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INDIANA EXITS
I Was Stubborn In A Small Town
An Edison Media Research/Mitofsky Int'l exit poll; conducted 5/6 for the NEP; surveyed 1,881 IN Dem voters; margin of error +/- 2% (MSNBC/CNN, 5/7).
Gender
- All Cli Oba Male 44% 49% 51% Female 56 51 49
Race
- All Cli Oba White 78% 60% 40% Black 18 10 90 Hispanic/Latino 2 * * Asian 1 * * Other 2 * *
Age
- All Cli Oba 17-29 17% 38% 62% 30-44 25 44 56 45-59 33 51 49 60+ 25 64 36
Party ID
- All Cli Oba Democrat 67% 51% 49% Republican 10 53 47 Independent/other 23 46 54
On Most Political Matters, Do You Consider Yourself ___?
- All Cli Oba Liberal 39% 43% 57% Moderate 45 52 48 Conservative 16 64 36
Gender By Race
- All Cli Oba White men 34% 58% 42% White women 44 60 40 Black men 8 9 91 Black women 10 11 89 Latino men 1 * * Latino women 1 * * All other races 3 * *
Age By Race
- All Cli Oba White 17-29 12% 45% 55% White 30-44 19 55 45 White 45-59 27 61 39 White 60+ 21 71 29 Black 17-29 4 * * Black 30-44 5 * * Black 45-59 5 * * Black 60+ 3 * * Latino 17-29 1 * * Latino 30-44 1 * * Latino 45-59 -- * * Latino 60+ -- * * All other 3 * *
Party By Race
- All Cli Oba White Dems 49% 64% 36% White Inds 20 51 49 Black Dems 15 9 91 Black Inds 2 * * Latino Dems 1 * * Latino Inds -- * * All GOPers 10 53 47 All other 3 * *
What Was The Last Grade Of School You Completed?
- All Cli Oba Did not complete H.S. 4% * * H.S. graduate 26 53% 47% Some college/assoc. degree 35 54 46 College graduate 21 43 57 Postgraduate study 15 43 57
College Education
- All Cli Oba No college degree 65% 54% 46% College graduate 35 43 57
Union Household?
- All Cli Oba Yes 36% 52% 48% No 64 49 51
Gun-Owning Household?
- All Cli Oba Yes 48% 59% 41% No 52 42 58
'07 Total Family Income
- All Cli Oba Less than $50k 46% 50% 50% $50k or more 54 50 50
'07 Total Family Income
- All Cli Oba Under $15k 9% 41% 59% $15-30k 12 55 45 $30-50k 26 50 50 $50-75k 25 51 49 $75-100k 15 48 52 $100-150k 10 52 48 $150-200k 2 * * $200k or more 1 * *
Which Best Describes You?
- All Cli Oba First time voted in a primary 22% 39% 61% Have voted in a primary before 78 53 47
When Did You Make Your WH '08 Choice? (Election Day Voters Only)
- All Cli Oba Just today 11% 56% 44% In the last 3 days 7 57 43 Sometime last week 7 55 45 In the last month 20 51 49 Before that 55 47 53
When Did You Make Your WH '08 Choice? (Election Day Voters Only)
- All Cli Oba In the last 3 days 18% 56% 44% Earlier than that 81 49 51
Which Is The Most Important Issue Facing The U.S.?
- All Cli Oba Economy 67% 51% 49% Iraq 17 44 56 Health care 13 56 44
Which Quality Was Most Important To Your WH '08 Primary Choice?
- All Cli Oba Can bring about needed change 51% 29% 71% Has the right experience 22 97 3 Cares about people like me 16 45 55 Has the best chances in Nov. 8 62 38
For Whom Would You Vote In Nov. If The Candidates Were ___?
- All Cli Oba H. Clinton, Dem 73% 59% 41% J. McCain, GOPer 16 41 59 Would not vote 9 4 96
For Whom Would You Vote In Nov. If The Candidates Were ___?
- All Cli Oba B. Obama, Dem 71% 35% 65% J. McCain, GOPer 18 88 12 Would not vote 8 98 2
Which Candidate Would Be More Likely To Beat McCain In Nov.?
- All Cli Oba B. Obama 51% 12% 88% H. Clinton 46 94 6
Did Clinton Attack Obama Unfairly?
- All Cli Oba Did 65% 42% 58% Did not 32 67 33
Did Obama Attack Clinton Unfairly?
- All Cli Oba Did 44% 65% 35% Did not 53 38 62
Would You Be Satisfied/Dissatisfied If Clinton Gets The Dem Nod?
- All Cli Oba Satisfied 67% 70% 30% Dissatisfied 33 10 90
Would You Be Satisfied/Dissatisfied If Obama Gets The Dem Nod?
- All Cli Oba Satisfied 66% 28% 72% Dissatisfied 33 95 5
Does Clinton Share Your Values?
- All Cli Oba Yes, does 62% 69% 31% No, does not 37 18 82
Does Obama Share Your Values?
