The chart below reflects the most recent reputable state polls received by The Hotline, updated as new polls arrive. 35 seats are up in '06 (23R, 12D); 65 Seats are not up (26R, 39D), for a current Senate of 51D, 49R. (D+) or (R+) indicates the poll shows a lead outside the margin of error.
GOP SEATS DEM SEATS Not Up In '08 26 Not Up In '08 39 W/Leads Outside MoE* 40 W/Leads Outside MoE* 53 W/All Leads 44 W/All Leads 56
* = Includes all unpolled incumbents, giving VA and NM to Dems Current Pick-Ups: VA, NM, CO, NH, OR (Dems)
Incumbent GOP Dem Pollster Date +/- Lead
AL Sessions (R) *******NO RELIABLE POLLING AVAILABLE*******
AK Stevens (R) 46 44 Moore (R) 9/2-9/3 4.4 R
46 49 AnchPress/KTUU 8/30-9/2 4.4 D
39 56 AnchPress/KTUU 8/9-8/12 4.4 D+
AR Pryor (D) *******NO RELIABLE POLLING AVAILABLE*******
CO OPEN (R) 34 45 Harstad (D) 9/7-9/9 3.6 D+
39 40 Tarrance (R) 9/2-9/3 4.4 D
38 41 Hill (R) 8/23-24 4.2 D
31 39 Suffolk Univ. 8/21-8/24 4.6 D
DE Biden (D) *******NO RELIABLE POLLING AVAILABLE*******
GA Chambliss (R) 54 36 Strgic Vis (R) 9/7-9/9 3.5 R+
43 36 Mellman (D) 8/6-8/10 4.0 R
57 28 Strgic Vis (R) 6/27-6/29 3.5 R+
ID OPEN (R) 41 30 Greg Smith 8/18-8/22 4.0 R+
42 32 Research 2000 7/28-7/30 4.4 R+
43 28 Lake Res. (D) 5/20-5/25 4.4 R+
IL Durbin (D) *******NO RELIABLE POLLING AVAILABLE*******
IA Harkin (D) 20 59 Research 2000 4/21-4/23 4.0 D+
KS Roberts (R) 54 34 TargetPnt (R) 6/27-7/1 1.8 R+
48 36 Cooper/Sec (D) 6/5-6/8 3.5 R+
50 38 Research 2000 6/2-6/4 4.0 R+
KY McConnell (R) 53 35 V/C Rsrch (R) 9/7-9/9 3.3 R+
49 38 Research 2000 7/28-7/30 4.0 R+
50 39 V/C Rsrch (R) 6/15-6/17 4.1 R+
LA Landrieu (D) 40 46 SoMedia/OpRes 6/26-6/28 4.0 D
33 49 Mellman (D) 5/17-5/20 4.0 D+
MA Kerry (D) *******NO RELIABLE POLLING AVAILABLE*******
ME Collins (R) 57 38 Research 2000 9/8-9/10 4.0 R+
50 40 Crtcl Insghts 6/1-6/27 4.0 R+
56 31 Pan Atlantic 6/10-6/18 5.0 R+
MI Levin (D) 28 58 Strtgc Vis (R) 9/5-9/7 2.8 D+
27 59 EPIC-MRA 8/18-8/21 4.0 D+
32 58 EPIC-MRA 7/13-7/16 4.0 D+
MN Coleman (R)^ 41-37-13 Star-Trib. 9/10-9/12 2.9 R
40-41-8 Univ. of CT 8/7-8/17 3.5 D
52-38 Quinnipiac 7/14-7/22 2.8 R+
MS Cochran (R) *******NO RELIABLE POLLING AVAILABLE*******
MS Wicker (R) 48 43 Research 2000 9/8-9/10 4.0 R
45 44 Research 2000 7/21-7/23 4.0 R
46 42 Research 2000 5/19-5/21 4.0 R
MT Baucus (D) *******NO RELIABLE POLLING AVAILABLE*******
NE OPEN (R) 58 31 Research 2000 5/19-5/21 4.0 R+
NH Sununu (R) 44 46 POS (R) 9/2-9/3 4.4 D
41 52 ARG (R) 8/18-8/20 4.0 D+
42 46 UNH 7/11-7/20 4.5 D
NJ Lautenb. (D) 39 48 Quinnipiac 9/10-9/14 2.8 D+
41 49 Research 2000 9/9-9/11 4.0 D
40 51 Marist 9/5-9/8 4.0 D+
35 46 Fairlgh Dcknsn 9/4-9/7 3.4 D+
NM OPEN (R) *******NO RELIABLE POLLING AVAILABLE*******
NC Dole (R) 48 42 Research 2000 9/8-9/10 4.0 R
48 46 GrnHrtYng (D) 9/5-9/7 4.0 R
45 50 Dem. Corps (D) 8/20-8/26 3.4 D
44 41 TelOpinion (R) 8/14-8/17 4.0 R
OK Inhofe (R) 50 41 Benenson (D) 8/12-8/14 4.0 R+
52 30 Tulsa World 7/19-7/23 3.6 R+
53 31 Research 2000 6/9-6/11 4.0 R+
OR Smith (R) 41 43 Benenson (D) 9/7-9/9 3.7 D
38 34 POS (R) 5/27-5/29 5.7 R
45 42 Feldman (D) 5/12-16 3.0 R
RI Reed (D) *******NO RELIABLE POLLING AVAILABLE*******
SC Graham (R) *******NO RELIABLE POLLING AVAILABLE*******
SD Johnson (D) 34 61 GrnbrgQnln (D) 8/12-14 4.0 D+
TN Alexander (R) 60 30 Ayres/McH. (R) 8/10-8/12 4.4 R+
TX Cornyn (R) 44 31 Univ. of TX 7/18-7/30 3.8 R+
49 33 Baselice (R) 5/20-5/25 3.0 R+
48 44 Research 2000 5/5-5/7 4.0 R
VA OPEN (D) *******NO RELIABLE POLLING AVAILABLE*******
WV Rockefel. (D) *******NO RELIABLE POLLING AVAILABLE*******
WY Enzi (R) *******NO RELIABLE POLLING AVAILABLE*******
WY Barrasso (R) *******NO RELIABLE POLLING AVAILABLE*******
^ = Also includes ex-MN Sen. Dean Barkley (IP)
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