• National Journal.com
  • Sun. Nov 23, 2008
  • Sign In

  • My Account | Free Trial

nationaljournal.com > The Hotline > Latest Edition

    • Home
    • The Magazine
    • The Hotline
    • CongressDaily
  • About Us
  • News & Blogs
  • Earlybird
  • Hotline On Call
  • Blogometer
  • Ad Spotlight
  • Poll Track
  • Markup Reports
  • Insider Interviews
  • Tech Daily Dose
  • Multimedia
  • Play of the Day
  • Sunday Snapshot
  • Hotline TV
  • National Journal On Air
  • Columns
  • Mark Blumenthal
  • Ronald Brownstein
  • Eliza Carney
  • Charlie Cook (Tues.)
  • Charlie Cook (Fri.)
  • Clive Crook
  • John Mercurio
  • William Powers
  • Jonathan Rauch
  • Bruce Stokes
  • William Schneider
  • Stuart Taylor
  • Amy Walter
  • Campaigns 2008
  • Main
  • White House
  • Senate
  • House
  • Governor
  • Political Stock Exchange
  • Subscriber Resources
  • The Almanac
  • Capital Source
  • Daybook
  • Affiliate Sites
  • The Atlantic
  • Cook Report
  • Global Security Newswire
  • Government Executive
  • Washington Week
National Journal Magazine
Search

Advanced Search

Search Sponsor:
About The Hotline
Subscriptions | Contact Us
  • Latest Edition
    11:40 am
  • Wake-Up Call
    9 am
  • Last Call!
    4 pm
  • House Race Hotline
    2 pm
  • Blogometer
    11:40 am
  • Multimedia
    • Hotline TV
    • Play of the Day
    • Sunday Snapshot

From The Hotline Latest Edition for Wednesday, May 7,2008

  • Print
    • Print
    • Entire Edition
  • Email
  • Reprints
  • Tools Sponsor:
INDIANA EXITS

I Was Stubborn In A Small Town

Wed. May 7, 2008


An Edison Media Research/Mitofsky Int'l exit poll; conducted 5/6 for the NEP; surveyed 1,881 IN Dem voters; margin of error +/- 2% (MSNBC/CNN, 5/7).

Gender

-                   All Cli Oba
Male                44% 49% 51%
Female              56  51  49

Race

-                   All Cli Oba
White               78% 60% 40%
Black               18  10  90
Hispanic/Latino      2   *   *
Asian                1   *   *
Other                2   *   *

Age

-                   All Cli Oba
17-29               17% 38% 62%
30-44               25  44  56
45-59               33  51  49
60+                 25  64  36

Party ID

-                   All Cli Oba
Democrat            67% 51% 49%
Republican          10  53  47
Independent/other   23  46  54

On Most Political Matters, Do You Consider Yourself ___?

-                   All Cli Oba
Liberal             39% 43% 57%
Moderate            45  52  48
Conservative        16  64  36

Gender By Race

-                   All Cli Oba
White men           34% 58% 42%
White women         44  60  40
Black men            8   9  91 
Black women         10  11  89
Latino men           1   *   *
Latino women         1   *   *
All other races      3   *   *

Age By Race

-                   All Cli Oba
White 17-29         12% 45% 55%
White 30-44         19  55  45
White 45-59         27  61  39
White 60+           21  71  29
Black 17-29          4   *   *
Black 30-44          5   *   *
Black 45-59          5   *   *
Black 60+            3   *   *
Latino 17-29         1   *   *
Latino 30-44         1   *   *
Latino 45-59        --   *   *
Latino 60+          --   *   *
All other            3   *   *

Party By Race

-                   All Cli Oba
White Dems          49% 64% 36%
White Inds          20  51  49
Black Dems          15   9  91
Black Inds           2   *   *
Latino Dems          1   *   *
Latino Inds         --   *   *
All GOPers          10  53  47
All other            3   *   *

What Was The Last Grade Of School You Completed?

-                               All Cli Oba
Did not complete H.S.            4%  *   *
H.S. graduate                   26  53% 47%
Some college/assoc. degree      35  54  46
College graduate                21  43  57
Postgraduate study              15  43  57

College Education

-                   All Cli Oba
No college degree   65% 54% 46%
College graduate    35  43  57

Union Household?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes                 36% 52% 48%
No                  64  49  51

Gun-Owning Household?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes                 48% 59% 41%
No                  52  42  58

'07 Total Family Income

-                   All Cli Oba
Less than $50k      46% 50% 50%
$50k or more        54  50  50

'07 Total Family Income

-                   All Cli Oba
Under $15k           9% 41% 59%
$15-30k             12  55  45
$30-50k             26  50  50
$50-75k             25  51  49
$75-100k            15  48  52
$100-150k           10  52  48
$150-200k            2   *   *
$200k or more        1   *   *

Which Best Describes You?

