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Wed. Apr. 23, 2008National Journal's Daily Briefing on Politics

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Spotlight

Feet Of Clay

Structural troubles. Everyone's got some. Obama can't get working-class whites on board - HRC can't win the delegate count. But what about McCain? Yesterday's special election in MS-01 may give us a preview of what kind of hurdles he'll face in Nov.

-- Dem Childers came w/in 410 votes of winning in a district that Bush carried by 35 pts. And he's considered the slight favorite to win the 5/13 run-off versus GOPer Greg Davis. If he does, and Dem Cazayoux carries LA-06 on 5/3, this would mean that combined w/their pick-up of IL-14, Dems will have won 3 special elections in CDs that Bush carried by an average of 59%.

-- When the GOP brand is this tainted, McCain's got a lot more to worry about than trying to catch up with the Dems' money haul. While Obama has yet to "seal the deal" among Dems, McCain's task to convince voters they should stick w/a GOPer (even one they like) is tougher.

-- Votes' perceptions of WH'08 also seem to be hardening, making it tough to change the terms of the debate. WH Dems spent millions in PA to end up w/OH's results. Will McCain be able to do any better this fall?

Quote of the Day

"I'm as excited as a 6-year-old at Christmas."

— IN House Speaker John Gregg (D), on the IN'08 primary, Indianapolis Star, 4/23

Top News
  • Same Old Song

    HRC's win brought in $2.5M+ last night … and lots of chatter this a.m. about how it doesn't change anything.

  • I'm So Over You

    Obama's new strategy: This is between McCain and me. But, does he get more aggressive w/ HRC in IN first?

  • Pearcing The Veil

    Pearce (R) launches first attack ad in NM SEN primary. When will we see Wilson's counterpunch?

  • No We Can't

    McCain wants NC GOP to ditch Obama/Wright ad; meanwhile, which GOV Dems will be helped/hurt if they do?

  • Carly Quite Contrarian

    Forget about Govs, what about a frmr H-P CEO as McCain's VP pick? Donatelli likes her.

 

Contents Wed. Apr. 23, 2008

Recent Editions
  • Tuesday, April 22, 2008
  • Monday, April 21, 2008
  • Friday, April 18, 2008
  • Thursday, April 17, 2008
  • Wednesday, April 16, 2008

Today's Frontpage

    Results

  • PENNSYLVANIA: THE VOTES: UnPAck Your Troubles
  • PENNSYLVANIA: WHAT HAPPENED?: The Never-Ending Story
  • PENNSYLVANIA: WHAT'S NEXT?: Order A McSame With An Extra Same-Old
  • WH EXITS: Six More Weeks Of Splinter
  • DELEGATE TRACKER: Now Entering The Home Stretch
  • MISSISSIPPI 01: Let's Go For Four

    White House 2008 -- The Republicans

  • MCCAIN: My Old Kentucky Home

    White House 2008 -- The Democrats

  • THE FIELD: Reid My Lips
  • CLINTON: So, No Disney World?
  • OBAMA: Closing Time

    White House 2008 -- Other Updates

  • GALLUP: Yes -- She Still
  • INDIANA (5/6 PRIMARY): Used To Daydream In That Small Town
  • NORTH CAROLINA (5/6 PRIMARY): Move Over Wal-Mart
  • WEST VIRGINIA (5/13 PRIMARY): The 4 F's
  • OREGON (5/20 PRIMARY): They Keep Going And Going And...
  • GALLUP: Status MoE
  • IPSOS PUBLIC AFFAIRS/MUNK DEBATES: Safety First
  • VEEPSTAKES: From H-P To VP?
  • 2008 SCHEDULES: Hoping To Get Lucky?

    National Briefing

  • LANDSCAPE: The Millionaires' Day In Court
  • BLOGOMETER: The Morning After

    Senate 2008

  • LOUISIANA: Not A Bad Haul For This Climate
  • NEW JERSEY: Frank And Tough
  • NEW MEXICO: A Pearce-ing Shot
  • OREGON: Don't Forget To Pack Your Flip-Flops

    Governor 2008

  • INDIANA: Party Crashers
  • NORTH CAROLINA: The Wright Stuff?

    People

  • BUSH: Book Tours, Who Has The Time?
  • CRAIG: He's A Fickle One, That Larry Craig
  • DASCHLE: Another Brush With Greatness
  • LOTT/BREAUX: Say It Without Words
  • HASTERT: Could Be Felled By A Strong Gust Of Wind
  • PRESS PASS: Another Editorial Ouster
  • POLICE LOG: Shoddy Performance, Still Not A Crime
  • NEWS BAZAAR: But Is He Suspension-Worthy?

    Media Monitor

  • MEDIA MONITOR: This Morning
??? Overlooked ???

MORE DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN

Although some PA ballots have yet to be counted, it appears that about 2.30M Dems voted, compared to about 2.23M in OH's primary. Clinton's PA margin was only about 14K votes larger than her OH win, while her PA margin of 9.38% was slightly smaller than her OH margin of 10.49%,

Read More


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