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Monday, June 22, 2009National Journal's Daily Briefing on Politics

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Spotlight

This Time, It's Personal

The lede of this weekend's NYT story on its health care poll suggests Americans will embrace a public option and are willing to pay more for it. But the deeper you dig into their numbers, the more you see the pitfalls ahead for Dems and Pres. Obama.

-- The poll also explains why Obama is pitching his plan on prime time 6/24. He needs to engage that bully pulpit. Asked who they trusted to "make the right decisions" on the issue, Obama isn't viewed as much more trustworthy than Congress (39% to 35%). Obama's bid to sell reform as way to fix the economy isn't working so well either. Fifty-seven percent thought a public plan would either hurt or have no effect on the economy.

-- Ultimately, though, the biggest problem w/trying to reform health care is that people are much more satisfied w/their own care than with the country overall. When they're asked to pay a bit more to help balance this inequity, they traditionally have supported tax increases (in '93 it was 61%, today it's 57%). But when the possibility is raised that one's own care could be affected, well, folks are less charitable. Sixty-eight percent said they'd be concerned that a public plan would limit access to tests and treatments.

-- In health care, the personal is political. This is why change can come to health care only when Americans aren't worried that change (the bad kind) could happen to them.

Quote of the Day

"In this fatherless world, where did you learn to love?"

— CBS' Harry Smith to Pres. Obama, "Early Show," 6/22.

Top News
  • How To Save A Life

    GOPers want Obama to be more hands-on w/Iran, Dems want him more engaged on health care. Has "staying above the fray" officially run its course? (#1)

  • Isn't That Special?

    Paterson orders NY leg. into special session. Could this new "get tough" approach be just what the gov ordered to help turn-around his sagging ratings? (#31) (#30)

  • Gonna Make You Sweat

    Christie agrees to testify on Cap Hill about US atty contract controversies; NJ Dems would like to see him sweat, but will this get overshadowed by the vote on Corzine's budget? (#13)

  • Taxbirds Are The New Snowbirds

    NY's Golisano may jump into FL SEN as a Dem. He may not have name ID, or a base. But he did spend $93M on 3 failed indie bids in NY. (#19)

  • Tony! Toni! Tone! Has Done It Again

    Villaraigosa to announce his '10 GOV intentions on CNN; in latest polling, L.A. voters are ambivalent about his future, but very unhappy about direction of the city. (#28)

 

Contents Monday, June 22, 2009

Recent Editions
  • Friday, June 19, 2009
  • Thursday, June 18, 2009
  • Wednesday, June 17, 2009
  • Tuesday, June 16, 2009
  • Monday, June 15, 2009

Today's Frontpage

    National Briefing

  • OBAMA: Permission To Engage
  • IRAN: No One Ever Said This Job Was Easy
  • HEALTH CARE: Sunday Talk, Monday Walk
  • ECONOMY: Fight The Powers That Be
  • SCOTUS: Members Only
  • LANDSCAPE: I Want A Talker That's Smooth
  • CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES: CBS Universal
  • GALLUP TRACKING: Troubled Waters
  • RASMUSSEN TRACKING: The 53 Stations
  • RESURGENT REPUBLIC (R): The Ayers Up There
  • BLOGOMETER: The Road Gets Tougher...
  • WORD ON THE TWEET: Dear Old Dad

    Campaigns Of 2009

  • NEW JERSEY GOVERNOR: Testify!
  • VIRGINIA GOVERNOR: First, Meet All The Lawyers
  • NEW YORK CITY MAYOR: Don't Make Me Drive Up That Thruway

    Senate 2010

  • ARIZONA: Goldwater, He's The Man, The Man With The Midas Touch
  • COLORADO: Didn't Udall Assume He Had Already Endorsed?
  • CONNECTICUT: Call In The Lions
  • FLORIDA: Rubio, On A Roll?
  • ILLINOIS: Lie-ing Low
  • INDIANA: Should Bayh Or Bayh Say Bayh-Bayh?
  • LOUISIANA: Charlie Mull-ancon
  • MISSOURI: All Aboard!
  • NEVADA POLL: Harry And The Hendersons
  • NEVADA: Reno Need No Stinkin' Endorsements
  • NEW YORK: She's Got Friends In High Places
  • PENNSYLVANIA: A Few Good Mellmen

    Governor 2010 -- The Big Four

  • CALIFORNIA: Will He Or Won't He?
  • FLORIDA: Building Her Relationships
  • NEW YORK POLL: David Beckons
  • NEW YORK: The Griswalds Couldn't Have Planned A Worse Vacation
  • TEXAS: The Ties That Bind

    Governor 2010

  • ALABAMA: Scratching Up The Field
  • ALASKA: Just Don't Say Anything About Their Mom's Basement
  • ARIZONA: It's All About Reputation
  • COLORADO: No Hints, No Winks, No Nudges
  • GEORGIA: Out Of Sight, Out Of Mind
  • ILLINOIS: I Got, Got, Got, Got No Time To Be Afraid
  • IOWA: Rantsing And Ravesing
  • KANSAS: An "Unobstructed" Battleground For Brownback
  • MARYLAND: You Also Can't Peel Off Those "My Kid Beats Up Your Honor Student" Bumper Stickers Either
  • MASSACHUSETTS: More Like 291 -- Tom's A Freebie
  • NEVADA POLL: Dammit, Jim!
  • NEVADA: Going The Extra 5.2 Miles
  • OHIO POLL: Strickland Of The Lost
  • TENNESSEE: Warning: Delay Of Game
  • UTAH: The Next Gov. Has Entered The Building, We Think

    White House 2012

  • PALIN: Can You Pay My Bills?
  • SANFORD: How Lame?

    In The States

  • MICHIGAN POLL: Posting Bailout
  • NEVADA POLL: With Love From Red To Blue
  • NEW YORK POLL: Chaos In The Capital
  • NORTH CAROLINA POLL: 50 Ways To Lead Your Country

    People

  • OBAMA: Friday Night Making Light
  • ENSIGN: I'm Back, And I Brought Some Ex-Friends
  • BYRD: Don't You Have Anything Else To Speculate About?
  • RUMSFELD: A Bitter Pillory
  • EDWARDS: If I Fathered It...
  • SPITZER: The Door Is Still Open, But Knock First
  • GIULIANI, A.: They're Really More "Acquaintances," But Thanks
  • PRESS PASS: Just The Start Of The Story
  • POLICE LOG: Just Impeachy
  • NEWS BAZAAR: Almost Makes Us Feel Bad For Her

    Media Monitor

  • MEDIA MONITOR: This Morning
??? Overlooked ???

Third Wave

Do Reps who represent a state's 3rd CD automatically think of themselves as statewide material? Definite 3rd-CD candidates for statewide office this cycle include Zach Wamp (R-TN) and Gresham Barrett (R-SC). Still mentioned for possible '10 bids include Corrine Brown (D-FL), Peter King (R-NY), and Charlie Melancon (D-LA). Other CD-03ers mentioned at various times in the past include John Shadegg (R-AZ), John Salazar (D-CO), Rosa DeLauro (D-CT), Lynn Westmoreland (R-GA), Earl Blumenauer (D-OR), and Dennis Moore (D-KS). And Dan Lungren (R-CA) and Dina Titus (D-NV) had already run statewide before.


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