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From The Hotline Latest Edition for Friday, May 2,2008

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

Pew's Next

Fri. May 2, 2008


Conducted 4/23-27 by Princeton Survey Research Assoc.; surveyed 1,502 adults; margin of error +/- 3%. Subsample of 1,323 RVs; margin of error +/- 3% (release, 5/1).

WH '08 General Election Matchups (RVs)

-               Now 3/22 2/24
H. Clinton      49% 49%  50%
J. McCain       45  44   45
Other/undec      6   7   5

-               Now 3/22 2/24
B. Obama        50% 49%  50%
J. McCain       44  43   43
Other/undec      6   8    7

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/22    2/24    2/1     1/13    12/30
B. Obama    52%/42% 56%/34% 57%/34% 58%/30% 56%/33% 54%/30%
H. Clinton  49 /47  50 /44  51 /44  52 /42  52 /44  50 /44
J. McCain   48 /40  45 /41  48 /38  53 /31  55 /31  46 /34
G. Bush     31 /65  34 /61  35 /60  34 /61  36 /60  33 /63

Regardless Of Your WH '08 Choice, Who Is More Likely To Win An Election Between McCain And Clinton?

-               Now 3/22
J. McCain       46% 46%
H. Clinton      45  42
Other/undec      9  12

Regardless Of Your WH '08 Choice, Who Is More Likely To Win An Election Between McCain And Obama?

-               Now 3/22
B. Obama        47% 50%
J. McCain       42  38
Other/undec     11  12

Who Has The Best Chance Of Beating McCain In Nov.?

B. Obama        42%
H. Clinton      36
Neither          9
Both             6
Undec            7

Bush As POTUS

-           Now 3/22 2/24 2/1 1/13 12/30 11/07 10/07 9/07
Approve     27% 28%  33%  31% 31%  31%   30%   30%   31%
Disapprove  65  63   59   62  59   60    59    63    59

Regardless Of Your WH '08 Choice, Would McCain Or Clinton Do The Best Job ___?

-                                                   McC Cli
Defending the U.S. from future terrorist attacks    58% 31%
Making wise decisions about what to do in Iraq      49  43
Making wise decisions about U.S. trade policies     44  44
Improving economic conditions                       35  56

Regardless Of Your WH '08 Choice, Would McCain Or Obama Do The Best Job ___?

-                                                   McC Oba
Defending the U.S. from future terrorist attacks    63% 26%
Making wise decisions about what to do in Iraq      50  38
Making wise decisions about U.S. trade policies     48  38
Improving economic conditions                       33  53

U.S. Economic Conditions Today

-               Now 3/22 2/1 1/08 11/07 9/07 6/07 2/07
Excellent/good  11% 11%  17% 26%  23%   26%  33%  31%
Fair/poor       89  88   81  73   76    72   65   68

What Is The Biggest Reason For U.S. Economic Problems?

The war in Iraq                             31%
Rising energy prices                        26
Foreign competition                         12
Too little reg. of financial institutions   11
Normal ups/downs of economy                  9

Your Personal Financial Situation

-               Now 3/22 2/1 1/08 11/07 9/07 2/07 12/06
Excellent/good  43% 47%  45% 49%  50%   48%  49%  48%
Fair/poor       56  51   53  49   49    50   50   51

Have FTAs And WTO Policies Been A Good/Bad Thing For The U.S.?

-       Now 11/07 12/06 10/05 12/04 7/04 3/04 12/03 9/01
Good    35% 40%   44%   44%   47%   47%  44%  34%   49%
Bad     48  40    35    34    34    34   37   33    29

Have FTAs Helped/Hurt Your Personal Financial Situation?

-       Now 12/06 7/04 12/03
Helped  27% 35%   34%  27%
Hurt    48  36    41   38

Was It The Right/Wrong Decision For The U.S. To Use Military Force Against Iraq?

-       Now 2/24 12/07 10/07 9/07 7/07 6/07 4/07 3/07 2/07
Right   37% 38%  36%   39%   42%  41%  40%  45%  43%  40%
Wrong   57  54   56    54    50   53   51   47   49   54

How Well Is The U.S. Military Effort In Iraq Going?

