Bayh, Bayh Miss American Pie

A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll; conducted 4/10-14 by Interviewing Service of America, Inc.; surveyed 687; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 4/16).

WH '08 Primary Election Matchup

-           All Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Non-Wht 18-44 45+
B. Obama    40% 41% 47% 46% 35% 35% 60%     51%   31%
H. Clinton  35  41  24  35  35  38  22      26    43
Other        6   2   3   6   5   6   5       7     5
Undec       19  16  26  13  25  21  13      16    21

Direction Of U.S.

-           All Men Wom Wht Non-Wht
Right dir.  11% 14% 12% 14%  8%
Wrong dir.  81  76  73  74  79

Regardless Of Your WH '08 Choice, Who Has A Better Chance Of Beating John McCain In Nov.?

-           All Men Wom Wht Non-Wht
B. Obama    37% 38% 36% 33% 56%
H. Clinton  18  18  18  17  20
Equal       28  32  25  31  16
Neither      8   7   8   9   3
Undec        9   5  13  10   5

If The Dem You Support Does Not Get The Nod, Who Will You Support In Nov.?

-           All Men Wom Wht Non-Wht
Dem Nom.    50% 54% 46% 46% 64%
J. McCain   22  23  21  25   9
Other        7   7   7   7   6
Won't vote   6   4   8   6   6
Undec       15  12  18  16  15

Will The Dem Primary Battle Ultimately Help/Hurt The Dem Nominee In Nov.?

-           All Men Wom Wht Non-Wht
Help        26% 26% 25% 24% 35%
Hurt        32  32  31  31  32
No effect   30  31  29  32  19

Should SuperDels Vote For The Candidate They Like Or The One Who Won The Popular Vote In Their State?

-                       All Men Wom   
Vote as they like       39% 39% 40%   
Vote like their state   52  53  51

Does Obama's Race Make Him More/Less Electable In Nov.?

-           All Men Wom Wht Non-Wht
More        14% 18% 12% 14% 18%
Less        19  20  17  17  22
Not imprt.  63  60  65  64  59

Does Clinton's Gender Make Her More/Less Electable In Nov.?

-           All Men Wom Wht Non-Wht
More        11% 12% 11%  9% 22%
Less        29  24  32  29  26
Not imprt.  57  60  55  60  47

Does Bill Clinton's Participation In HRC's Campaign Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Her?

-           All Men Wom Wht Non-Wht
More        29% 39% 21% 30% 25%
Less        22  19  25  22  21
No effect   47  41  52  47  49

Does Knowing The Clintons Earned $109M Since They Left The WH Change Your Opinion Of HRC As A Candidate Who Understands The Needs Of Avg. Americans?

-                   All Men Wom
Changed/for better   9%  9%  8%
Changed/for worse    5   5   5
No change           82  80  84

Has Obama's Handling Of The Rev. Wright Controversy Made You Think More/Less Highly Of Him?

-           All Men Wom Wht Non-Wht
More        20% 18% 21% 19% 21%
Less        23  25  21  26   8
No effect   56  55  57  54  69

If Obama Gets The Dem Nod, Will His Association With Rev. Wright Be A Problem?

-           All Men Wom Wht Non-Wht
Yes         47% 51% 45% 52% 26%
No          47  45  48  42  67

Want to stay ahead of the curve? Sign up for National Journal’s AM & PM Must Reads. News and analysis to ensure you don’t miss a thing.