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From the House Race Hotline for Thursday, May 29, 2008

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Dems Caught In The Buff?

Thu. May 29, 2008


Four of NY's six GOP seats could swing to Dems this fall. But one of those four, retiring Tom Reynolds' (R) NY-26, looks less and less everyday like it belongs with those other three.

-- Today's news that yet another Dem is filing to run in NY-26 has further clouded the party's prospects. Despite '04/'06 nom/businessman Jack Davis' (D) attempts to improve his image and skills, he's not the candidate most Dem insiders want this year. But w/the further dilution of the field, his name ID and his millions, he could be the early fave. Some Dems are high on Iraq vet Jonathan Powers (D), but can he raise enough to compete?

-- Conversely, the GOP appears to be getting its act together. While businessman Christopher Lee's (R) nom bruised some egos within the GOP brass, he was Reynolds' choice and will have the cash to compete. The party has also been working to clear the primary field of its only remaining candidate, and is trying to move Iraq vet David Bellavia (D) to the NY-28 race.

-- So, Dems have a messy primary that could produce a flawed candidate, while the GOP could have an attractive candidate who doesn't have to deal with a primary. Is NY-26 this cycle's bizzaro open seat or what?

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About House Race Hotline

  • The essential rundown of House politics and campaigns.

5/29/2008 Frontpage

Open Seats

  • 1 CALIFORNIA 04 (R/ROSEVILLE -- DOOLITTLE): Terbolizard Is Our Newest Favorite Name
  • 2 MAINE 01 (D/PORTLAND -- ALLEN): Summers Is Smokin'
  • 3 NEW JERSEY 07 (R/SUMMIT -- FERGUSON): Times For A New Leader
  • 4 NEW MEXICO 02 (R/ROSWELL -- PEARCE): Dollar Bill
  • 5 NEW MEXICO 03 (D/SANTA FE -- UDALL): Wiviott's Got A Future, But Lujan Is For Now
  • 6 NEW YORK 13 (R/STATEN ISLAND -- FOSSELLA): Mike's The Mahon, But Steve's Not Happy
  • 7 NEW YORK 26 (R/ROCHESTER -- REYNOLDS): More Konst-Ipation For Dems
  • 8 VIRGINIA 11 (R/FAIRFAX -- DAVIS): Should This Race Get Its Own FEC Dept?

Freshmen

  • 9 CALIFORNIA 37 (D/LONG BEACH -- RICHARDSON): Is It Safe To Go Home?
  • 10 INDIANA 02 (D/SOUTH BEND -- DONNELLY): Waving His Magic Juan-d
  • 11 MINNESOTA 01 (D/ROCHESTER -- WALZ): Equal Opportunity Blamer

Veterans to Watch

  • 12 CONNECTICUT 04 (R/STAMFORD -- SHAYS): He's Just Like Me
  • 13 IOWA 03 (D/DES MOINES -- BOSWELL): Just Say No
  • 14 KANSAS 03 (D/KANSAS CITY -- MOORE): Sorry, Can't Make It. We Have To Do Our Hair Today
  • 15 OHIO 01 (R/CINCINNATI -- CHABOT): Turns Out, It's All About Turnout
  • 16 WASHINGTON 08 (R/BELLEVUE -- REICHERT): Green's The New Black?

Other Updates

  • 17 ALABAMA: All About The Benjamins
  • 18 IOWA 04 (R/AMES -- LATHAM): The Quiet Game
  • 19 NEW JERSEY: The Deep Blue
  • 20 WISCONSIN 06 (R/OSHKOSH -- PETRI): Playing The Waiting Game

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