From The Hotline Latest Edition for Friday, April 25,2008

INDIANA (5/6 PRIMARY)

Insignificant, Statistically Anyways

Fri. Apr. 25, 2008


A South Bend Tribune/WSBT-TV/WISH-TV/WANE-TV poll; conducted 4/23-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 5% (release, 4/25).

WH '08 Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+ 4/2
B. Obama    48% 52% 45% 42% 83% 66%   47%   44%   35% 46%
H. Clinton  47  40  53  53  14  33    49    47    59  49
Other        3   5   1   3  --   1     4     4     3   3
Undec        2   3   1   2   3  --    --     5     3   2

Which Candidate Has Run The Most Negative Campaign?

-           Now                     4/2
-           All Men Wom Wht Blk     All Men Wom Wht Blk
H. Clinton  48% 57% 41% 41% 84%     44% 53% 37% 37% 82%
B. Obama    23  15  29  27   2      21  14  27  24   3
Both equal  21  15  26  24   3      19  13  24  22   3
Undec        8  13   4   8  11      16  20  12  17  12

What Is The Single Most Important Issue To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                       Now 4/2
Economy/job creation    41% 39%
Troops out of Iraq      24  22
Health care costs       21  20
Global warming/enviro    3   4
War on terror            3   3
Social Security          3   4
Immigration reform       2   4
Balancing budget         2   3
Other/undec              1   1

They're Waiting It Out

An Indianapolis Star/WTHR-TV poll; conducted 4/20-23 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 535 Dem LVs; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 4/25).

WH '08 Primary Election Matchup

-               All Wom Blk WhtWom 18-35 55+
B. Obama        41% 41% 86% 29%    48%   32%
H. Clinton      38  40   4  48     34    43
Undec           21  na  na  na     na    na

Regardless Of Your WH '08 Choice, Which Candidate ___?

-                                             Clinton Obama
Has the experience to lead                    55%     27%
Is best able to bring about changes in policy 37      45
Understands people like me                    36      42
Is best able to win in Nov.                   35      49
Will be most successful at unifying the U.S.  35      46
Gives me the most hope for the future         34      48
Has the most attractive leadership style      32      51
Is best able to change the status quo in DC   32      48
Is the most trustworthy                       27      44

How Much Will Obama's Comments About Rural Voters' Bitterness Hurt Him?

Hurt a lot                  17%
Hurt a little               37
Will not hurt him at all    37

What Is The Single Most Important Issue Currently Facing The U.S.?

Job creation/economic growth        35%
The war in Iraq                     21
Energy/cost of gas                  12
Health care                          9
Education                            8
Illegal immigration                  6
Terrorism                            3
Enviro/global warming                2