-                               All Cli Oba
First time voted in a primary   22% 39% 61%
Have voted in a primary before  78  53  47

When Did You Make Your WH '08 Choice? (Election Day Voters Only)

-                   All Cli Oba
Just today          11% 56% 44% 
In the last 3 days   7  57  43
Sometime last week   7  55  45
In the last month   20  51  49
Before that         55  47  53

When Did You Make Your WH '08 Choice? (Election Day Voters Only)

-                   All Cli Oba
In the last 3 days  18% 56% 44%
Earlier than that   81  49  51

Which Is The Most Important Issue Facing The U.S.?

-                   All Cli Oba
Economy             67% 51% 49%
Iraq                17  44  56
Health care         13  56  44

Which Quality Was Most Important To Your WH '08 Primary Choice?

-                                   All Cli Oba
Can bring about needed change       51% 29% 71%
Has the right experience            22  97   3
Cares about people like me          16  45  55
Has the best chances in Nov.         8  62  38

For Whom Would You Vote In Nov. If The Candidates Were ___?

-                   All Cli Oba
H. Clinton, Dem     73% 59% 41%
J. McCain, GOPer    16  41  59
Would not vote       9   4  96

For Whom Would You Vote In Nov. If The Candidates Were ___?

-                   All Cli Oba
B. Obama, Dem       71% 35% 65%
J. McCain, GOPer    18  88  12
Would not vote       8  98   2

Which Candidate Would Be More Likely To Beat McCain In Nov.?

-                   All Cli Oba
B. Obama            51% 12% 88%
H. Clinton          46  94   6

Did Clinton Attack Obama Unfairly?

-                   All Cli Oba
Did                 65% 42% 58%
Did not             32  67  33

Did Obama Attack Clinton Unfairly?

-                   All Cli Oba
Did                 44% 65% 35%
Did not             53  38  62

Would You Be Satisfied/Dissatisfied If Clinton Gets The Dem Nod?

-                   All Cli Oba
Satisfied           67% 70% 30%
Dissatisfied        33  10  90

Would You Be Satisfied/Dissatisfied If Obama Gets The Dem Nod?

-                   All Cli Oba
Satisfied           66% 28% 72%
Dissatisfied        33  95   5

Does Clinton Share Your Values?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes, does           62% 69% 31%
No, does not        37  18  82

Does Obama Share Your Values?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes, does           69% 32% 68%
No, does not        30  93   7

Is Clinton Honesty And Trustworthy?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes, is             53% 72% 28%
No, is not          45  25  75

Is Obama Honesty And Trustworthy?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes, is             68% 33% 67%
No, is not          30  88  12

Was The Gender Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                   All Cli Oba
Important           16% 57% 43%
Not important       83  49  51

Was The Gender Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                               All Cli Oba
Men who say was a factor         5%  *   *
Men who say was not a factor    38  49% 51%
Women who say was a factor      11  57  43
Women who say was not a factor  45  49  51

Was The Race Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                   All Cli Oba
Important           16% 51% 49%
Not important       83  50  50

Was The Race Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                               All Cli Oba
Whites who say was a factor     10% 78% 22%
Whites who say was not a factor 66  57  43
Blacks who say was a factor      6   *   *
Blacks who say was not a factor 11   9  91
All other races                  5   *   *

How Important Was The Situation With Rev. Wright To Your WH '08 Choice? (Election Day Voters Only)

-                   All Cli Oba
Very/somewhat       46% 70% 30%
Not too/not at all  50  32  68

How Much Has The Current Recession/Economic Slowdown Affected You And Your Family?

-                       All Cli Oba
A great deal/somewhat   89% 51% 49%
Not much/not at all     11  43  57

Which Candidate Is More Likely To Improve The U.S. Economy?

-                   All Cli Oba
B. Obama            49%  5% 95%
H. Clinton          48  96   4

Which Candidate Is More Qualified To Be Commander In Chief?

-                   All Cli Oba
H. Clinton          52% 91%  9%
B. Obama            45   3  97

Religion

-                       All Cli Oba
Protestant/Christian    62% 50% 50%
Catholic                19  59  41
Jewish                  --   *   *
Other                    7  39  61
None                    12  42  58

How Often Do You Attend Religious Services?

-                   All Cli Oba
Weekly              40% 49% 51%
Occasionally        42  52  48
Never               17  47  53

Geographic Area

-                   All Cli Oba
Marion County       15% 33% 67%
South               25  61  39
Northwest           20  44  56
North               24  51  49
East Central        16  54  46

Population Of Area

-                   All Cli Oba
City over 50k       33% 39% 61%
Suburbs             50  52  48
Small city/rural    17  66  34

  • Next: Kicking Up His Tar Heels
  • Previous: Can We Stop Watching Yet?  

