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Hotline's Latest Edition / NEW YORK 13 (R/STATEN ISLAND -- FOSSELLA)

A Top-Down Approach To Analysis

April 28, 2008

Barack Obama "hasn't been able to work his money magic" on Staten Island, "lagging behind" Hillary Clinton and John McCain in fundraising. And that "could mean trouble" for NYC Councilor Domenic Recchia (D) or '06 nominee Steve Harrison (D) in the fall. A source: "What it tells you is that Obama has no shot at winning the Island whatsoever."

In other words, Harrison and Recchia "had better hope" that Clinton "finds some way" to win the nod. The source: "If Obama is the Democratic nominee, [Rep. Vito] Fossella [R] is going to do record numbers. If it's Hillary, the Democrats have a shot at the seat" (Wrobleski, Staten Island Advance, 4/27).

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