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From the House Race Hotline for Wednesday, May 14,2008

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NRCC

Throw Him Out In The Cole?

Wed. May 14, 2008


Southaven Mayor Greg Davis' (R) loss "could send shockwaves through" the GOP, where "murmurs about a leadership shakeup have become more and more audible (Blake, The Hill, 5/13). The first question facing House GOP leaders is "whether they will keep" Cole in his position. "Speculation has been rampant" that Cole would be asked to step down if GOPers lost MS-01, and on 5/13, that talk "intensified" (Kucinich/Cusack, The Hill, 5/14).

A top aide to a "leading" House GOPer: "People look at Cole, and they say, 'What are you going to do to change?' And if he doesn't want to change, change is going to be forced on him" (RealClearPolitics.com, 5/14).

That aide "suggested" that ex-NRCC Chair Tom Davis (R-VA 11) "could take a larger role" in the coming months (RealClearPolitics.com, 5/14). But several GOP Reps. have said "privately" they do not see a "wholesale leadership shakeup" or an overhaul of their campaign operation "as a strong option, given that the election is jsut six months away" (New York Times, 5/14).

This a.m., at a members-only meeting, Davis "downplayed" the rumor that he'd be "elevated" to replace Cole, but he did gave Members a 20-page memo "he typed up over the weekend about what the party needs to do to improve its brand nationally." Davis, "stomping his foot on the concrete": "This is the floor. We're underneath it" (O'Connor, Politico's "Crypt" blog, 5/14).

He's Survived The Morning, Anyway

Also at the meeting, GOP leaders on 5/14 "tried to quell internal dissent" following the MS-01 loss, the party's third special election loss this year. NRCC Chair Tom Cole (OK-04) "accepted blame" for the loss during a "closed-door meeting" with his colleagues, but "neither he nor" Min. Leader John Boehner (OH-08) "announced any major changes" atop the leadership.

Rep. Jeb Hensarling "defended" Cole, saying the GOP brand was the problem, "not Cole." But others "did point fingers." Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN 07) "complained" that ex-Rep./Sen. Roger Wicker (R) didn't "do enough" to help Davis retain his seat.

They're Stealing Our Ideas

Cole said this a.m. that GOPers "are legitimately concerned" about losses in the three special elections "and what they portend" for Nov. But he added that the GOP hasn't lost because of the "ideological agenda" of the other side. Cole, on Childers: "The obvious challenge we face is we had somebody running as a Republican, pro-life, pro-gun, who wants to cut taxes, wants to control spending. That’s not particularly in step with where the Democratic majority is."

He added that most House GOPers "are fine," and that the "real problem" is dealing with the "confidence" of the party. He "noted" that polling shows John McCain "doing better" than a generic GOP candidate would, and he called that an "important reminder" to Members. Cole: "You have a personal brand in addition to your party brand. You have an identity that is beyond the party's affiliation" (Reilly, Politico's "Crypt" blog, 5/14).

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About House Race Hotline

  • The essential rundown of House politics and campaigns.

5/14/2008 Frontpage

Results

  • 1 MISSISSIPPI 01 (R/TUPELO -- WICKER): And It Wasn't Even Close
  • 2 THE NOMINEES: Dems Getting Husk-ey?
  • 3 NEBRASKA 02 (R/OMAHA -- TERRY): Rising From The Esches
  • 4 NEBRASKA 03 (R/SCOTTS BLUFF -- SMITH): Did I Stoddard?
  • 5 WEST VIRGINIA 02 (R/CHARLESTON -- CAPITO): Makes Me Want To Barth

Open Seats

  • 6 CALIFORNIA 04 (R/ROSEVILLE -- DOOLITTLE): Even The Best-Laid Plans ...
  • 7 MAINE 01 (D/PORTLAND -- ALLEN): You Know What They Say About Guys With Small Businesses
  • 8 OREGON 05 (D/SALEM -- HOOLEY): Ugly Mikey
  • 9 WYOMING AL (R/CHEYENNE -- CUBIN): A Lummis Among Us

Freshmen

  • 10 KANSAS 02 (D/TOPEKA -- BOYDA): Good Old Boys Were Drinkin' Whiskey And Ryun
  • 11 MINNESOTA 01 (D/ROCHESTER -- WALZ): Go Heavy On The Mayo

Veterans to Watch

  • 12 MICHIGAN 13 (D/DETROIT -- KILPATRICK): Brown Won't Waste His Money
  • 13 NEW YORK 13 (R/STATEN ISLAND -- FOSSELLA): Vito Held Hostage, Day 12

Other Updates

  • 14 GEORGIA 05 (D/ATLANTA -- LEWIS): You Learn Something New Every Day
  • 15 MICHIGAN: Lions And Tigers And Primaries, Oh My!
  • 16 MICHIGAN 14 (D/DETROIT -- CONYERS): A Rare Challenge

National Briefing

  • 17 DCCC: The Good, The Bad, And The Ugly
  • 18 NRCC: Throw Him Out In The Cole?

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