• National Journal.com
  • Sun. Nov 8, 2009
  • Sign In

  • My Account | Free Trial

    Submit site feedback

nationaljournal.com > The Hotline

    • Home
    • The Magazine
    • The Hotline
    • CongressDaily
  • About Us
  • News & Blogs
  • Earlybird
  • Hotline On Call
  • Blogometer
  • Ad Spotlight
  • Poll Track
  • Markup Reports
  • Insider Interviews
  • Tech Daily Dose
  • Multimedia
  • Play of the Day
  • Sunday Snapshot
  • Hotline TV
  • National Journal On Air
  • Columns
  • Mark Blumenthal
  • Ronald Brownstein
  • Eliza Carney
  • Charlie Cook (Tues.)
  • Charlie Cook (Fri.)
  • Clive Crook
  • John Mercurio
  • William Powers
  • Jonathan Rauch
  • Bruce Stokes
  • William Schneider
  • Stuart Taylor
  • Amy Walter
  • Campaigns 2008
  • Main
  • White House
  • Senate
  • House
  • Governor
  • Political Stock Exchange
  • Subscriber Resources
  • The Almanac
  • Capital Source
  • Daybook
  • Affiliate Sites
  • The Atlantic
  • Cook Report
  • Global Security Newswire
  • Government Executive
  • Washington Week
National Journal Magazine
Search

Advanced Search

Search Sponsor:
About The Hotline
Subscriptions | Contact Us
  • Latest Edition
    11:40 am
  • Wake-Up Call!
    9 am
  • Last Call!
    4 pm
  • House Race Hotline
    2 pm
  • Blogometer
    11:40 am
  • Multimedia
    • Hotline TV
    • Play of the Day
    • Sunday Snapshot

Mon. Aug 11, 2008The Hotline's Briefing on House Races

  • Hotline Email Alerts
  • View/Print Entire Edition
Spotlight

A Tough Roe To Hoe

After all that ink was spilled on Steve Cohen's (D-TN 09) 8/7 non-race, it turns out the real TN action was in TN-01, where David Davis (R) was defeated by Johnson City Mayor Phil Roe (R). Many now say Roe's "big oil" attacks on Davis provided the mortal wounds, but is that the case?

-- Possibly, but there's a bigger explanation for Davis' loss: himself. If you had to search through your Almanac Fri. morning to see just who Davis was, you probably wouldn't be alone. Davis hasn't made much of a mark since coming to DC after winning his seat with just 22% in '06. And he didn't appear to take his re-election seriously, as he barely raised more cash than Roe. The fact that he stayed in DC for the GOP "protest" last week, instead of campaigning at home, adds to these suspicions.

-- In short, Davis did the opposite of everything Cohen did in his re-election bid. They both came to office after winning very unimpressive primaries, and had much to prove. Cohen took that challenge and raised tons of cash, and also earned many endorsements of many who had supported others in '06.

-- Sure, "big oil" provided Roe an opening to attack Davis. But in the end, Davis should be assigned the majority of blame for what happened to him 8/7.

Top News
  • The Race Is Still Young

    Dem polling shows Rep. Young (R-AK AL) leading GOP primary.

  • When Generic's Better

    Dems polling says Bright (D) leads AL-02 by 10%, while GOPers have Love (R) with a 2% lead. But in both surveys, a generic GOPer squashes a Dem.

  • Hal Of A Weekend!

    Valeche (R) held $13K worth of Harrah stock, despite knocking Rooney (R) for supporting gambling in FL-16. Meanwhile, Dem polling suggests Valeche doesn't need that press.

  • Back-Breaking Work

    NM-01's White (R) is forced to time refuting rumors that he's leaving the race due to medical reasons.

  • Danger Lummis

    Pre-primary reports indicate that Gordon (R) donated over $405K to his own WY-AL bid in Jul.

