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Monday, June 15, 2009The Hotline's Briefing on House Races

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Spotlight

Hello, Again, Hello

When it came to GOPers who helped destroy their own '08 re-election bids, ex-Reps. Bill Sali (R-ID) and Virgil Goode (R-VA) rank near the top of the list. Still, as each are contemplating repeat bids, they're not being treated equally within their primary fields.

-- Goode's been getting the benefit of the doubt, as other potential GOPers (who may be more viable than he is) are letting him decide on the race before they enter. The same can't be said for Sali, who just saw ID House Maj. Caucus Chair Ken Roberts (R) jump into the race against Walt Minnick (D-ID 01). Several other GOPers are strongly considering bids there, too.

-- Analysts agree that both ran sloppy '08 campaigns (Goode wasn't prepared for a competitive, modern race, while Sali was, well, Sali). But some GOPers believe Goode, who's still well liked in VA-05, would give the party a good chance at recapturing the seat in a race that won't feature Pres. Obama atop the ticket. Sali, on the other hand, left his '08 race with a near 50% unfav rating, a number that will doom any bid, especially one against Minnick, who has already shown a certain deftness in straddling the line between his Dem label and the overwhelming GOP nature of the CD.

The bottom line: Not all repeats are equal. If Sali runs, and is the nominee, the GOP will have a very difficult time winning back that seat. A Goode candidacy, though, wouldn't doom the party in VA-05.

Top News
  • I Ran Contra (Costa)

    GOPers are trying to lure Sheriff Rupf (R) into a race against Rep. McNerney (D-CA 11), even though Rupf had considered a special CA-10 bid earlier. Sounds like he's interested.

  • Checking The Interest Rate

    Banker Guedry (R) is telling friends he's ready to challenge Rep. Titus (D-NV 03).

  • I've Got The Power

    Sacramento Municipal Utility Dir. Bill Slaton (D) says he's in the race against Rep. Lungren (R-CA 03), making him the second Dem to declare.

  • Precourt Press

    State Rep. Precourt (R) will run in FL-08 if a "fresh face" doesn't emerge. Apparently, Orange Co. Mayor Crotty (R) doesn't count.

Contents Monday, June 15, 2009

Recent Editions
  • Thursday, June 11, 2009
  • Monday, June 8, 2009
  • Thursday, June 4, 2009
  • Monday, June 1, 2009
  • Thursday, May 28, 2009

Today's Frontpage

    Special Elections

  • NEW YORK 23 (R/PLATTSBURGH -- MCHUGH): Northern Exposure

    Open Seats

  • ALABAMA 07 (D/BIRMINGHAM -- DAVIS): Hope She Doesn't Tour In A House Boat
  • NEW HAMPSHIRE 02 (D/CONCORD -- HODES): A Guinta, Now A Guida?

    Freshmen

  • FLORIDA 08 (D/ORLANDO -- GRAYSON): How Does Webster Count As A "Fresh Face?"
  • IDAHO 01 (D/LEWISTON -- MINNICK): Another Person To Divide The Vote For Sali?
  • NEVADA 03 (D/HENDERSON -- TITUS): Here He Comes To Save The Day
  • OHIO 16 (D/CANTON -- BOCCIERI): Is Miller A Priority?
  • VIRGINIA 05 (D/CHARLOTTESVILLE -- PERRIELLO): Laying Some Hurt?

    Veterans to Watch

  • ARKANSAS 01 (D/JONESBORO -- BERRY): Less Is More
  • CALIFORNIA 03 (D/GOLD RIVER -- LUNGREN): It's Electric!
  • CALIFORNIA 11 (D/STOCKTON -- MCNERNEY): Rupf Rider
  • CALIFORNIA 45 (R/PALM SPRINGS -- BONO MACK): Still A Bono-fide Member Of The GOP
  • COLORADO 03 (R/PUEBLO -- BEESON): Bam! Right In The Kisser
  • ILLINOIS 10 (R/DEERFIELD -- KIRK): Kirk Shirking His American Duties
  • NEBRASKA 02 (R/OMAHA -- TERRY): The Great White Hope
  • PENNSYLVANIA 06 (D/BRYN MAWR -- GERLACH): Taking Lord's Advice
  • PENNSYLVANIA 11 (D/SCRANTON -- KANJORSKI): Not Lackawanna'ing Drama

    Other Updates

  • CALIFORNIA 19 (R/FRESNO -- RADANOVICH): Exit Radanovich, Stage Left?
  • INDIANA 01 (D/GARY -- VISCLOSKY): There's Something Ironic About This
  • MARYLAND 04 (D/LARGO -- EDWARDS): All's Kosher
  • MASSACHUSETTS 03 (D/WORCESTER -- MCGOVERN): Looking To Move Up?
  • NEW YORK 15 (D/NEW YORK -- RANGEL): Oil Slick
  • TENNESSEE 09 (D/MEMPHIS -- STEVE COHEN): A Battle Of Tennessee Titans
  • WASHINGTON 09 (D/TACOMA -- SMITH): One More Of A Few Good Men

    Redistricting

  • FLORIDA: How Many Pieces Will This Puzzle Have?

    National Briefing

  • BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE: A Case Of The Ips
  • PMA: Swamp Things

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