5/7/2008 Frontpage

Results

  • 1 INDIANA (5/6 PRIMARY): Can We Stop Watching Yet?
  • 2 INDIANA EXITS: I Was Stubborn In A Small Town
  • 3 NORTH CAROLINA (5/6 PRIMARY): Kicking Up His Tar Heels
  • 4 NORTH CAROLINA EXITS: The Duck Stops Here
  • 5 PRIMARIES: WHAT HAPPENED?: Ding Dong
  • 6 THE FIELD: Drawing Up An Exit Strategy
  • 7 DELEGATE TRACKER: Not Many More Left To Win
  • 8 THE NOMINEES: No Surprises

White House 2008 -- The Republicans

  • 9 MCCAIN: Poetic Justice

White House 2008 -- The Democrats

  • 10 FLOR-IGAN: Crisis Averted?
  • 11 SUPERDELEGATES: The Beltway Primary
  • 12 SUPERDELEGATE TRACKER: Nearly A Three-Way Tie
  • 13 CLINTON: The Romney Remains
  • 14 OBAMA: There's No Denying

White House 2008 -- Other Updates

  • 15 GALLUP: A Change Gamer?
  • 16 WEST VIRGINIA (5/13 PRIMARY): You're Out Of Touch, I'm Out Of Time
  • 17 KENTUCKY (5/20 PRIMARY): Speed Of Lightning, Roar Of Thunder, Underdog!
  • 18 OREGON (5/20 PRIMARY): And Then There Were 5 (+1)
  • 19 GALLUP: Like A Margin
  • 20 CANDIDATE AIR TIMES: Double The Pleasure, Double The Fun
  • 21 2008 SCHEDULES: Take Me Home, To The Place I Belong

National Briefing

  • 22 IRAQ: Don't Play With Matches
  • 23 LANDSCAPE: Free Hans von Spakovsky!
  • 24 BLOGOMETER: A Critical Mass?

Senate 2008

  • 25 LOUISIANA: He's Got Coin, But Does He Have Bank?
  • 26 NEW JERSEY: Well, This Oughta Be Good
  • 27 NORTH CAROLINA: Oh, Kay!
  • 28 OREGON: Is The DSCC About To Step In?

Governor 2008

  • 29 INDIANA: The Other Nail-Biter
  • 30 NORTH CAROLINA: Quoth The Voters, "Never, Moore"

People

  • 31 GIBBONS: Make Yourself At Home
  • 32 GIULIANI: Getting Back In The Ring
  • 33 FOSSELLA: The Rumors Are Worse Than The Crime
  • 34 DANN: Slow It Down
  • 35 NEWSOM: Will You Be My Friend?
  • 36 MCGREEVEYS: Not Nearly As Entertaining With The Cameras Off
  • 37 DODDS: Proportion Control
  • 38 NEWS BAZAAR: As If Delegate Math Wasn't Hard Enough

Media Monitor

  • 39 MEDIA MONITOR: This Morning

Recent Editions

The Hotline
  • Friday, Nov. 21, 2008
  • Thursday, Nov. 20, 2008
  • Wednesday, Nov. 19, 2008
  • Tuesday, Nov. 18, 2008
  • Monday, Nov. 17, 2008
  • Friday, Nov. 14, 2008
  • Thursday, Nov. 13, 2008
  • Wednesday, Nov. 12, 2008
  • Tuesday, Nov. 11, 2008
  • Monday, Nov. 10, 2008
House Race Hotline
  • Thursday, Nov. 20, 2008
  • Monday, Nov. 17, 2008
  • Thursday, Nov. 13, 2008
  • Tuesday, Nov. 11, 2008
  • Monday, Nov. 10, 2008
  • Friday, Nov. 7, 2008
  • Thursday, Nov. 6, 2008
  • Wednesday, Nov. 5, 2008
  • Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2008
  • Monday, Nov. 3, 2008
Wake-Up Call!
  • Friday, Nov. 21, 2008
  • Thursday, Nov. 20, 2008
  • Wednesday, Nov. 19, 2008
  • Tuesday, Nov. 18, 2008
  • Monday, Nov. 17, 2008
  • Friday, Nov. 14, 2008
  • Thursday, Nov. 13, 2008
  • Wednesday, Nov. 12, 2008
  • Tuesday, Nov. 11, 2008
  • Monday, Nov. 10, 2008
Last Call!
  • Friday, Nov. 21, 2008
  • Thursday, Nov. 20, 2008
  • Wednesday, Nov. 19, 2008
  • Tuesday, Nov. 18, 2008
  • Monday, Nov. 17, 2008
  • Friday, Nov. 14, 2008
  • Thursday, Nov. 13, 2008
  • Wednesday, Nov. 12, 2008
  • Tuesday, Nov. 11, 2008
  • Monday, Nov. 10, 2008

Highlights

National Journal Magazine

  • Missing: Seller's Remorse
  • The Bush GOP's Fatal Contraction

CongressDaily

  • Pelosi Sees 'Robust' Economic Stimulus Bill In January

NationalJournal.com

  • Obama's Millennial Marketers
  • Waxman's Win Paves Path For Obama Goals

The Hotline

  • Rival Me This
Staff Contact Employment Reprints & Back Issues Privacy Policy Advertising
Copyright 2008 by National Journal Group Inc. The Watergate 600 New Hampshire Ave., NW Washington, DC 20037
202-739-8400 · fax 202-833-8069 NationalJournal.com is an Atlantic Media publication.