- All Cli Oba Yes, does 69% 32% 68% No, does not 30 93 7
Is Clinton Honesty And Trustworthy?
- All Cli Oba Yes, is 53% 72% 28% No, is not 45 25 75
Is Obama Honesty And Trustworthy?
- All Cli Oba Yes, is 68% 33% 67% No, is not 30 88 12
Was The Gender Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?
- All Cli Oba Important 16% 57% 43% Not important 83 49 51
Was The Gender Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?
- All Cli Oba Men who say was a factor 5% * * Men who say was not a factor 38 49% 51% Women who say was a factor 11 57 43 Women who say was not a factor 45 49 51
Was The Race Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?
- All Cli Oba Important 16% 51% 49% Not important 83 50 50
Was The Race Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?
- All Cli Oba Whites who say was a factor 10% 78% 22% Whites who say was not a factor 66 57 43 Blacks who say was a factor 6 * * Blacks who say was not a factor 11 9 91 All other races 5 * *
How Important Was The Situation With Rev. Wright To Your WH '08 Choice? (Election Day Voters Only)
- All Cli Oba Very/somewhat 46% 70% 30% Not too/not at all 50 32 68
How Much Has The Current Recession/Economic Slowdown Affected You And Your Family?
- All Cli Oba A great deal/somewhat 89% 51% 49% Not much/not at all 11 43 57
Which Candidate Is More Likely To Improve The U.S. Economy?
- All Cli Oba B. Obama 49% 5% 95% H. Clinton 48 96 4
Which Candidate Is More Qualified To Be Commander In Chief?
- All Cli Oba H. Clinton 52% 91% 9% B. Obama 45 3 97
Religion
- All Cli Oba Protestant/Christian 62% 50% 50% Catholic 19 59 41 Jewish -- * * Other 7 39 61 None 12 42 58
How Often Do You Attend Religious Services?
- All Cli Oba Weekly 40% 49% 51% Occasionally 42 52 48 Never 17 47 53
Geographic Area
- All Cli Oba Marion County 15% 33% 67% South 25 61 39 Northwest 20 44 56 North 24 51 49 East Central 16 54 46
Population Of Area
- All Cli Oba City over 50k 33% 39% 61% Suburbs 50 52 48 Small city/rural 17 66 34
- Next: Kicking Up His Tar Heels
- Previous: Can We Stop Watching Yet?
5/7/2008 Frontpage
Results
- 1 INDIANA (5/6 PRIMARY): Can We Stop Watching Yet?
- 2 INDIANA EXITS: I Was Stubborn In A Small Town
- 3 NORTH CAROLINA (5/6 PRIMARY): Kicking Up His Tar Heels
- 4 NORTH CAROLINA EXITS: The Duck Stops Here
- 5 PRIMARIES: WHAT HAPPENED?: Ding Dong
- 6 THE FIELD: Drawing Up An Exit Strategy
- 7 DELEGATE TRACKER: Not Many More Left To Win
- 8 THE NOMINEES: No Surprises
White House 2008 -- The Republicans
White House 2008 -- The Democrats
- 10 FLOR-IGAN: Crisis Averted?
- 11 SUPERDELEGATES: The Beltway Primary
- 12 SUPERDELEGATE TRACKER: Nearly A Three-Way Tie
- 13 CLINTON: The Romney Remains
- 14 OBAMA: There's No Denying
White House 2008 -- Other Updates
- 15 GALLUP: A Change Gamer?
- 16 WEST VIRGINIA (5/13 PRIMARY): You're Out Of Touch, I'm Out Of Time
- 17 KENTUCKY (5/20 PRIMARY): Speed Of Lightning, Roar Of Thunder, Underdog!
- 18 OREGON (5/20 PRIMARY): And Then There Were 5 (+1)
- 19 GALLUP: Like A Margin
- 20 CANDIDATE AIR TIMES: Double The Pleasure, Double The Fun
- 21 2008 SCHEDULES: Take Me Home, To The Place I Belong
National Briefing
- 22 IRAQ: Don't Play With Matches
- 23 LANDSCAPE: Free Hans von Spakovsky!
- 24 BLOGOMETER: A Critical Mass?
Senate 2008
- 25 LOUISIANA: He's Got Coin, But Does He Have Bank?
- 26 NEW JERSEY: Well, This Oughta Be Good
- 27 NORTH CAROLINA: Oh, Kay!
- 28 OREGON: Is The DSCC About To Step In?
Governor 2008
People
- 31 GIBBONS: Make Yourself At Home
- 32 GIULIANI: Getting Back In The Ring
- 33 FOSSELLA: The Rumors Are Worse Than The Crime
- 34 DANN: Slow It Down
- 35 NEWSOM: Will You Be My Friend?
- 36 MCGREEVEYS: Not Nearly As Entertaining With The Cameras Off
- 37 DODDS: Proportion Control
- 38 NEWS BAZAAR: As If Delegate Math Wasn't Hard Enough
