From The Hotline Latest Edition for Friday, May 9,2008

DIAGEO/HOTLINE

Obama's 11

Fri. May 9, 2008


Conducted 4/30-5/3 by FD; surveyed 278 GOP primary voters and 374 Dem primary voters; margins of error +/- 6% and +/- 5%, respectively (release, 5/9).

WH '08 Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               Now 3/31 2/17
B. Obama        48% 50%  43%
H. Clinton      37  38   45
Other           --   1    1
Undec            8   6    7

Fav/Unfav

-           Now             3/31            2/17
-           GOP     Dem     GOP     Dem     GOP     Dem
J. McCain   72%/20% 28%/59% 84%/12% 37%/51% 68%/18% 44%/40%
G. Bush     60 /36  11 /85  67 /31  12 /86  67 /29  16 /82
B. Obama    31 /61  69 /23  31 /60  77 /17  37 /48  71 /22
R. Nader    22 /52  28 /45  23 /46  22 /43    na      na
H. Clinton  21 /76  70 /26  14 /83  70 /26  21 /78  81 /14
B. Clinton  16 /82  75 /20  18 /79  73 /24  21 /79  80 /16

How Satisfied Would You Be If Obama/Clinton Gets The Dem Nod? (Dems)

-                   Now         3/31        2/17
-                   Oba Cli     Oba Cli     Oba Cli
Very/somewhat       76% 75%     77% 75%     78% 79%
Not very/not at all 21  23      18  23      18  19

Are You Satisfied With McCain As The GOP Nominee, Or Would You Have Preferred Someone Else? (GOPers)

-                           Now 3/31
Preferred someone else      55% 52%
Satisfied with McCain       42  44

If Obama/Clinton Gets The Dem Nod, Would You Vote For ___? (Dems)

-                                 Now      3/31     2/17
-                                 Oba Cli  Oba Cli  Oba Cli
Him/her enthusiastically in Nov.  56% 50%  56% 49%  55% 59%
Him/her, but mainly against GOPer 21  27   22  30   22  22
The GOP candidate                 12   9    9  10    9  10
Not vote at all                    6   8    7   7    6   5

Which Best Describes Your Nov. Reaction To McCain Getting The GOP Nod? (GOPers)

-                                           Now 3/31
Vote for him enthusiastically               34% 38%
Vote for him, but mainly against the Dem    42  40
Vote for the Dem candidate                  11   7
Not vote at all                              2   4

Has Obama Been Attacking Clinton Unfairly, Or Not? (Dems)

-                   Now 3/31 
Yes, has been       21% 22%
No, has not         67  70

Has Clinton Been Attacking Obama Unfairly, Or Not? (Dems)

-                   Now 3/31
Yes, has been       50% 49%
No, has not         38  41