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Thu. Aug 14, 2008The Hotline's Briefing on House Races

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Spotlight

A Palin Imitation?

It hasn't been a good couple of weeks for LG Sean Parnell (R) in AK-AL. A lackluster 8/4 debate performance along with an inability to pull away from embattled Don Young (R), even in his own polling, sew doubts into whether he can actually save the seat for GOPers.

-- Today's release of an ad touting star Gov. Sarah Palin's (R) endorsement was supposed to be Parnell's big finish heading into the 8/26 primary. But AKans will also be greeted this a.m. with headlines about Palin's gov't intervening to have a state trooper fired. That trooper had a messy divorce with Palin's sister. Palin denies any involvement, but the evidence still looks bad.

-- Palin, and Parnell, are the symbols of a new generation of AK politics, one without the taint of a Stevens or Young. It's the rationale behind Parnell's run. But if the Palin Admin's reputation gets soiled because of these revelations, will GOP voters be able to find a distinction between old and new in AK? If not, will they decide to cast their lot with Young, who at least can bring the pork home?

-- A Young primary victory would be disastrous for GOPers, as it would mean they'd surely lose the seat this fall. But the way things are lining up, it's certainly not out of the question.

Top News
  • Different Strokes It Takes

    Rep. Boyda (R-KS 02) airs her first TV ad that stresses her different kind of campaign. Expect lots of newspaper inserts, but no attack ads.

  • TENNuous Leg To Stand On

    Rep. Davis (R-TN 01) looks likely to contest his close 8/7 primary loss, but most give him almost no chance to succeed.

  • Cash, I.E., From The Cmtes

    Check out our chart detailing the DCCC's independent expenditures so far this cycle. We'll run it weekly, along with the NRCC's numbers when they begin their outlays.

  • It's Faux Friday

    HRH will be enjoying a day off tomorrow, so enjoy the weekend and we'll see you on 8/18.

Contents Thu. Aug 14, 2008

Recent Editions
  • Wednesday, August 13, 2008
  • Tuesday, August 12, 2008
  • Monday, August 11, 2008
  • Thursday, August 07, 2008
  • Wednesday, August 06, 2008

Today's Frontpage

    Open Seats

  • ARIZONA 01 (R/FLAGSTAFF -- RENZI): This Ad Couldn't Say "Law and Order" More With "Dong Dong"
  • COLORADO 02 (D/BOULDER -- UDALL): Boulder Voters Don't Come Cheap
  • MISSOURI 09 (R/COLUMBIA -- HULSHOF): Well, I Just Happened To Be In The Neighborhood
  • NEW MEXICO 02 (R/ROSWELL -- PEARCE): Cut Throat Tactics
  • NEW JERSEY 07 (R/SUMMIT -- FERGUSON): He's Gotta Do Better Than That
  • NEW YORK 13 (R/STATEN ISLAND -- FOSSELLA): Keeping Track Of All Options
  • NEW YORK 21 (D/SCHENECTADY -- MCNULTY): Steck The (TV) Deck
  • NEW YORK 25 (R/SYRACUSE -- WALSH): It's Just Business, Nothing Personal, Mr. Maffei

    Freshmen

  • CALIFORNIA 11 (D/STOCKTON -- MCNERNEY): Attention!
  • CONNECTICUT 05 (D/DANBURY -- MURPHY): We Don't Discuss Oil Business At The Breakfast Table
  • FLORIDA 13 (R/SARASOTA -- BUCHANAN): Dems Are Fed Up
  • FLORIDA 16 (D/PORT CHARLOTTE -- MAHONEY): Burried Under An Ad A-Valeche
  • KANSAS 02 (D/TOPEKA -- BOYDA): Booydakasha!
  • MISSISSIPPI 01 (D/TUPELO -- CHILDERS): Home Is Where The Heart (And Head) Is
  • NEW HAMPSHIRE 01 (D/MANCHESTER -- SHEA-PORTER): Oh, Just GO HOME
  • NEW HAMPSHIRE 02 (D/CONCORD -- HODES): Not To Toot Her Horn
  • PENNSYLVANIA 04 (D/FOX CHAPEL -- ALTMIRE): A Double-Barreled Solution
  • TENNESSEE 01 (R/KINGSPORT -- DAVIS): I Lost My Primary To The Tennessee Waltz
  • TEXAS 22 (D/SUGAR LAND -- LAMPSON): Guess Lampson Won't Win A Lifetime Achievement Award, Either

    Veterans to Watch

  • ALASKA AT-LARGE (R -- YOUNG): Here Come The Heavy Hitters
  • FLORIDA 24 (R/ORLANDO -- FEENEY): King Of Torts?
  • MISSOURI 06 (R/ST. JOSEPH -- GRAVES): Couldn't You Just Turn The Radio On?
  • NEVADA 03 (R/HENDERSON -- PORTER): Permanent Building? Now That's Our Kind Of Party
  • WASHINGTON 08 (R/BELLEVUE -- REICHERT): It's Like A Regular Rainbow Room Up There
  • WEST VIRGINIA 02 (R/CHARLESTON -- CAPITO): The Early Byrd Special

    Other Updates

  • VIRGINIA 05 (R/CHARLOTTESVILLE -- GOODE): Them's Fighting Words

    National Briefing

  • BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE: Meet The New Bosses
  • INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURES: Not So Little Debbie

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