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Thursday, Nov. 20, 2008National Journal's Daily Briefing on Politics

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Spotlight

Where "Recount" Meets "Fargo"

The closest '08 SEN race gets more interesting every day. With almost 20% of the MN ballots (re)counted, Franken has picked up 41 votes, cutting into Coleman's 215-vote lead. Meanwhile, the early GA runoff vote looks encouraging for Chambliss. Ensign says that holding these two seats would boost GOP morale. Can he deliver?

-- One Dem insider tells us to expect 40% of the MN ballots completed by today, including Dem-leaning Hennepin (Minneapolis) and Ramsey (St. Paul). Franken needs a strong showing there to have any chance of overtaking Coleman. But as the Coleman camp reminds us, the GOP-leaning counties have yet to be accounted for.

-- In GA, Martin hopes B. Clinton's visit will help him gin up enthusiasm. And he needs it; By 11/3, 35% of the early vote was black. As of today, black voters make up just 23%. While Dem-heavy counties like DeKalb and Fulton dominated the 11/4 early vote, today it's GOP counties like Hall (which went heavily for McCain) that make up a big slice of the vote.

-- To be sure, GOP wins in these races would more psychological than substantive. Even so, with little else going their way, these are the kinds of wins that they'd love to savor.

Quote of the Day

"My mission in life is not completed."

— Sen. Ted Stevens (R-AK), during a farewell floor speech, mult., 11/20.

Top News
  • Dingell Gets Wax'd

    Dems back Waxman to take Energy. Will his coup encourage liberals, and junior members, to flex their muscles on other issues? (#4)

  • For Richar(dson) For Poorer

    Napolitano gets DHS, but what about that other SW gov who stumped for Obama? Also, will Gates be the only GOP pick?(#2)

  • Warner vs. Warner

    Moran boasts of Dem support, but both he and McAuliffe have an ex-Warner manager heading up their campaigns. (#20)

  • Honeymooners

    Gallup shows Dems still enjoying much higher fav ratings than GOP; guess that "one-party control" threat by GOPers hasn't taken hold yet. (#9)

  • Seniority Slump

    Rep. Bonner (R) says the door's open to a '10 GOV bid. If he and Davis (D) run, AL's delegation would have 70% turnover in just 2 cycles. (#24)

 

Contents Thursday, Nov. 20, 2008

Recent Editions
  • Wednesday, Nov. 19, 2008
  • Tuesday, Nov. 18, 2008
  • Monday, Nov. 17, 2008
  • Friday, Nov. 14, 2008
  • Thursday, Nov. 13, 2008

Today's Frontpage

    National Briefing

  • THE TRANSITION - OVERVIEW: Put It On My Bill
  • THE TRANSITION - PEOPLE: Bill's Vetoed
  • THE TRANSITION - NAMING NAMES: Starting To Whittle Down
  • CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP: Wax On, Wax On
  • THE ECONOMY: City To Ford: Drop Dead
  • IRAQ/IRAN: He's Working On The Secret Of The Next Fusion Bomb
  • LANDSCAPE: Our Faith In The GOP Is Strong
  • REPUBLICANS: A Wildmon & Crazy Guy
  • GALLUP: That Is A Most Ideological Reaction
  • USA TODAY/GALLUP: Here's My Conciliatory, It's Sad But True
  • CONSULTANT CANDIDS: Mammen At Work
  • BLOGOMETER: Obama's Cabinet Picks Are Going Over Well

    White House 2008 -- The Battleground States

  • MISSOURI (11 EVS): Bellwether No More

    Senate 2008

  • ALASKA: Flying Home To An Airport Bearing Your Name Should Soften The Blow
  • GEORGIA: A Bridge Over Troubled Waters
  • MINNESOTA: As Exciting As Election Night, Only No Wolf Blitzer

    Senate Speculation

  • NEW YORK: What's Going On Under Paterson's Pate?
  • TEXAS: A Lot Of Activity For A Race That Doesn't Exist

    Campaigns Of 2009

  • NEW JERSEY GOVERNOR: To Do: Vacation, Family Time, Xmas Presents, A GOP Win...
  • VIRGINIA GOVERNOR: Even More For Moran

    Senate 2010

  • BATTLE FOR THE SENATE: No More Mr. Nice Guys
  • ILLINOIS: OMG, I Can't Believe You Called HER Right After You Called ME!
  • NEVADA: That Porter/House Steak May Not Be Finished

    Governor 2010

  • ALABAMA: Some Bon-Mots
  • PENNSYLVANIA: Corbett Pops The Cork
  • SOUTH DAKOTA: Will Butch Patrick Be His LG?

    White House 2012

  • HUCKABEE: Did I Mention I Have A Book Coming Out?
  • JINDAL: Keep Her Talking
  • PALIN: Refusing To Give Up And Move On
  • ROMNEY: Grabbing Flip-Flops On The Way To The Beach

    In The States

  • NEW JERSEY POLL: Positively Wall St.

    People

  • OBAMA: Why Purell Was Invented
  • BUSH: Yes, We Pecan
  • CHENEY: Gee, Wonder If He'll Show Up
  • BYRD: The Senate Faces A Candle Shortage
  • SUNUNU: Brief Was The Appearance Of The Lonely Goatee
  • SANCHEZ: Plus, The Father Doesn't Play Hockey
  • BLUMENAUER: There's Always Next Year
  • PRESS PASS: We Meet At Last
  • POLICE LOG: At Least It's Sweater Season
  • NEWS BAZAAR: Nothing Says "Thankful" Like Bottom Feeders

    Media Monitor

  • MEDIA MONITOR: This Morning
??? Overlooked ???

Doomed To Repeat This?

With the margin in the MN SEN race shrinking by the day, it looks eerily similar to the '74 NH SEN race, in which Louis Wyman (R) led by 355 votes on Election Day, before swinging to a 10 vote lead for John Durkin (D) after a recount, then a 2-vote lead for Wyman after a second recount. The Senate Rules Cmte started examining the challenged ballots itself, but eventually the Senate declared the seat vacant, and Durkin won the 9/16/75 special with 54%. Turnout for the special was actually 14% higher than in the regular '74 election.

Read More


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