Spotlight
It Takes Two ...
Govs.-elect Chris Christie and Bob McDonnell were the biggest winners, while NY-23's Doug Hoffman was the biggest loser. But who else came out on top last p.m.? And who came up short?
Winners:
-- Dede Scozzafava: Hoffman underperformed in Dede's base in the Watertown media market, suggesting that her endorsement of Bill Owens was a major factor in helping him win this seat.
-- Indie voters: Always a powerful group, they broke heavily for GOPers in NJ and VA (after lining up for Dems and Pres. Obama in '08), guaranteeing they'll be heavily courted in '10. Said one smart strategist to The Hotline this a.m.: Indies are "starting to understand their power."
-- VP Biden: The only member of the WH team to stump for a winner (Owens) and Romney (the only '12 GOPer who backed Christie and McDonnell, but opted to stay out of NY-23).
Losers:
-- Sarah Palin: McDonnell and Christie stayed as far away from her as possible -- and they won. Hoffman didn't, and he didn't. In fact, in NY-23 it's probably fair to say Palin proved to be more polarizing than Pelosi.
-- Pete Sessions: Under his leadership, the NRCC has gone 0-2 in special elections. The NRCC can blame the "process" in NY, but the reality is that a stronger leader would have tried to fix the mess before it blew up into a full-fledged disaster. Should House GOPers be worried about his ability to lead the charge in '10?
-- Club For Growth: Fairly or not, a lot of the blame for Hoffman's loss will be laid at their feet. But it does raise the question, should FL's Marco Rubio really want to be the next "cause célèbre" for conservatives? Sure it helps him in the primary, but will this give Kendrick Meek an opening for attack in a general?
Quote of the Day
"We're not crowing. We're just smiling."
— RNC Chair Michael Steele, asked if he had been "crowing," "Early Show," CBS, 11/4.
Top News
A Perfect '10?
The GOP's big night may not be a referendum on Obama, but '09 will make moderate Dems think twice if health care spills into '10. But will the GOP's internal battle mute any new edge? (#1)
$100M Doesn't Go As Far These Days
Thompson comes thisclose to beating Bloomberg in NYC. Would a more aggressive Obama endorsement have made a difference? (#18)
Domo Arigato ....
... Mr. Roboto. Robo pollsters did a better job than live call polls in picking margins in VA and NJ. Will they get some more respect in '10? (#3) (#5)
Econ 101
Voters send mixed messages on who'd better handle the economy. Corzine won voters who picked economy as #1 issue by 23 pts; McDonnell won them by 15 pts. (#2) (#4)
Suspended Animation
Shurtleff "suspends" his UT SEN bid to care for his ill daughter, but his statement makes it sound more like he's dropping out for good. (#36)
Contents Wednesday, Nov. 4, 2009
Today's Frontpage
- NATIONAL FALLOUT: About Last Night...
- NEW JERSEY GOVERNOR EXITS: This Corz Is On Ice
- NEW JERSEY GOVERNOR: Mister Christie Makes Good
- VIRGINIA GOVERNOR EXITS: Opposites Attract
- VIRGINIA GOVERNOR: A Star Is Born
- CALIFORNIA 10: Always O-Bay Your Speaker
- NEW YORK 23: Bill's Due
- ATLANTA MAYOR: Mary Me A Little
- BOSTON MAYOR: Most Plays Don't Have A Fifth Act
- CHARLOTTE MAYOR: Out-Foxxed
- CINCINNATI MAYOR: He Won The Most Marks
- CLEVELAND MAYOR: That's Some Action, Jackson
- DETROIT MAYOR: Bing The Winner's Bell
- HOUSTON MAYOR: The Bees' Annise
- MIAMI MAYOR: Yes To The No Man
- MINNEAPOLIS MAYOR: He's Ry-Back For More
- NEW YORK CITY MAYOR EXITS: Making Parade Plans?
- NEW YORK CITY MAYOR: Back For Thirds
- PITTSBURGH MAYOR: Boy Mayor Becomes A Man
- SEATTLE MAYOR: Results Might Be Mal-Adjusted
- ST. PAUL MAYOR: I Won, Ng, Ng, Ng!
- MAINE - GAY MARRIAGE: Cold Chill From Up North
Results
- OBAMA: Taking The Bulls By The Horns
- HEALTH CARE: The Grinch That Stole The Christmas Deadline
- CNN/OPINION RESEARCH CORP.: How You Doin'?
- BLOGOMETER: The Day After
National Briefing
- CALIFORNIA: Carlyfornia Knows How To Party
- CONNECTICUT: Someone Wants Coal In His Stocking
- FLORIDA: Road Trip!
- ILLINOIS: It's Not Goodbye, Just See You Later
- KENTUCKY POLL: Kind Of Bluegrass
- LOUISIANA: Confrontation In Baton Rouge
- MASSACHUSETTS: Next Time, Let's Try The Reagan Library, Shall We?
- NEVADA: Depends On What Your Definition of 'Laugh' Is
- PENNSYLVANIA: Do You Remember The Time?
- UTAH: Shurtleff Suspends Campaign
Senate 2010
- CALIFORNIA: Get The Tapes Before An 18 Minute Gap Appears
- FLORIDA: Could The Kennedy Legacy Move South?
- NEW YORK: Yankee-gate
- TEXAS: Shami Shami Shake
Governor 2010 -- The Big Four
- COLORADO: This Is Not A Debate
- ILLINOIS: I'm Leavin' On A Jet Plane
- IOWA: Dreams From My Vander
- RHODE ISLAND: Not Grounding His Flight
- SOUTH CAROLINA: The Kind Of Surprises You'd Find In A Sanford Presser
- VERMONT: The Montpelier, The Merrier
Governor 2010
- PALIN: Minutes To Memoirs
- PAWLENTY: Hey, I Got Jon Voight's LeBaron
White House 2012
- OBAMA: Rounding Up
- CLINTON/BUSH: Not To Be Confused With The Miley Cyrus Tour
- BUSH: Getting Back To What He Used To Do Somewhat Well
- ENSIGN: Stay Up Late For This One
- OWENS: No, No, The Other One
- SCHAEFER: Must Have Been An Oversight
- PRESS PASS: Taking It To The Wall Streets
- NEWS BAZAAR: There Was Something In The Air That Night
People
- MEDIA MONITOR: This Morning
Media Monitor
??? Overlooked ???
A Hefty Margin
Chris Christie's 4.3% win over NJ Gov. Jon Corzine (D) is better than the first-term wins of Tom Kean (0.1%) in '81 or Christie Todd Whitman (1.0%) in '93, and even Whitman's '97 re-elect (1.1%). Of course, he'll have a hard time duplicating Kean's '85 re-elect margin (40.3%).
