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Monday, May 18, 2009The Hotline's Briefing on House Races

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Spotlight

Mail Enhancement

Compared to the boisterous NY-20 special, the 5/19 CA-32 primary has seemed rather sleepy. That's partly because, since the CD is in the cost-prohibitive L.A. media market, much of the back-and-forth has taken place in voters' mailboxes.

-- The 62% Hispanic CD would seem to be a natural fit for state Sen. Gil Cedillo (D). But recently, he's been targeting ex-Cong. aide Emanuel Pleitez (D) with pointed mailers, accusing Pleitez of being immature and using gang signs in photos from Pleitez's Facebook page. As the frontrunner, it's odd that Cedillo is attacking a second-tier candidate. Is Pleitez siphoning off too much of Cedillo's Hispanic vote?

-- Meanwhile, Board of Equalization chair Judy Chu (D) has been working her base (Asian-American voters) hard. While Asian Americans comprise just 18% of the CD's voters, the Chu camp estimates the group has submitted over 30% of absentee ballots so far. But Chu's not only counting on Asian Americans to bring her home: she has the support of much of ex-Rep./Labor Sec. Hilda Solis' (D) family. This weekend, she picked up the endorsement of Cesar Chavez's United Farm Workers union.

-- But while many signs point to Chu topping the Dem field in this strongly blue CD, this race isn't in the bag. Voters will also be heading to the polls to vote on Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger's (R) budget propositions. Millions have been spent on TV ads for those inits, and that may help turn out a larger percentage of the majority Hispanic vote, aiding Cedillo and/or Pleitez.

Top News
  • Notre Fame

    After his publicized graduation speech at Notre Dame, Pres. Obama helped four IN Dems raise hundreds of thousands of dollars at a 5/17 Indy fundraiser.

  • You Frontin'?

    After his 726-vote win, the DCCC adds Rep. Murphy (D-NY 20) to its vulnerable incumbent "Frontline" program.

  • It's Academic

    A teacher filed last week to run against Rep. Dahlkemper (D-PA 03). We haven't heard much from this GOP-leaning CD so far, but should we expect a top-tier candidate here?

Contents Monday, May 18, 2009

Recent Editions
  • Thursday, May 14, 2009
  • Monday, May 11, 2009
  • Thursday, May 7, 2009
  • Monday, May 4, 2009
  • Thursday, April 30, 2009

Today's Frontpage

    Special Elections

  • CALIFORNIA 32 (D/ EAST LOS ANGELES -- SOLIS): Chu Legit To Quit

    Open Seats

  • FLORIDA 17 (D/PEMBROKE PINES -- MEEK): Up Next, On Jerry Springer...
  • TENNESSEE 03 (R/CHATTANOOGA -- WAMP): Fly, Fly Away

    Freshmen

  • COLORADO 04 (D/GREELEY -- MUSGRAVE): You Spin Me Right Round
  • NEW YORK 20 (D/SARATOGA SPRINGS -- MURPHY): No Longer Just A PBS Show
  • PENNSYLVANIA 03 (D/ERIE -- DAHLKEMPER): He'll Go Down In History?

    Veterans to Watch

  • ARIZONA 05 (D/SCOTTSDALE -- MITCHELL): You Sun Devil, You!
  • CALIFORNIA 45 (R/PALM SPRINGS -- BONO MACK): Pro-Bono
  • INDIANA 05 (R/INDIANAPOLIS -- BURTON): Not Messer-ing Around
  • NEVADA 02 (R/RENO -- HELLER): Economy Hits Home For Trigg
  • PENNSYLVANIA 12 (D/JOHNSTOWN -- MURTHA): With Friends Like These
  • SOUTH CAROLINA 01 (R/CHARLESTON -- BROWN): Oh Henry
  • TEXAS 17 (D/WACO -- EDWARDS): Six In One, Half-Dozen In Another

    In The States

  • ARIZONA: Crusty Old Mavericks (And McCain's Nowhere In Sight)
  • INDIANA: The Fantastic Four

    Other Updates

  • CALIFORNIA 08 (D/SAN FRANCISCO -- PELOSI): Speak-er Easy
  • VIRGINIA 07 (R/RICHMOND -- CANTOR): New America, Meet Old America

    Redistricting

  • GOP: Come And Take A Ryde With Me

    National Briefing

  • BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE: Bring On Those...

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