Contents Mon. Aug 11, 2008

Recent Editions
  • Thursday, August 07, 2008
  • Wednesday, August 06, 2008
  • Tuesday, August 05, 2008
  • Monday, August 04, 2008
  • Thursday, July 31, 2008

Today's Frontpage

    Freshmen

  • MISSISSIPPI 01 (R/TUPELO -- CHILDERS): We Have A Bridge In Tupelo To Sell You, Too
  • FLORIDA 16 (D/PORT CHARLOTTE -- MAHONEY): Shallow Hal
  • FLORIDA 09 (R/TAMPA -- BILIRAKIS): Just Planting This Thought...
  • NEW HAMPSHIRE 01 (D/MANCHESTER -- SHEA-PORTER): Union Leader Loves Stephen, And The Spotlight
  • IDAHO 01 (R/LEWISTON -- SALI): Don't Come Knockin' For A Reference Letter, Wayne
  • FLORIDA 13 (R/SARASOTA -- BUCHANAN): I Have The Feeling You'll Be Seeing More Of Me
  • PENNSYLVANIA 07 (D/UPPER DARBY -- SESTAK): Look Who Hijacked A McCain Rally
  • COLORADO 05 (R/COLORADO SPRINGS -- LAMBORN): Heading South?
  • KANSAS 02 (D/TOPEKA -- BOYDA): Come Together Right Now Over Boyda

    National Briefing

  • BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE: The Most Ill-Conceived Sequel Since "The Godfather Part III"

    Open Seats

  • NEW YORK 26 (R/ROCHESTER - REYNOLDS): Hallmark Could've Said It Better
  • ALABAMA 02 (R/MONTGOMERY -- EVERETT): Dueling Memos
  • NEW MEXICO 01 (R/ALBUQUERQUE -- WILSON): You're Breaking My Back
  • ILLINOIS 11 (R/JOLIET -- WELLER): Whom Do You Anti-Trust?
  • MINNESOTA 03 (R/BLOOMINGTON -- RAMSTAD): Journey To The Center (Of The Earth)
  • COLORADO 02 (D/BOULDER -- UDALL): Polis Gets Enviro Support, But Others See The Green
  • COLORADO 06 (R/LITTLETON - TANCREDO): Tacit Signs Of Approval?
  • WYOMING AT-LARGE (R - CUBIN): What's Past Is Not History
  • NEW YORK 13 (R/STATEN ISLAND -- FOSSELLA): McMahon's In It To Win It!
  • NEW YORK 21 (D/SCHENECTADY -- MCNULTY): Monday Is Labor Day
  • NEW MEXICO 03 (D/SANTA FE -- UDALL): Ben There, Done That
  • NEW MEXICO 02 (R/ROSWELL -- PEARCE): A Distinction With A Difference

    Other Updates

  • CALIFORNIA 26 (R/CHICO -- DREIER): Come On Baby Light My Dreier
  • PRE-PRIMARY REPORTS: The Ws Like To Hang Together
  • OREGON 01 (D/PORTLAND -- WU): A Tailor-Made Candidate For This Endorsement

    Results

  • TENNESSEE 03 (R/CHATTANOOGA -- WAMP): Wamp, There It Is
  • TENNESSEE 05 (D/NASHVILLE -- COOPER): Maybe MTV's Looking For A New VJ
  • TENNESSEE 04 (D/SEWANEE -- DAVIS): The House That Lincoln Built
  • TENNESSEE 02 (R/KNOXVILLE -- DUNCAN): Sign Your David Hancock Here, Please
  • TENNESSEE 07 (R/MEMPHIS -- BLACKBURN): Feeling Burned
  • TENNESSEE 01 (R/KINGSPORT -- DAVIS): Now, Only Five Davis' Look To Return In '08
  • TENNESSEE 09 (D/MEMPHIS -- COHEN): Not So Even Steven

    Veterans to Watch

  • TEXAS 07 (R/HOUSTON -- CULBERSON): Hey, Sister Souljah
  • COLORADO 04 (R/GREELEY -- MUSGRAVE): She Doth Protest Too Much?
  • CONNECTICUT 04 (R/STAMFORD -- SHAYS): Sure, Every Frontrunner Loves A Primary
  • ALASKA-AT-LARGE (R/ANCHORAGE -- YOUNG): From Dusk Til Sean
  • OHIO 02 (R/BATAVIA -- SCHMIDT): Oh That Silly Little Thing? It's History
  • PENNSYLVANIA 11 (D/SCRANTON -- KANJORSKI): This Well Ain't Dry Yet

Staff Contact Employment Reprints & Back Issues Privacy Policy Advertising
Copyright 2008 by National Journal Group Inc. The Watergate 600 New Hampshire Ave., NW Washington, DC 20037
202-739-8400 · fax 202-833-8069 NationalJournal.com is an Atlantic Media publication.