How Do You Spell ‘Pryor’? New Crossroads Ad Says ‘O-B-A-M-A’

American Crossroads also releases poll showing Pryor trailing Republican Tom Cotton by 5 points.

UNITED STATES - APRIL 25: Sen. Mark Pryor, D-Ark., prepares to speak at a Senate Democratic Steering and Outreach Committee's "Rural Summit," on issues such as housing, rural development, agriculture, education and conservation in the Dirksen Senate Office building. 
CQ-Roll Call,Inc.
Alex Roarty
June 2, 2014, 8:05 p.m.

Amer­ic­ans Cross­roads is be­gin­ning a ma­jor ad buy in Arkan­sas on Tues­day, spend­ing nearly a half-mil­lion dol­lars on a new TV spot that tells view­ers Demo­crat­ic Sen. Mark Pry­or votes just like Pres­id­ent Obama.

And just as the Karl Rove-linked su­per PAC hits the air­waves, it’s also re­leas­ing an in­tern­al poll of its own show­ing the GOP nom­in­ee, Rep. Tom Cot­ton, with a com­fort­able 5-point lead over the two-term Demo­crat­ic in­cum­bent among likely voters. The GOP sur­vey re­ports the pres­id­ent’s ap­prov­al rat­ings hov­er­ing in the mid-30s — a dan­ger­ous level of sup­port for any can­did­ate run­ning in the same party.

Col­lect­ively, the ac­tions look like an at­tempt to re­as­sure nervous sup­port­ers that Cot­ton is a clear-cut fa­vor­ite to win in Novem­ber after a rocky couple of months for his cam­paign. Once the GOP’s most cel­eb­rated re­cruit of 2014, Cot­ton has watched a string of pub­lic polls this spring show Pry­or un­ex­pec­tedly hold­ing the lead — one by as many as 11 points. Al­though out­wardly still con­fid­ent, the Re­pub­lic­an’s aides began ac­know­ledging they had made mis­takes in the race’s early go­ing.

But Cot­ton still has the ad­vant­age of run­ning in a deeply red state and with the help of well-fun­ded out­side group al­lies, who have already spent mil­lions aid­ing his can­did­acy. The latest ad, a $440,000 buy spread over one week, re­vis­its an old theme of the cam­paign: Pry­or votes just like the un­pop­u­lar Obama.

In the spot, a grade-school­er is asked to spell “Pry­or” in a kind of mock spelling bee. The child re­sponds by spelling out “O-B-A-M-A,” and the judges rule that she was “close enough.” (The Scripps Na­tion­al Spelling Bee was held last week.)

Cross­roads’ sur­vey found Obama’s ap­prov­al rat­ing un­der­wa­ter, with 35 per­cent ap­prov­ing and 62 per­cent dis­ap­prov­ing of his per­form­ance. It showed Pry­or with a stronger fa­vor­ab­il­ity among voters — 45 per­cent ap­prov­ing, 36 per­cent dis­ap­prov­ing versus 40 per­cent to 36 per­cent for Cot­ton — but a gen­er­ic Re­pub­lic­an can­did­ate with a 5-point edge over Pry­or, 45 per­cent to 40 per­cent.

The poll, con­duc­ted from May 27 to May 29 by Pub­lic Opin­ion Strategies, has a mar­gin of er­ror of plus or minus 4.39 per­cent­age points. It sur­veyed 500 likely voters by land­line and cell phone.

In the head-to-head match­up, Cot­ton leads 46 per­cent to 41 per­cent, with 7 per­cent un­de­cided.

“Forty-one per­cent is a per­il­ous place for an in­cum­bent to find him­self, and Mark Pry­or is a ser­i­ous un­der­dog to Tom Cot­ton in this race,” the polling memo from POS read.

The poll also found Re­pub­lic­an gubernat­ori­al can­did­ate Asa Hutchin­son lead­ing Demo­crat Mike Ross 48 per­cent to 42 per­cent. 

What We're Following See More »
TAKING A LONG VIEW TO SOUTHERN STATES
In Dropout Speech, Santorum Endorses Rubio
3 days ago
THE DETAILS

As expected after earlier reports on Wednesday, Rick Santorum ended his presidential bid. But less expected: he threw his support to Marco Rubio. After noting he spoke with Rubio the day before for an hour, he said, “Someone who has a real understanding of the threat of ISIS, real understanding of the threat of fundamentalist Islam, and has experience, one of the things I wanted was someone who has experience in this area, and that’s why we decided to support Marco Rubio.” It doesn’t figure to help Rubio much in New Hampshire, but the Santorum nod could pay dividends down the road in southern states.

Source:
‘PITTING PEOPLE AGAINST EACH OTHER’
Rubio, Trump Question Obama’s Mosque Visit
3 days ago
WHY WE CARE

President Obama’s decision to visit a mosque in Baltimore today was never going to be completely uncontroversial. And Donald Trump and Marco Rubio proved it. “Maybe he feels comfortable there,” Trump told interviewer Greta van Susteren on Fox News. “There are a lot of places he can go, and he chose a mosque.” And in New Hampshire, Rubio said of Obama, “Always pitting people against each other. Always. Look at today – he gave a speech at a mosque. Oh, you know, basically implying that America is discriminating against Muslims.”

Source:
THE TIME IS NOW, TED
Cruz Must Max Out on Evangelical Support through Early March
3 days ago
WHY WE CARE

For Ted Cruz, a strong showing in New Hampshire would be nice, but not necessary. That’s because evangelical voters only make up 21% of the Granite State’s population. “But from the February 20 South Carolina primary through March 15, there are nine states (South Carolina, Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Kentucky, Mississippi, and North Carolina) with an estimated white-Evangelical percentage of the GOP electorate over 60 percent, and another four (Texas, Kansas, Louisiana, and Missouri) that come in over 50 percent.” But after that, he better be in the catbird’s seat, because only four smaller states remain with evangelical voter majorities.

Source:
CHRISTIE, BUSH TRYING TO TAKE HIM DOWN
Rubio Now Winning the ‘Endorsement Primary’
3 days ago
WHY WE CARE

Since his strong third-place finish in Iowa, Marco Rubio has won endorsement by two sitting senators and two congressmen, putting him in the lead for the first time of FiveThirtyEight‘s Endorsement Tracker. “Some politicians had put early support behind Jeb Bush — he had led [their] list since August — but since January the only new endorsement he has received was from former presidential candidate Sen. Lindsey Graham.” Meanwhile, the New York Times reports that fueled by resentment, “members of the Bush and Christie campaigns have communicated about their mutual desire to halt … Rubio’s rise in the polls.”

Source:
7 REPUBLICANS ON STAGE
Carly Fiorina Will Not Be Allowed to Debate on Saturday
2 days ago
THE LATEST

ABC News has announced the criteria for Saturday’s Republican debate, and that means Carly Fiorina won’t be a part of it. The network is demanding candidates have “a top-three finish in Iowa, a top-six standing in an average of recent New Hampshire polls or a top-six placement in national polls in order for candidates to qualify.” And there will be no “happy hour” undercard debate this time. “So that means no Fiorina vs. Jim Gilmore showdown earlier in the evening for the most ardent of campaign 2016 junkies.

Source:
×