From The Hotline Latest Edition for Monday, May 5,2008

CBS/NEW YORK TIMES

You Gotta Fight...For Your Wright...

Mon. May 5, 2008


Conducted 5/1-3; surveyed 601 RVs; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 5/4).

WH '08 General Election Matchups

-           Now             4/08            3/08    2/08
-           All GOP Dem Ind All GOP Dem Ind All Ind All Ind
B. Obama    51% 17% 79% 48% 47%  8% 78% 40% 48% 38% 50% 46%
J. McCain   40  79  12  40  42  86  15  41  43  46  38  36
Other       --  --  --  --   1  --  --   3   1  na  na  na
Undec        5   3   1   9   7   5   4  12   6  12   9  14

-           Now             4/08            3/08    2/08
-           All GOP Dem Ind All GOP Dem Ind All Ind All Ind
H. Clinton  53% 21% 85% 42% 48%  7% 82% 39% 46% 36% 46% 35%
J. McCain   41  76  10  47  43  90  12  44  44  47  46  52
Other        1   1  --   1   1  --  --   3   1  na  na  na
Undec        3   1   3   7   5   2   4   8   6  12   5  10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     GOP     Dem     Ind     4/08    3/08
B. Obama    44%/30% 22%/44% 59%/21% 47%/27% 43%/24% 44%/28%
H. Clinton  42 /37  22 /59  65 /18  32 /39  38 /39  39 /41
J. McCain   32 /35  55 /11  12 /51  35 /39  35 /29  38 /31
J. Wright    3 /53  -- /59   5 /56   3 /42    na      na

How Much Have You Heard/Read About The Controversy Over Statements Made By Rev. Jeremiah Wright, Who Was Obama's Minister?

-           All GOP Dem Ind
A lot       51% 46% 56% 48%
Some        24  21  25  26
Not much    22  31  14  23
None         3   2   5   3

(If Heard/Read About It) Have Wright's Statements Made You Feel More/Less Favorable Towards Obama?

-           All GOP Dem Ind
More         2%  4%  1% --
Less        22  29  19  18%
No effect   75  65  79  79

(If Heard/Read About It) Obama Handling Of Wright Situation

-           All GOP Dem Ind
Approve     60% 51% 71% 53%
Disapprove  23  28  19  25

(If Heard/Read About It) Has Obama Been Too Critical/Not Critical Enough Of Rev. Wright?

-                       All GOP Dem Ind
Too critical             6%  2% 12%  1%
Not critical enough     26  29  23  25
Appropriately critical  52  47  54  54

(If Heard/Read About It) Has The Situation Involving Rev. Wright Made You More/Less Likely To Support Obama?

-               All GOP Dem Ind
More likely      6%  3%  7%  7%
Less Likely     18  25  12  17
No difference   73  67  80  69

(If Heard/Read About It) Did Obama Renounce His Ties To Rev. Wright Mainly Because He Really Disagreed With The Things Rev. Wright Said Or He Thought It Would Help Him Politically?

-                   All GOP Dem Ind
Disagreed           34% 29% 40% 32%
Help politically    47  55  39  48
Both                 6   3  10   5

(If Heard/Read About It) How Much Influence Has Rev. Wright Had On Obama's Political Views?

-           All GOP Dem Ind
A lot       11% 14%  7% 15%
Some        32  35  38  21
Not much    28  20  29  36
None at all 20  21  20  18

(If Heard/Read About It) How Much Influence Has Rev. Wright Had On Obama's Spiritual Views?

-           All GOP Dem Ind
A lot       24% 26% 23% 23%
Some        34  27  38  36
Not much    19  16  22  18
None at all  9  12   9   5

(If Heard/Read About It) Do You Think Obama Shares Rev. Wright's Anger At The U.S.?

-               All GOP Dem Ind
Shares          16% 23%  9% 19%
Doesn't share   63  56  73  57

(If Heard/Read About It) If Obama Gets The Dem Nod, How Much Will Rev. Wright Matter To Your Vote In Nov.?

-           All GOP Dem Ind
A lot       11% 14% 10%  8%
Some        13  20  11  10
Not much    16  19  13  19
Not at all  57  45  65  57

(If Heard/Read About It) If Obama Gets The Dem Nod, How Much Will Rev. Wright Matter To The Vote Of Most People You Know In Nov.?

-           All GOP Dem Ind
A lot       15% 17% 15% 14%
Some        29  37  24  27 
Not much    20  18  18  25
Not at all  25  22  30  19

(If Heard/Read About It) Has The News Media Spent Too Much/Little Time Covering The Situation Between Obama And Rev. Wright?

-                       All GOP Dem Ind
Too much time           56% 44% 60% 63%
Too little time          5   8   3   4
Right amount of time    34  43  33  24