From The Hotline Latest Edition for Friday, May 9,2008

DIAGEO/HOTLINE

Lookin' For Some Hotline Stuff Baby This Evenin'

Fri. May 9, 2008


Conducted 4/30-5/3 by FD; surveyed 803 RVs; margin of error +/- 3% (release, 5/9).

WH '08 General Election Matchups

-           Now               3/31              2/17
-           All GOP Ind Dem   All GOP Ind Dem   All GOP Dem
H. Clinton  46% 11% 35% 81%   41%  7% 24% 80%   40%  6% 78%
J. McCain   43  84  47  11    50  89  56  14    48  84  16
Undec        8   5  16   5     7   3  16   4     9   7   7

-           Now               3/31              2/17
-           All GOP Ind Dem   All GOP Ind Dem   All GOP Dem
B. Obama    47% 13% 33% 82%   44% 10% 34% 78%   48% 11% 84%
J. McCain   43  82  44  12    46  85  46  15    40  82   8
Undec        7   4  17   4     8   4  14   6     9   5   6

-           Now               3/31
-           All GOP Ind Dem   All GOP Ind Dem
H. Clinton  44%  9% 33% 77%   39%  7% 26% 76%
J. McCain   42  84  40  11    46  87  47  13
R. Nader     4   1  10   5     5   1   8   4
Undec        8   5  17   5     7   4  14   5

-           Now               3/31
-           All GOP Ind Dem   All GOP Ind Dem
B. Obama    45% 13% 32% 81%   41%  9% 32% 74%
J. McCain   40  80  38  10    45  84  44  15
R. Nader     5   1  11   4     3   2   5   2
Undec        7   4  19   3     8   4  14   7

-           Now             3/31            2/17
-           All GOP Ind Dem All GOP Ind Dem All GOP Ind Dem
Generic Dem 49% 11% 42% 85% 46% 11% 30% 86% 46%  9% 36% 87%
Generic GOP 35  77  27   6  38  81  34   6  35  79  32   5
Neither      4   3   7   1   5   3  15   2   5   3  13   2
Undec       12   9  24   8  10   6  21   6  14   8  20   6

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     GOP     Ind     Dem     3/31    2/17
B. Obama    52%/39% 33%/58% 44%/44% 72%/20% 56%/37% 57%/33%
B. Clinton  49 /47  17 /81  46 /50  76 /20  45 /51  55 /41
J. McCain   48 /39  76 /18  57 /29  24 /62  58 /32  56 /30
H. Clinton  46 /48  20 /77  44 /49  69 /26  43 /53  54 /40
G. Bush     32 /63  62 /36  32 /63   9 /87  36 /61  38 /58
R. Nader    24 /48  19 /57  33 /40  25 /46  22 /46    na

Regardless Of Your WH '08 Choice, Who Has The Best Chances In Nov.?

-           Now             3/31            2/17
-           All GOP Ind Dem All GOP Ind Dem All GOP Ind Dem
Generic Dem 53% 29% 51% 76% 50% 29% 37% 76% 56% 33% 48% 82%
Generic GOP 32  55  30  15  33  53  35  14  25  49  25  10
Neither      2   2   1   1   3   2   8   *   3   4   3   1
Undec       13  14  18   9  14  15  20   9  16  14  23   7

Direction Of U.S.

-           Now             3/31            2/17
-           All GOP Ind Dem All GOP Ind Dem All GOP Ind Dem
Right dir.  14% 27% 13%  5% 17% 31% 17%  5% 21% 38% 12% 10%
Wrong dir.  75  56  74  90  74  57  74  89  69  49  79  83

Bush As POTUS

-           Now             3/31            2/17
-           All GOP Ind Dem All GOP Ind Dem All GOP Ind Dem
Approve     33% 64% 28% 11% 35% 67% 34% 11% 39% 70% 44% 11%
Disapprove  63  34  62  87  62  32  61  88  57  26  55  86

Congress Job Approval

-           Now             3/31            2/17
-           All GOP Ind Dem All GOP Ind Dem All GOP Ind Dem
Approve     18% 13% 12% 23% 23% 22% 20% 27% 28% 30% 22% 31%
Disapprove  75  82  78  68  72  75  75  66  63  64  72  59

Bush Handling Iraq

-           Now             3/31            2/17
-           All GOP Ind Dem All GOP Ind Dem All GOP Ind Dem
Approve     30% 60% 30%  7% 34% 68% 32%  7% 36% 68% 39%  8%
Disapprove  65  35  63  91  63  29  63  91  60  30  60  90

Bush Handling Economy

-           Now             3/31            2/17
-           All GOP Ind Dem All GOP Ind Dem All GOP Ind Dem
Approve     27% 52% 28%  5% 28% 56% 24%  8% 30% 52% 37% 10%
Disapprove  69  42  67  92  68  38  71  90  65  43  61  87

Which Candidate Would Do The Best Job Handling The U.S. Economy?

-           Now                 3/31
-           All GOP Ind Dem     All GOP Ind Dem
J. McCain   29% 62% 23%  7%     35% 66% 37%  8%
B. Obama    28  13  24  44      31  10  23  52  
H. Clinton  28   9  35  39      20   8  16  33
None         5   7   6   2       5   6  11   1  
Undec       10   9  13   8       9  10  12   6

Which Political Party Would Do The Best Job Handling The U.S. Economy?

-           Now                 3/31
-           All GOP Ind Dem     All GOP Ind Dem
Dem Party   49%  9% 45% 87%     54% 10% 58% 90%
The GOP     36  81  29   7      33  76  19   5
Neither      6   5  11   2       4   7   3   1  
Undec        9   5  15   4      10   6  21   4

Which Candidate Would Do The Best Job Handling Health Care?

-           All GOP Ind Dem
H. Clinton  36% 11% 32% 56%
J. McCain   24  56  20   2
B. Obama    24  15  22  33
None         6   7  10   1
Undec       10  10  16   7

Which Political Party Would Do The Best Job Handling Health Care?

-           All GOP Ind Dem
Dem party   52% 12% 47% 90%
The GOP     27  64  21   4
Neither     11  13  16   3
Undec       11  11  17   3

What Is The Most Important Issue Facing The U.S. Today?

-                         Now               3/31
-                         All GOP Ind Dem   All GOP Ind Dem
Economy in general        36% 31% 37% 40%   37% 31% 37% 44%
War in Iraq-oppose        11   8  12  16    13   5  13  19
Gas/fuel/oil prices       10   9   6  13     4   4   4   4
Terrorism                  4   8   4   *     4   8   3   1
Cost of living/inflation   3   1   3   2     2   3   3   1
Immigration/illegal aliens 3   6   3   1     4   5   5   2
Poor health care/cost of   3   2   4   3     4   4   3   4
Unemployment/jobs          3   3   3   4     2   1   3   1
War in Iraq-support        2   4   4   1     3   8   2   *
Dissastisfaction w/ gov't  2   2  --   4     3   2   4   2
Ethics/moral/religious     2   1   2   1     2   2   3   *
Other                     12  13   9   7    13  11  13  11