From The Hotline Latest Edition for Wednesday, May 7,2008

NORTH CAROLINA EXITS

The Duck Stops Here

Wed. May 7, 2008


An Edison Media Research/Mitofsky Int'l exit poll; conducted 5/6 for the NEP; surveyed 2,316 NC Dem voters; margin of error +/- 2% (MSNBC/CNN, 5/7).

Gender

-                   All Cli Oba
Male                43% 39% 58%
Female              57  43  55

Race

-                   All Cli Oba
White               62% 61% 37%
Black               34   7  91
Hispanic/Latino      2   *   *
Asian                1   *   *
Other                1   *   *

Age

-                   All Cli Oba
17-29               14% 25% 74%
30-44               21  34  63
45-59               35  43  55
60+                 30  53  44

Party ID

-                   All Cli Oba
Democrat            76% 39% 60%
Republican           5  61  32
Independent/other   19  50  45

On Most Political Matters, Do You Consider Yourself ___?

-                   All Cli Oba
Liberal             42% 37% 63%
Moderate            37  41  57
Conservative        21  53  42

Gender By Race

-                   All Cli Oba
White men           27% 55% 42%
White women         34  65  33
Black men           14   7  91
Black women         21   7  90
Latino men           1   *   *
Latino women         1   *   *
All other races      2   *   *

Age By Race

-                   All Cli Oba
White 17-29          8% 41% 57%
White 30-44         12  52  45
White 45-59         21  64  33
White 60+           22  69  29
Black 17-29          6   2  96
Black 30-44          9  11  87
Black 45-59         13   8  91
Black 60+            7   5  90
Latino 17-29        --   *   *
Latino 30-44        --   *   *
Latino 45-59         1   *   *
Latino 60+          --   *   *
All other            2   *   *

Party By Race

-                   All Cli Oba
White Dems          42% 62% 37%
White Inds          16  58  38
Black Dems          32   7  92
Black Inds           2   *   *
Latino Dems          2   *   *
Latino Inds         --   *   *
All GOPers           5  61  33
All other            2   *   *

What Was The Last Grade Of School You Completed?

-                               All Cli Oba
Did not complete H.S.            6% 37% 60%
H.S. graduate                   24  40  57
Some college/assoc. degree      26  44  54
College graduate                26  44  55
Postgraduate study              18  41  59

College Education

-                   All Cli Oba
No college degree   56% 41% 56%
College graduate    44  42  57

Gun-Owning Household?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes                 45% 51% 47%
No                  55  35  63

'07 Total Family Income

-                   All Cli Oba
Less than $50k      48% 37% 60%
$50k or more        52  45  54

'07 Total Family Income

-                   All Cli Oba
Under $15k           9% 31% 66%
$15-30k             17  35  62
$30-50k             22  41  56
$50-75k             18  47  52
$75-100k            14  46  53
$100-150k           11  42  55
$150-200k            5   *   *
$200k or more        4   *   *

Which Best Describes You?

-                               All Cli Oba
First time voted in a primary   19% 28% 69%
Have voted in a primary before  81  45  53

When Did You Make Your WH '08 Choice? (Election Day Voters Only)

-                   All Cli Oba
Just today           9% 52% 45%
In the last 3 days   6   *   *
Sometime last week   5   *   *
In the last month   20  43  53
Before that         59  39  60

When Did You Make Your WH '08 Choice? (Election Day Voters Only)

-                   All Cli Oba
In the last 3 days  15% 46% 52%
Earlier than that   85  40  59

Which Is The Most Important Issue Facing The U.S.?

-                   All Cli Oba
Economy             60% 45% 53%
Iraq                22  36  61
Health care         16  36  62

Which Quality Was Most Important To Your WH '08 Primary Choice?

-                                   All Cli Oba
Can bring about needed change       51% 22% 77%
Has the right experience            21  88  10
Cares about people like me          15  41  55
Has the best chances in Nov.        11  48  51

For Whom Would You Vote In Nov. If The Candidates Were ___?

-                   All Cli Oba
H. Clinton, Dem     75% 46% 54%
J. McCain, GOPer    14  48  44
Would not vote       9   5  90

For Whom Would You Vote In Nov. If The Candidates Were ___?

-                   All Cli Oba
B. Obama, Dem       74% 27% 72%
J. McCain, GOPer    18  84  10
Would not vote       6  91   4

Which Candidate Would Be More Likely To Beat McCain In Nov.?

-                   All Cli Oba
B. Obama            55%  8% 91%
H. Clinton          39  88   9

Did Clinton Attack Obama Unfairly?

-                   All Cli Oba
Did                 67% 34% 63%
Did not             29  59  39

Did Obama Attack Clinton Unfairly?

-                   All Cli Oba
Did                 40% 58% 39%
Did not             56  31  68

Would You Be Satisfied/Dissatisfied If Clinton Gets The Dem Nod?

-                   All Cli Oba
Satisfied           63% 59% 39%
Dissatisfied        36  10  86

Would You Be Satisfied/Dissatisfied If Obama Gets The Dem Nod?

-                   All Cli Oba
Satisfied           69% 22% 77%
Dissatisfied        29  89   7

Does Clinton Share Your Values?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes, does           61% 58% 41%
No, does not        38  15  81

Does Obama Share Your Values?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes, does           70% 23% 75%
No, does not        29  86  10

Is Clinton Honesty And Trustworthy?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes, is             49% 62% 37%
No, is not          49  22  75

Is Obama Honesty And Trustworthy?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes, is             71% 25% 73%
No, is not          27  85  10

Was The Gender Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                   All Cli Oba
Important           21% 43% 54%
Not important       78  42  56

Was The Gender Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                               All Cli Oba
Men who say was a factor         9% 40% 57%
Men who say was not a factor    33  40  58
Women who say was a factor      12  47  52
Women who say was not a factor  44  43  55

Was The Race Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                   All Cli Oba
Important           18% 35% 64%
Not important       80  44  54

Was The Race Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                               All Cli Oba
Whites who say was a factor      8% 62% 36%
Whites who say was not a factor 52  61  37
Blacks who say was a factor      9   7  92
Blacks who say was not a factor 24   8  90
All other races                  4   *   *

How Important Was The Situation With Rev. Wright To Your WH '08 Choice? (Election Day Voters Only)

-                   All Cli Oba
Very/somewhat       47% 57% 41%
Not too/not at all  51  26  72

How Much Has The Current Recession/Economic Slowdown Affected You And Your Family?

-                       All Cli Oba
A great deal/somewhat   82% 42% 56%
Not much/not at all     17  42  55

Which Candidate Is More Likely To Improve The U.S. Economy?

-                   All Cli Oba
B. Obama            53%  3% 95%
H. Clinton          42  91   7

Which Candidate Is More Qualified To Be Commander In Chief?

-                   All Cli Oba
B. Obama            50%  2% 96%
H. Clinton          45  87  11

Religion

-                       All Cli Oba
Protestant/Christian    69% 45% 53%
Catholic                 8  51  48 
Jewish                   2   *   *
Other                    8  27  71
None                    13  29  69

How Often Do You Attend Religious Services?

-                   All Cli Oba
Weekly              49% 43% 55%
Occasionally        37  39  59
Never               12  45  54

Geographic Area

-                   All Cli Oba
Raleigh/Durham      29% 34% 64%
East                23  44  51
Greensboro Area     17  41  57
Charlotte           22  44  55
Mountain/West       10  55  45

Population Of Area

-                   All Cli Oba
City over 50k       27% 33% 66%
Suburbs             25  46  53
Small city/rural    47  45  52