-                   Now 2/24 12/07 11/07 10/07 9/07 7/07
Very well           10% 12%  11%   11%   10%    9%   8%
Fairly well         34  36   30    37    34    32   28
Not too well        28  25   31    29    29    30   34
Not at all well     24  23   23    19    22    24   25

Should The U.S. Keep Troops In Iraq Until The Situation Has Stabilized Or Bring Troops Home ASAP?

-                   Now 2/24 12/07 11/07 10/07 9/07 7/07
Keep troop in Iraq  41% 47%  40%   41%   42%   39%  39%
Bring troops home   56  49   54    54    54    54   54

  • Next: What A Grand Brand
  • Previous: Hell No, We Won't Go  

5/2/2008 Frontpage

White House 2008 -- The Republicans

  • 1 MCCAIN: Blame It On The Collapsed Bridge To Nowhere

White House 2008 -- The Democrats

  • 2 THE FIELD: Closing The Gap
  • 3 FLOR-IGAN: Kucinich To The Rescue
  • 4 SUPERDELEGATES: Joe-Mentum?
  • 5 CLINTON: A Series Of Fortunate Events
  • 6 OBAMA: Tune Out Da Noise, Tune Out Da Funk

White House 2008 -- Other Updates

  • 7 THE FIELD: Pander-monium!
  • 8 NEW MEXICO (2/5 CAUCUSES, 6/3 PRIMARY): But Delegate Status Is All She's Got!
  • 9 GALLUP: Return To Significance
  • 10 CNN/OPINION RESEARCH: Are You Satisfied?
  • 11 PEW RESEARCH CENTER: It's A Bird...It's A Plane...It's A SuperDel!
  • 12 GUAM (5/3 CAUCUSES): Gather 'Round The Coconut Radio
  • 13 INDIANA POLL (5/6 PRIMARY): Hoosier Daddy?
  • 14 INDIANA (5/6 PRIMARY): Yes I've Gotta Have Faith, Faith, Faith
  • 15 NORTH CAROLINA POLL (5/6 PRIMARY): Demon Deacons
  • 16 NORTH CAROLINA (5/6 PRIMARY): Flip Switch
  • 17 WEST VIRGINIA (5/13 PRIMARY): Hope Indies Read Press Releases
  • 18 KENTUCKY (5/20 PRIMARY): Excited ... Sort Of
  • 19 OREGON (5/20 PRIMARY): I Wish I Were A Fish
  • 20 CONVOS: Hell No, We Won't Go
  • 21 PEW RESEARCH CENTER: Pew's Next
  • 22 GALLUP: What A Grand Brand
  • 23 CNN/OPINION RESEARCH: Rev.-ing Up
  • 24 NORTH CAROLINA POLL (15 EVS): Good Charlotte Numbers
  • 25 2008 SCHEDULES: Joining The Mile-High Club

National Briefing

  • 26 IRAQ: Do Not Pass Go, Do Not Collect $2,000,000 Dollars
  • 27 BLOGOMETER: Overlapping Goals

Senate 2008

  • 28 ARKANSAS: Boring Race Gets More Boring
  • 29 COLORADO: Will This Race Be Won By Word Association, Boulder V. Abramoff?
  • 30 GEORGIA: I Won't Criticize, But Since You Ask ...
  • 31 KENTUCKY: Don't Sully Our Bluegrass
  • 32 NEW JERSEY: Walk The Line
  • 33 NORTH CAROLINA POLL: A Lump Of Dole In Your Stocking

Governor 2008

  • 34 NORTH CAROLINA: Time To Close The Deal
  • 35 WASHINGTON POLL: I'm At A Lossi

In The States

  • 36 THE FLY-BY: Hot Rod

Poll Update

  • 37 NATIONAL JOURNAL: And A Merry Gas Tax Holiday To You As Well!
  • 38 CNN/OPINION RESEARCH: Escape From D.C.

People

  • 39 BUSH: Should Have Been More Specific
  • 40 PALFREY: "DC Madam" Dies In Apparent Suicide
  • 41 : Not OK To Drive
  • 42 WALTERS: Public Affairs Indeed
  • 43 ROVE: Are You Threatening Me?
  • 44 BROWNBACK: Stop Bugging Me
  • 45 DODDS: Still Has Some Appeal
  • 46 NEWS BAZAAR: Just Like Us, Only More Tragic

Media Monitor

  • 47 MEDIA MONITOR: This Morning

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