From The Hotline for Wednesday, July 2, 2008

CNN/OPINION RESEARCH

I Need A Photo Opportunity

Wed. Jul 2, 2008


Conducted 6/26-29; surveyed 1,026 adults; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 906 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 7/2; release, 7/1).

WH '08 General Election Matchups (RVs)

-           Now 6/5 4/30 3/16 2/3 1/10 12/9 6/24
B. Obama    50% 49% 49%  47%  52% 49%  48%  48%
J. McCain   45  46  45   46   44  48   48   44

B. Obama    46%
J. McCain   43
R. Nader     6
B. Barr      3

How Important Is ___ To Your WH '08 Choice? (RVs)

-                             Extremly Very Modrtly NotThat
The economy                   58%      35%   6%      1%
The situation in Iraq         50       34   13       3
Gas prices                    48       29   17       5
Health care                   47       36   14       3
Terrorism                     45       32   18       4
Education                     44       39   14       3
Social Security/Medicare      41       36   18       4
Taxes                         40       34   22       5
Illegal immigration           34       33   24       9
The environment               33       33   27       7
Foreign trade                 29       36   27       7
Gun policy                    26       27   28      19
Abortion                      24       26   25      25
Race relations                19       29   28      23
Policies toward gays/lesbians 16       20   27      37

Bush As POTUS

-           Now 6/5 4/30 3/16 2/3 1/17 1/10 12/9 11/4 10/14
Approve     30% 32% 28%  31%  32% 34%  32%  32%  34%  36%
Disapprove  68  65  71   67   67  63   66   66   65   61

The U.S. War In Iraq

-       Now 6/5 4/30 3/16 2/3 1/17 1/10 12/9 11/4 10/14 9/9
Favor   30% 30% 30%  32%  34% 34%  33%  31%  31%  34%   34%
Oppose  68  68  68   66   64  63   65   68   68   65    63

Would You Rather The Next POTUS Keep The Same Number Of U.S. Troops In Iraq, Or Remove Most Within A Few Months Of Taking Office?

-               Now 3/16
Remove most     64% 61%
Keep same       33  33

How Likely Is It That There Will Be Further Acts Of Terrorism In The U.S. Over The Next Several Weeks?

-                   Now 8/8 5/07 1/07 8/06
Very likely          8%  9% 11%   9%  16%
Somewhat likely     27  32  27   29   38
Not too likely      45  42  37   41   31
Not at all likely   20  17  23   18   13

Is Foreign Trade More Of An Opportunity For Economic Growth Through Increased Exports, Or A Threat To The Economy From Foreign Imports?

-               Now 10/14
Threat          51% 45%
Opportunity     41  46
Both             4   5
Neither          2   2