41  92  75  69  74  70  97  77

e>

The Way Things Are Going In The U.S. Today

-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
Satisfied       16% 36%  6% 12% 18% 15% 17%  2% 14%
Dissatisfied    83  62  95  88  82  84  82  98  86

e>

Which Issue Is The Single Most Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                   All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
The economy         50% 49% 54% 48% 52% 49% 51% 49% 54%
The war in Iraq     20  17  21  21  18  22  20  17  19
Health care         12   9  16  10   9  14  11  28  10
Terrorism            7  13   4   7   9   6   8   4   7
Illegal immigration  4   7   1   6   6   3   4  --   4
Other                4   4   2   5   3   4   3   3   4

e>

Was Going To War With Iraq The Right/Wrong Thing For The U.S. To Do?

-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
Right thing     32% 63% 13% 26% 39% 26% 35%  6% 37%
Wrong thing     62  30  82  67  56  67  59  93  60

e>

Should The Next POTUS Immediately Begin A Withdraw Of All U.S. Troops From Iraq And Have Them All Out Within 18 Months, Or Keep Troops There Until The Situation Is More Stable And Then Begin To Withdraw Them Without A Fixed Date For Full Withdraw?

-                   All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
Begin immediately   49% 21% 69% 48% 41% 55% 46% 78% 50%
Stay until stable   47  75  27  47  54  40  50  21  44

e>

Which Best Describes Your Family's Financial Situation?

-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
Getting ahead   12% 16% 10%  8% 13% 11% 12% 13%  8%
Falling behind  25  18  29  30  23  28  25  35  28
Holding steady  61  65  60  61  64  60  62  51  63

e>

Which Economic Issue Worries You Most Right Now Regarding Your Own Financial Situation?

-                   All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
Gasoline prices     52% 56% 50% 50% 54% 50% 52% 40% 58%
Health care costs   18  15  19  19  16  19  17  25  14
Food prices         14  11  15  14  13  14  13  28  13
Retirement funds     9  10   7  10   9   8  10   1   9
Real estate values   4   4   4   3   3   4   4   5   2

e>

This article appears in the June 18, 2008 edition of Latest Edition.

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